Get in the Swing for Newbury
We analyse the last eight renewals of Saturday's Betfair Hurdle at Newbury and pick out the key statistics.
- Winners have been aged 5 (four), 6 (two), 7 & 9.
- Winners have carried between 10-0 and 11-1 (six 10-9 or below) with two winning from 1lb out of the handicap.
- Winners have been rated between 124 and 151 with five between 124 and 135 and three between 144 and 151.
- Winners have been priced between 11/4 and 50/1 with three in single figures.
- Two favourites have been successful with a further three placed.
- Seven winners finished in the first five on their preceding start, four were successful.
- Six winners had had no more than 10 career starts over hurdles; four had had no more than four.
- Five winners were in their second season over hurdles and two in their first.
The last two winners were making their handicap debuts (albeit coming at it from different directions with Zarkandar winning the Triumph and Recession Proof a more conventional novice hurdle route) and had had just three starts over hurdles and lightly raced five and six year olds have dominated of late.
A recent run is by no means essential with last year's winner scoring on his reappearance and two more having their first outing since November but a good run has been desirable with only 50/1 winner Heathcote running poorly and he was hardly out of form having finished second in a good Sandown handicap at the start of January; the only other runner to finish out of the frame was Spirit Leader and she was a close fifth in the hugely competitive Pierse Hurdle.
My Tent Or Yours has clear claims, and favourites have by no means fared badly, but so too do Pearl Swan, Cotton Mill, Claret Cloak and Swing Bowler.
Cotton Mill tackles this trip for the first time and, in that respect, would be an unusual winner while Claret Cloak has spent much of the season waiting for the ground to dry up although conditions are unlikely to be as testing as when My Tent Or Yours was surprisingly turned over here on his penultimate start.
They will all have their supporters but preference is for David Pipe's runner who looks capable of coping with a steep rise in the weights and class.