Mal Boyle's Placepot Picks

  • By: Mal Boyle
  • Last Updated: September 3 2015, 15:51 BST

Our Placepot expert Mal Boyle reveals his analysis ahead of Friday's meeting at Haydock.

Each day Malcolm Boyle, the author of How To Win at the Tote Placepot and a former odds compiler, will give his unique analysis.

He'll assess the next day's leading meeting the previous afternoon/evening before posting selections the following morning, usually by 1000 BST.

HAYDOCK - SEPTEMBER 4

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2014: £9.70 (7 favourites - 2 winners - 4 placed - 1 unplaced)

1.30 The average strike rate of the represented trainers during the last fortnight dips below 10% at the time of writing, whereby confidence is at a low ebb given that there are no trends to work with in this new contest. Richard Hannan has, as usual, been sending out plenty of winners albeit via vast numbers with Richard saddling his Paco Boy newcomer NATURAL WONDER this time around. At least I can report that Richard's juveniles at Haydock during the last five years boast a 17% strike rate, as opposed to the trainer's general ratio of 13% at the track. Others to consider include PERU and (possibly) MISS MARINA BAY who tackles decent ground for the first time following two assignments under heavy conditions. COMBE HAY ran well enough on debut to suggest that there could be a small race to be won with the Elusive City filly.

'Favourite factor': This is a new race on the Haydock card with which to open proceedings.

Haydock record of runners in the opening race:

No qualifiers

2.00 Although OUR JOY set a half decent standard at Sandown at the first time of asking, it would be somewhat disappointing if at least one of the newcomers failed to beat the subsequent beaten favourite on this occasion. Lochridge has secured the winners of three races to date via two of the four horses she has produced and as OLYMPIC RUNNER is by the prolific sire Exceed And Excel, Graham Gibbons should enjoy a decent ride aboard the (William Haggas) February foal. Others to keep an eye on include the Hannon pair of newcomers, namely SHWAIMSA and HIGHWAY LASS.

'Favourite factor': All three favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via two gold medal efforts and one of the silver variety.

Haydock record of runners in the second race:

No Qualifiers

2.30 EVANGELICAL ran plenty well enough on debut here at Haydock when finishing just out of the money, with Richard Fahey's Dutch Art raider being the only filly in the 12 strong line up last month. It goes without saying that she should figure prominently in this 'fillies only' event, with connections possibly having most to fear from JADAAYIL, SYMPOSIUM and MHEELA. This looks much the stronger of the two divisions on paper.

'Favourite factor': This is the second division of the previous event on the card.

Haydock record of runners in the third race:

Evangelical ( 1 run - unplaced)
Mysterious Glance (1 run - unplaced)

3.00 Seven of the eight winners have carried 9-2 or more to victory thus far, whilst four-year-olds have claimed four of the last six contests. Vintage representatives have also secured eight of the last 12 available toteplacepot positions whereby ART OBSESSION catches the eye here, if for no other reason than quite a few of the other four-year-olds have been hiked up in the weights despite not winning last time out. David Barron's Excellent Art raider looks well treated by comparison to the likes of PIAZON, STRATEGIC FORCE and HARWOOD'S VOLANTE, even though these horses will no doubt be vying for a toteplacepot position at the business end of the contest.

'Favourite factor': Four of the nine favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (three winners) though rogue gold medallists have reared their ugly 25/1 & 14/1 heads along the way.

P>Haydock record of runners in the fourth race:

Barkston Ash (11 runs - No wins - 2 placed - 9 unplaced)
Compton Park (1 run - won)
Flexible Flyer (1 run - won)
Nezar (2 runs - No wins - 1 placed - 1 unplaced)
Gramercy (3 runs - 1 win & 2 unplaced)
Rich Again (4 runs - 1 win - 2 placed - 1 unplaced)
Ambitious Boy (3 runs - 1 win & 2 unplaced)
Kommander Kirkup (2 runs - No wins - 1 placed - 1 unplaced)
Hoofalong ( 1 run - unplaced)
Grissom (7 runs - No wins - 1 placed - 6 unplaced)
Mutafaakir (1 run - placed)

3.35 All six winners have carried a maximum weight of 9-3, whilst David Nicholls has saddled the two of the last three winners in races in which the stable was represented. David’s raider INXILE can be given a chance here having won one of the three course and distance assignments set before him to date. Others further down the handicap to consider include BASHIBA and ONE BOY, especially as four-year-olds have secured three of the last five contests. The overnight reserve nomination is awarded to FLASH CITY.

'Favourite factor': Four of the seven favourites (via six renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two successful market leaders.

Haydock record of runners in the fifth race:

Newton's Law (2 runs - No wins - 1 placed - 1 unplaced)
Judge 'N Jury (4 runs - No wins - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)
La Cuesta (1 run - unplaced)
Megaleka (1 run - unplaced)
Space Artist (1 run - unplaced)
One Boy (1 run - unplaced)
Inxile (4 runs - 1 win & 3 unplaced)
Flash City (2 runs - No wins - 1 placed - 1 unplaced)
Secret Asset (6 runs - 1 win - 1 placed - 4 unplaced)
Bashiba (2 runs - No wins - 1 placed - 1 unplaced)
Straits Of Malacca (1 run - unplaced)
Thorntoun Lady (1 run - won)
Apricot Sky (2 runs - 1 win & 1 unplaced)

4.10 Four and five-year-olds have (equally) shared the four renewals of the toteplacepot finale to date, with three of the four gold medallists having carried a maximum burden of 9-3. Putting the stats and facts together produces a short list of CAPTAIN BOB, GEORGE CINQ and ZACYNTHUS. The overnight reserve nomination is awarded to BIG TIME.

'Favourite factor': Three of the four favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (including winners at 7/2 & 2/1), though search parties are still out looking for the other 5/1 market leader.

Haydock record of runners in the toteplacepot finale:

Baddilini (1 run - won)
George Cinq (1 run - unplaced)
Alejandro (3 runs - all unplaced)
Captain Bob (1 run - unplaced)
Ticks The Boxes (1 run - placed)
Zactnthus (2 runs - 1 win & 1 placed)
Rodrigo De Torres (1 run - unplaced)
Chosen Character (15 runs - 4 wins - 3 placed - 8 unplaced)

Course and distance winners in toteplacepot races at Haydock on Friday:

1/1 - Flexible Flyer - 3.00
1/3 - Ambitious Boy - 3.00
1/3 - Inxile - 3.35
1/4 - Secret Asset - 3.35
1/2 - Zacynthus - 4.10
1/2 - Chosen Character

** = joint favourite; *** = co-favourite (where applicable).

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Haydock card on Friday

6 - Richard Hannon
4 - Clive Cox
4 - David Nicholls
4 - David O'Meara
3 - Karl Burke
3 - Tom Dascombe
3 - Richard Fahey
3 - Ron Harris
3 - Charlie Hills
3 - John Quinn
3 - Kevin Ryan
2 - Alan Bailey
2 - Ruth Carr
2 - Tim Easterby
2 - William Haggas
2 - Martyn Meade
2 - Brian Meehan
2 - Nigel Tinkler
1 - Eric Alston
1 - David Barron
1 - Michael Bell
1 - James Bethell
1 - Robert Cowell
1 - John Davies
1 - Michael Dods
1 - Simon Crisford
1 - Chris Dwyer
1 - Mick Easterby
1 - Les Eyre
1 - James Given
1 - Jim Goldie
1 - Sarah Hollinshead
1 - Ed McMahon
1 - Garry Moss
1 - Jamie Osborne
1 - Hugo Palmer
1 - Sir Mark Prescott
1 - Derek Shaw
1 - Bryan Smart
1 - Henry Spiller
1 - Roger Varian
1 - Lisa Williamson

77 declared runners

2015 average toteplacepot returns thus far (1005 meetings):
Four meetings with no favourites in the frame: £924.37 (4)
1 race with at least one favourite in the frame: £1,543.07 (23)
2 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £1,049.56 (97)
3 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £480.14 (268)
4 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £290.52 (329)
5 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £69.85 (211)
6 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £18.96 (72)
One meeting was abandoned after two races - left out of these calculations

All references to placed horses on these pages are based on an exact science regarding general place terms offered by bookmakers and totepool.com

Flat venues:
Total Flat meetings (£398.71 - 438 meetings)
Ascot (£637.05 - 13 meetings)
Ayr (£621.48 - 12 meetings)
Bath (£136.45 - 16 meetings)
Beverley (£418.55 - 17 meetings)
Brighton (£1,201.32 - 17 meetings)
Carlisle (£202.39 - 11 meetings)
Catterick (£362.70 - 12 meetings)
Chepstow (£81.73 - 14 meetings)
Chester (£184.89 - 12 meetings)
Doncaster (£367.90 - 17 meetings)
Epsom (£764.87 - 9 meetings)
Ffos Las (£333.87 - 6 meetings)
Goodwood (£190.65 - 17 meetings)
Hamilton (£332.21 - 15 meetings)
Haydock (£422.83 - 17 meetings)
Leicester (£335.73 - 16 meetings)
Lingfield (£337.58 - 7 meetings)
Musselburgh (£489.87 - 13 meetings)
Newbury (£1,346.82 - 14 meetings)
Newcastle (£420.59 - 15 meetings)
Newmarket (July) - £428.33 - 20 meetings)
Newmarket (Rowley Mile) - £136.75 - 9 meetings)
Nottingham (£313.36 - 18 meetings)
Pontefract (£468.58 - 12 meetings)
Redcar (£115.84 - 12 meetings)
Ripon (£170.09 - 15 meetings)
Salisbury (£86.70 - 12 meetings)
Sandown (£140.94 - 14 meetings)
Thirsk (£178.66 - 15 meetings)
Wetherby (£19.10 - 4 meetings)
Windsor (£154.88 - 23 meetings)
Yarmouth (£32.30 - 1 meeting)
York (£1,055.31 - 14 meetings)

All-weather venues:
Total A/W meetings (£281.85 - 203 meetings)
Chelmsford (£323.49 - 33 meetings)
Kempton (£182.67 - 34 meetings)
Lingfield (£455.86 - 46 meetings)
Southwell (£413.50 - 28 meetings)
Wolverhampton (£172.04 - 62 meetings)

National Hunt venues:
Total NH meetings (£380.05 - 352 meetings)
Aintree (£331.40 - 5 meetings)
Ascot (£264.97 - 3 meetings)
Ayr (£413.90 - 9 meetings)
Bangor (£1,324.18 - 9 meetings)
Carlisle (£122.35 - 6 meetings)
Cartmel (£279.53 - 8 meetings)
Catterick (£95.21 - 6 meetings)
Cheltenham (£257.30 - 9 meetings)
Chepstow (£318.67 - 9 meetings)
Doncaster (£161.87 - 6 meetings)
Exeter (£419.99 - 10 meetings)
Fakenham (£215.32 - 9 meetings)
Ffos Las (£132.92 - 10 meetings)
Fontwell (£253.17 - 12 meetings)
Haydock (£469.17 - 4 meetings)
Hexham (£181.43 - 9 meetings)
Huntingdon (£136.01 - 9 meetings)
Kelso (£113.90 - 7 meetings)
Kempton (£70.29 - 8 meetings)
Leicester (£82.10 - 5 meetings)
Lingfield (£85.65 - 2 meetings)
Ludlow (£131.99 - 9 meetings)
Market Rasen (£241.93 - 14 meetings)
Musselburgh (£98.40 - 6 meetings)
Newbury (£153.73 - 7 meetings)
Newton Abbot (£2,804.49 - 13 meetings)
Newcastle (£201.99 - 7 meetings)
Perth (£147.14 - 10 meetings)
Plumpton (£404.27 - 10 meetings)
Sandown (£321.09 - 6 meetings)
Sedgefield (£93.45 - 11 meetings)
Southwell (£494.00 - 13 meetings)
Stratford (£442.34 - 14 meetings)
Taunton (£248.98 - 12 meetings)
Towcester (£80.08 - 7 meetings)
Uttoxeter (£515.58 - 15 meetings)
Warwick (£1,135.76 - 10 meetings)
Wetherby (£666.03 - 8 meetings)
Wincanton (£575.61 - 10 meetings)
Worcester (£178.81 - 14 meetings)

Mixed Turf & A/W Flat meeting:
Lingfield (£446.46 - 11 meetings)

Mixed NH & Flat meeting:
Haydock (£1551.00 - 1 meeting)

The average toteplacepot dividend in 2015 stands at £386.61 (1005 meetings) up to and including Tuesday September 1