It's Tea time

  • By: Ian Ogg
  • Last Updated: February 15 2013, 10:34 GMT

We analyse the last 10 renewals of Saturday's Betfred Grand National Trial at Haydock and pick out the key statistics.

Monbeg Dude and Teaforthree represent the Welsh National form
Monbeg Dude and Teaforthree represent the Welsh National form

  • Winners have been aged 7 (two), 8 (two), 9 (three), 10 and 11 (two).
  • Winners have carried between 10-0 and 11-12. Three have defied top-weight and two scored from out of the handicap.
  • Winners have been rated between 124 and 155; the last five have been rated between 138 and 149.
  • Winners have been priced between 4/1 and 18/1 with one favourite successful; a further three favourites (from 11) were placed.
  • Nine winners finished in the first three on their preceding start; four were successful.
  • Eight winners had won a race during the current season but only one had scored more than once.
  • Eight winners had run during the current calendar year while one winner was making his seasonal reappearance.
  • Nine winners had won over at least three miles, the exception had been placed over three miles three.
  • Nine winners either made all or raced up with the pace.

Summary

A fairly mixed bag over the decade but the last five years have seen four winners emerge from the Welsh National and from a much narrower rating band with four of the five covered by just 7lbs (138 - 144). The prominent racing Teaforthree looks to have sound claims of reversing Chepstow form with Monbeg Dude and he gets the selection despite being a shade higher than ideal in the ratings and not having won a race this season.

Rigadin De Beauchene and Cannington Brook are others that score highly in a race that has been dominated by in-form runners and, accordingly, hasn't thrown up that many surprises.


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