Century up for O'Brien
Ian Ogg analyses the last ten renewals of Saturday's Racing Post Trophy at Doncaster and picks out the key statistics.
- Seven winners won their preceding start.
- Nine winners had won over at least seven furlongs, seven of whom had won over a mile.
- Seven of the nine winners to have previously raced over a mile had been successful, the other two had been placed.
- Only four winners were unbeaten, of whom, only one had raced more than once.
- Only three winners made their debut before August and two of those appeared in the last 11 days of July.
- Montjeu has sired four of the last nine winners.
- Five winners were having their first start in a Group race.
- No winner has had more than four starts.
- No winner has been beaten more than twice.
- Seven favourites have been successful.
Aidan O'Brien has won three of the last four renewals (and seven in all) and there are similarites that can be drawn between the last two winners, in particular, and Century although the Montjeu colt hasn't attracted the same hype that accompanied St Nicholas Abbey, Camelot and Kingsbarns to Doncaster.
It will be interesting to see if any support is forthcoming as the day approaches as the market has got this race right more often that not in recent years with the last four market leaders obliging. Ibn Khaldun was the last winner to follow up an Autumn Stakes victory and there has been money for Kingston Hill but the domination of O'Brien and the progeny of Montjeu earn the supplemented Curragh maiden winner the vote.