Short history points to Long Run
We analyse all seven renewals of Saturday's Betfair Chase at Haydock and pick out the key statistics.
- Winners have been aged between six and 11 with two nine year olds successful.
- Winners have been priced between 10-11 and 33-1; four favourites have won with three returned odds-on.
- Five winners finished in the first three on their preceding start.
- Six winners had won or been placed in a Grade One Chase.
- Four winners had won the Gold Cup.
- Four winners had contested the race before.
- Four winners had had a prep run.
A race in its relative infancy with the figures skewed somewhat by Kauto Star's four victories in the contest. Grade One form is essential and could have had a clean sweep across the years if Kauto Star and his jockey had kept the partnership intact in 2009.
Cannington Brook and Weird Al fall down on that score but there's little to separate the remaining quartet on the statistics.
Kauto Star won the race for the first time as a six year old and Paul Nicholls will be hoping to repeat the feat with Silviniaco Conti but perhaps Long Run can become the fifth favourite to oblige.
He came up short last year when only the second six year old to have run in the race in its seven year history but doesn't have to take on Kauto Star this time around although this will be the heaviest ground that he'll have encountered since arriving in Britain.