Big Fella can rock West End

  • By: Ian Ogg
  • Last Updated: December 7 2012, 17:28 GMT

We analyse the last 10 renewals of Saturday's Betfred Becher Chase at Aintree and pick out the key statistics.

West End Rocker: Scores highly on the stats but Big Fella Thanks gets the nod

  • Winners have been aged 7, 8 (two), 9 (three), 10 (three) and 12.
  • Winners have carried between 9-11 and 11-12 with five weighted at 10-5 or less. However, four of the last six have carried 10-10 or more.
  • Winners have been rated between 123 and 148 with the last six all rated 130+.
  • Winners have been priced between 4-1 and 33-1 with six in single figures and two at 25s or bigger.
  • Two favourites have been successful with three (incl one joint) more placed.
  • Eight of the 10 winners either led or raced close to the pace.
  • Five winners finished in the first four on their preceding start while four were pulled up.
  • Eight winners had been placed at least over three miles or beyond.
  • All of the winners had been successful in a race of 13 runners or more.
  • Eight winners had won a class two chase or above.
  • Five winners (all in the last eight years) were making their course debut.
  • Seven winners had had at least 12 chase starts - the three exceptions were trained by Paul Nicholls.
  • Seven winners had run in October or November.

Summary

It's no surprise that last year's winner West End Rocker again scores highly and he is joined on an initial short-list by Big Fella Thanks, Poker De Sivola, Join Together and Any Currency.

First established in 1992, Into The Red is the only dual winner and didn't win in successive years but Alan King's charge looks to have a big chance from just a 5lb higher mark.

Five of the last six winners had won a class 1 chase which neither Join Together nor Any Currency have managed but the latter has placed four times in such contests so is clearly up to the standard while the former's trainer has won this race three times and his chosen representative is accordingly respected.

There's little to choose between the remaining trio but perhaps Big Fella Thanks can gain due reward over these fences after some sterling efforts in the Grand National over the years and he's nominally preferred.


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