Go Back for Becher Gold
Ian Ogg analyses the last 10 renewals of Saturday's Betfred Becher Chase and picks out the key statistics.
- Winners have been aged 7, 8 (two), 9 (three), 10 (two), 12 and 14.
- Winners have carried between 10-0 and 11-12 with five weighted at 10-5 or less.
- Winners have been rated between 123 and 148 with the last seven all rated 130+.
- Winners have been priced between 4/1 and 33/1 with six in single figures and two at 25s or bigger.
- Two favourites have been successful with two (incl one joint) more placed.
- Eight winners either led or raced close to the pace.
- Four winners finished in the first four on their preceding start while four were pulled up.
- Eight winners had been placed at least over three miles or beyond.
- All of the winners had been successful in a race of 13 runners or more.
- Eight winners had won a class two chase or above.
- Five winners were making their course debut.
- Seven winners had had at least 12 chase starts - the three exceptions were trained by Paul Nicholls.
- Seven winners had run in October or November.
Difficult to rule many out on the grounds of weight, age or rating.
Six of the last seven winners have won a class 1 chase although Join Together came close to breaking that run last year when narrowly denied by Hello Bud whose trainer, Nigel Twiston-Davies, is represented by the long absent Baby Run.
Big Fella Thanks finished third last year but disappointed at Ascot in a race where Roberto Goldback finished an encouraging fourth. Nicky Henderson's runner was struggling when unseating in the Grand National and is both rated a little higher and carrying a little more weight than is ideal but may be worth another chance with the form of his reappearance working out so well in an open renewal on the stats.
On His Own (who has fallen on both runs over these fences) and Walkon are respected while Storm Survivor also ticks a number of the right boxes.