Holding out for a Hero
Ian Ogg opts to hold out for a Hero as he ponders where the pin will drop for his tip of the day.
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If I were to pick out just the one horse to run for me today, it would be Connecticut at Newmarket this evening and it would be no great surprise to see him sent off at odds-on although the resurgent form of the David Lanigan yard would be a nagging concern.
However, you don't need me to put up a short-priced favourite that's regarded as a future Group horse who won a York handicap last time from which the third has won since, the fourth twice, the fifth once while even the eighth has been placed twice and the second and ninth run well in defeat.
It could be worth adding the sixth and seventh to your tracker on My Stable.
Gabbiano runs Ascot well and is bidding for back-to-back wins in the Vartan Ravenscroft October Club Charity Handicap and is back on the same mark but I was a shade disappointed with his run over six at the Berkshire venue last time, probably because I backed him - I may have to revisit that race and take a more sanguine approach.
The preceding John Guest Handicap is a belter and full of horses that I've either backed recently or are on the radar.
Mark Johnston has won four of the last 10 renewals and saddles Salutation, a runner-up to Arab Spring at the Royal meeting over 12 furlongs. He drops back a quarter of a mile in trip which is a distance that promises to suit market rival Elhaame.
You can tie yourself in knots trying to predict the way that a race will be run but Salutation seems certain to race prominently, Zain Eagle adopted those tactics in the John Smith's Cup while Double Discount, Hit The Jackpot and Kingscroft have all led or raced prominently in recent outings.
Clearly something's got to give but this promises to be run at a decent pace which could play into the hands of the hold-up horses such as Elhaame, Rebellious Guest, Charles Camoin and Forgotten Hero.
The last named is a rogue but he's a talented rogue and ran far better than his finishing position suggests at Haydock on his reappearance where he tired close home - you can watch the replay here.
He was an unlucky fourth behind Charles Camoin from a 1lb higher mark over C&D around 12 months ago and his yard is flying at present. The race should be run to suit and he's capable of making his presence felt at a double figure price.
Back him each-way and throw him in a combination forecast with Zain Eagle and Elhaame.
If he wins, indulge yourself in a singalong with Bonnie Tyler via youtube but if he fails to oblige then there's always Connecticut who should make the grade at Ascot even if the state failed to make it into Perry Como's Delaware.