Loch may hold the key to Classic

  • By: Ian Ogg
  • Last Updated: January 10 2014, 17:59 GMT

Ian Ogg analyses the last nine renewals of Saturday's Betfred Classic Chase and picks out the key statistics.

Loch Ba: His course form could be to his advantage
Loch Ba: His course form could be to his advantage

  • Winners have been aged between 7 and 12 with three 9 year olds successful.
  • Winners have been weighted between 10-1 and 11-12; four of the last five have carried above 10-9.
  • Winners have been rated between 122 and 156 with seven between 122 and 136.
  • Winners have been priced between 9/2 and 25/1 with one favourite successful and a further four placed.
  • Six winners finished in the first three on their preceding start.
  • Eight winners had their preceding start no earlier than the 14th December with five running over Christmas.
  • Seven winners had raced no more than three times in the current season.
  • All of the winners had won or been placed over three miles or beyond.

Summary

Weight and rating statistics do little to narrow down the field but a good, recent run has been desirable along with winning form over three miles.

Major Malarkey has finished fourth and sixth in two previous attempts; on the first occasion finishing behind Hey Big Spender who had fallen in that season's Welsh National when still in midfield. Colin Tizzard's charge will need to bounce back from a disappointing effort at Chepstow once again but is rated 10lbs lower than when successful.

Royale Night has been busier than your typical winner but otherwise makes some appeal. Shotgun Paddy has been understandably popular but it may prove worth chancing Loch Ba with his course form a plus.


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