There's nothing Off about Art
Ian Ogg analyses the last 10 renewals of Saturday's William Hill Lincoln at Doncaster and picks out the key statistics.
- Winners have been aged four (5), six (3) and five (2).
- Winners have carried between 8-4 and 9-10 with five between 8-9 and 9-0 (none of the last four).
- Winners have been rated between 90 and 107 with eight between 90 and 98.
- Winners have been returned between 3/1 and 25/1 with five between 3/1 and 10/1; three favourites have been successful.
- Winners have been drawn between one and 23; five in single figures and five not.
- Five winners finished first or second on their preceding start.
- Eight winners were making their seasonal reappearance.
- Six winners had won or been placed in a class 2 handicap; of the exceptions two were having their first run at this level (all fancied four year olds) and the other had won a Listed race.
- Six winners had won at a mile; of the exceptions, all bar one had won over trips beyond a mile and the 'bar one' had finished second the previous year.
- The four winners that had previously run at Doncaster had placed or winning form at the track.
There are plenty of qualifiers as you would expect in a typically competitive renewal of this historic handicap but the suggestion is Off Art.
The lightly raced four-year-old represents Tim Easterby who has been enjoying a terrific spring with his National Hunt horses and fits the bill in terms of his official rating and weight while he has winning form in a class two handicap as well as having been successful over both the course and the distance.