Mal Boyle's Placepot Picks

  • By: Mal Boyle
  • Last Updated: August 1 2015, 16:02 BST

Our Placepot expert Mal Boyle brings you his analysis ahead of Sunday's meeting at Chester.

Each day Malcolm Boyle, the author of How To Win at the Tote Placepot and a former odds compiler, will give his unique analysis.

He'll assess the next day's leading meeting the previous afternoon/evening before posting selections the following morning, usually by 1000 BST.


Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2014: £285.90 (6 favourite - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)

2.10 Richard Hannon held four entries for this event last week, though his final declarations are only conspicuous by their absence. The entry at the four day stage of POWDERHORN might be the reason with Mark Johnston's Raven's Pass representative looking to have a decent chance. That said, Sir Michael Stoute sends DOLLAR REWARD up to Chester for his second start, whilst Richard Fahey's newcomer DARK DEVIL cannot be eliminated from the overnight mix.

'Favourite factor': Seven of the last 10 favourites have finished in the frame during the last decade, statistics which include six winners. Favourites come to the party on a four timer on this occasion..

2.40 Top trainers are supporting this race despite the fact that just five runners are lining up on this occasion. The world and his dog knows that Franny Norton rides this venue in a success way that few others can match, though I had never looked up his stats until now. Franny has ridden 47 winners on the Roodee during the last five years with his next best figure being 19 at Haydock, which shows you just how much the underrated pilot excels on this racecourse. Franny climbs aboard ROGUES' GALLERY this time around, Mark Johnston's Fast Company raider being the most exposed juvenile in the field. KING ROBERT could be anything for Bryan Smart though soft ground was in evidence when the Royal Applause gelding won, whilst 62 days have lapsed this that debut success was recorded. In the circumstances, I marginally prefer MADRINHO as the main danger to ROGUES' GALLERY.

'Favourite factor': The inaugural 5/4 market leader duly obliged, though last year's 7/4 favourite failed to follow in the same hoof-prints by finishing fourth of five behind horses which filled the 'short field' frame at 7/2 & 13/2. New readers might like to know that the term 'short term' relates to races for 5/6/7 runner in which just the first two horses home qualify for each way/toteplacepot positions.

3.15 Horses carrying a minimum burden of nine stones have secured seven of the last nine contests, with last year's winner INTRANSIGENT returning to defend his crown off an official seven pound higher mark, with 'only' four pounds more to carry. Those facts suggest that Andrew Balding's top weight should figure prominently at the very least. I'll wager that the seven time winner will not be chalked up at 10/1, as was the case twelve months ago. EASTERN IMPACT and WET SAIL are others that appear to be fairly treated by the terms and conditions, alongside the course and distance winner PORTAMENTO.

'Favourite factor': Eight of the 11 market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the last decade g=during which time, two clear market leaders and one joint prevailed.

3.50 Five-year-olds have won three of the last five renewals with APOSTLE being the last of the vintage raiders to score. As in the previous race, the 2014 winner returns to the scene of his success, with David Simcock's Dark Angel representative carrying the same (9-7) weight off the same (88) mark. Amazingly in a 14 strong line up., MARKET SHARE is the only five-year-old in the field whereby David O'Meara's entry is the second horse on the team sheet. Whether another horse is added into the toteplacepot mix remains to be seen though at the time of writing, other runners catching the eye include SPIRITING and course and distance winner CHOSEN CHARACTER.

'Favourite factor': Favourites have won four of the last eight contests, whilst six market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the study period.

4.25 Tom Dascombe has saddled the last three winners of this contest with the trainer holding two entries last week. Tom has declared both horses, namely ROMAN TIMES and FOUR'S COMPANY. The pair are listed in order of preference with the latter named raider having shot up six pounds for an ordinary looking win at Wolverhampton last time out. TOTAL POWER is nominated as the potential spoiler-in-chief as far as Tom and his team are concerned.

'Favourite factor': All 10 winners during the last decade have scored at a top price of 9/2, statistics which include five successful market leaders. Seven of the 10 market leaders secured toteplacepot positions in the process.

4.55 David Evans celebrated his best monthly turf figures for at least five years in July when saddling 16 winners at a strike of 20%, statistics which produced level stake profits of nearly 80 points! Accordingly, the chance of David's recent Haydock winner SWIFT CEDAR is very much respected in the toteplacepot finale which should not take a great deal of winning. Hydrant might have done his fair share of winning for now, whereby ZABEEL STAR and INTERCONNECTION should offer most resistance to the selection at the business end of the contest.

'Favourite factor': The closing contest relating to our favourite bet is a new race on the Chester card.

** = joint favourite; *** = co-favourite (where applicable).

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Chester card on Sunday

9--Richard Fahey
7--Tom Dascombe
4--David Evans
3--Brian Ellison
3--Mark Johnston
2--Charlie Appleby
2--Andrew Balding
2--John Best
2--Richard Hannon
2--David Lanigan
2--Jedd O'Keeffe
2--David O'Meara
2--Sir Michael Stoute
2--James Unett
1--David Barron
1--Ruth Carr
1--Declan Carroll
1--Luca Cumani
1--Keith Dalgleish
1--Conor Dore
1--Charlie Fellows
1--Paul Fiztsimons
1--James Given
1--Rae Guest
1--Richard Guest
1--Polly Gundry
1--Iain Jardine
1--Phil Kirby
1--Danielle McCormick
1--Graeme McPherson
1--Andrew Reid
1--David Simcock
1--Bryan Smart
1--Ed Vaughan
1--Stuart Williams

65 declared runners

2015 average toteplacepot returns thus far (854 meetings):
Three meetings with no favourites in the frame: £938.63 (3)
1 race with at least one favourite in the frame: £1,788.92 (19)
2 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £852.83 (81)
3 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £502.63 (233)
4 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £301.41 (275)
5 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £71.44 (178)
6 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £18.66 (64)
One meeting was abandoned after two races - left out of these calculations

All references to placed horses on these pages are based on an exact science regarding general place terms offered by bookmakers and

Flat venues:
Total Flat meetings (£363.99--328 meetings)
Ascot (£616.68--12 meetings)
Ayr (£687.29--10 meetings)
Bath (£125.79--12 meetings)
Beverley (£487.58--13 meetings)
Brighton (£411.74--11 meetings)
Carlisle (£289.78--7 meetings)
Catterick (£459.41--9 meetings)
Chepstow (£73.43--9 meetings)
Chester (£196.85--9 meetings)
Doncaster (£354.33--15 meetings)
Epsom (£808.58--7 meetings)
Ffos Las (£238.00--2 meetings)
Goodwood (£106.32--11 meetings)
Hamilton (£431.23--11 meetings)
Haydock (£490.69--14 meetings)
Leicester (£280.84--13 meetings)
Lingfield (£337.58--7 meetings)
Musselburgh (£610.62--9 meetings)
Newbury (£689.27--11 meetings)
Newcastle (£513.10--10 meetings)
Newmarket (July)--£376.28--12 meetings)
Newmarket (Rowley Mile)--£136.75--9 meetings)
Nottingham (£339.61--15 meetings)
Pontefract (£543.70--10 meetings)
Redcar (£119.01--10 meetings)
Ripon (£186.94--10 meetings)
Salisbury (£100.72--8 meetings)
Sandown (£149.82--11 meetings)
Thirsk (£160.79--10 meetings)
Wetherby (£19.10--4 meetings)
Windsor (£200.81--18 meetings)
York (£917.17--10 meetings)

All-weather venues:
Total A/W meetings (£293.62--185 meetings)
Chelmsford (£359.26--29 meetings)
Kempton (£217.63--28 meetings)
Lingfield (£458.18--43 meetings)
Southwell (£426.88--27 meetings)
Wolverhampton (£164.07--58 meetings)

National Hunt venues:
Total NH meetings (£383.97--332 meetings)
Aintree (£331.40--5 meetings)
Ascot (£264.97--3 meetings)
Ayr (£413.90--9 meetings)
Bangor (£1,675.49--7 meetings)
Carlisle (£122.35--6 meetings)
Cartmel (£323.20--6 meetings)
Catterick (£95.21--6 meetings)
Cheltenham (£257.30--9 meetings)
Chepstow (£318.67--9 meetings)
Doncaster (£161.87--6 meetings)
Exeter (£419.99--10 meetings)
Fakenham (£215.32--9 meetings)
Ffos Las (£132.92--10 meetings)
Fontwell (£245.19--10 meetings)
Haydock (£469.17--4 meetings)
Hexham (£181.43--9 meetings)
Huntingdon (£113.25--8 meetings)
Kelso (£113.90--7 meetings)
Kempton (£70.29--8 meetings)
Leicester (£82.10--5 meetings)
Lingfield (£85.65--2 meetings)
Ludlow (£131.99--9 meetings)
Market Rasen (£225.02--12 meetings)
Musselburgh (£98.40--6 meetings)
Newbury (£153.73--7 meetings)
Newton Abbot (£3,303.02--11 meetings)
Newcastle (£201.99--7 meetings)
Perth (£162.20--9 meetings)
Plumpton (£404.27--10 meetings)
Sandown (£321.09--6 meetings)
Sedgefield (£101.72--10 meetings)
Southwell (£571.26--11 meetings)
Stratford (£343.30--12 meetings)
Taunton (£248.98--12 meetings)
Towcester (£80.08--7 meetings)
Uttoxeter (£515.58--15 meetings)
Warwick (£1,135.76--10 meetings)
Wetherby (£666.03--8 meetings)
Wincanton (£575.61--10 meetings)
Worcester (£8379--12 meetings)

Mixed Turf & A/W Flat meeting:
Lingfield (£191.35--6 meetings)

Mixed NH & Flat meeting:
Haydock (£1551.00--1 meeting)

The average toteplacepot dividend in 2015 stands at £373.25 (854 meetings) up to and including Thursday July 30