Mal Boyle's Placepot picks

  • By: Mal Boyle
  • Last Updated: February 7 2016, 15:25 GMT

Our Placepot expert Mal Boyle reveals his analysis for Monday's meeting at Wolverhampton.

WOLVERHAMPTON – FEBRUARY 8

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £112.10 (6 favourites: 3 winners & 3 unplaced)

2.10 Tony Carroll has saddled three of the last four winners of this contest (all returned as market leaders), whilst securing the silver medal on the occasion that the trainer missed out! Tony held two options the other side of the weekend and the trainer has offered the green light to his recent Lingfield winner EASYDOESIT, though the five time winner has not strung back to back victories together for over three years. Five of the six gold medallists carried a minimum burden of 9-3 and alongside EASYDOESIT who qualifies via the weight trend, I will add the names of STONEHAM and ASTRA HALL to the short list. The overnight reserve nomination is awarded to NEXT EDITION.

Favourite factor: The last five favourites (of six in total) have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include three winners.

Wolverhampton record of course winners in the first race:
1/14--Medieval Bishop
2/11--Stoneham
2/19--Easydoesit
1/14--Delagoa Bay

2.40 It could hardly constitute as a trend after just two renewals, but all four Placepot positions have been claimed by horses carrying a minimum weight of 9-4 whereby MASTERPAVER, CASTILO DEL DIABLO and LUV YOU WHATEVER are given the nod over Blue Surf via the four relevant qualifiers. The trio is listed in order of preference at the time of writing. The potential joker in the pack is Andrew Balding's HAINES who was right in the middle of securing a four timer at this time of year 12 months ago.

Favourite factor: The two market leaders have claimed gold and bronze medals to date, though those efforts were only good enough to secure one Placepot position.

Wolverhampton record of course winners in the second event on the card:
1/10--Luv U Whatever
2/3--Masterpaver
3/11--Sunblazer (C&D winner)
1/1--Paddys Motorbike

3.10 Before One Pekan ran at Chelmsford on Sunday (this analysis was written before the outcome of that result was known), Roger Varian has won with three of his last six runners whereby the chance of his two raiders on the Wolverhampton card were greatly respected. Roger saddles APPEARED in this contest, with connections probably having most to fear from the likes of two of the newcomers, namely BUNBURY and SARMEDEE.

Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Wolverhampton card.

Wolverhampton record of course winners in the third contest:
No qualifiers

3.40 Six-year-olds have claimed both contests thus far via just 30% of the total number of runners, yet the 'edge' seems to have passed trainers by on this occasion. Upwards and onward by suggesting that Roger Varian's second (and final) runner at Dunstall Park could be good enough to lift this four runner 'win only' event, namely MINUROWNBUSINESS. Jim Crowley's mount is a seven time winner via just 15 assignments thus far and like his sire Cape Cross, this trip (eight and a half furlongs) is ideal. His last six victories have been at a mile or this distance, whilst the official ratings indicate that the race should be there for the taking. Course winner BASIL BERRY is nominated at the chief threat.

Favourite factor: The two market leaders have claimed gold and bronze medals to date, though those efforts were only good enough to secure one Placepot position.

Wolverhampton record of course winners in the fourth race:
2/7--Basil Berry
1/3--Mindurownbusiness (C&D winner)

4.10 Seven of the eight winners during the last decade have carried 9-5 or more, statistics which bring BINKY BLUE, HERCULLIAN PRINCE and (possibly) AJIG into the equation, though I mindful of the declaration of three-year-old UBLA down at the bottom of the weights in this selling contest.

Favourite factor: Six of the nine market leaders have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include three winners.

Wolverhampton record of course winners in the fifth event:
1/10--Binky Blue (C&D winner)
1/5--Hercullian Prince
1/10--Ocean Legend

4.40 With no trends to work with, I will stick to in form trainers who have been going well during the last fortnight, namely Sir Mark Prescott (ratio of 4/6 during the period), Simon Crisford (2/4) and Marco Botti (4/13) who saddle SEYCHELLOISE, PERIL and CRAZY CHIC respectively. This trio should certainly land the Placepot dividend for us if we are live going into the finale.

Favourite factor: The toteplacepot finale is another new race on the Wolverhampton card.

Wolverhampton record of course winners in the sixth race:
1/4--Baddalini
1/3--Horstead Keynes
1/1--Peril (C&D winner)
1/1--Crazy Chic (C&D winner)
2/5--Seychelloise (Dual C&D winner)
1/4--Hillbilly Boy
2/10--Air Of York (C&D winner)

All references to placed horses on these pages are based on an exact science regarding general place terms offered by bookmakers and totepool.com

** = joint favourite; *** = co-favourite (where applicable).

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Wolverhampton card on Monday
3--Michael Appleby
3--David Evans
2--Alan Bailey
2--Marco Botti
2--Tony Carroll
2--Steph Hollinshead
2--David Simcock
2--Roger Varian
2--Lisa Williamson
1--Kim Bailey
1--Andrew Balding
1--Brian Barr
1--James Bennett
1--Mick Channon
1--Robert Cowell
1--Simon Crisford
1--Tom Dascombe
1--Conor Dore
1--Christine Dunnett
1--Chris Dwyer
1--Michael Easterby
1--John Flint
1--Tony Forbes
1--Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque
1--De de Giles
1--Micky Hammond
1--Shaun Harris
1--Peter Hiatt
1--Sarah Hollinshead
1--Iain Jardine
1--Eve Johnson Houghton
1--Richard Hughes
1--Dean Ivory
1--Brett Johnson
1--Mark Johnston
1--Phil Kirby
1--Sylvester Kirk
1--Daniel Mark Loughnane
1--George Margarson
1--Paul Midgley
1--Patrick Morris
1--Michael Mullineaux
1--Hugo Palmer
1--Amanda Perrett
1--Sir Mark Prescott
1--Bill Turner
1--James Unett
1--Charlie Wallis
1--Jason Ward

60 declared runners

2016 average toteplacepot returns thus far (108 meetings):
1 race with at least one favourite in the frame: £612.64 (6 occasions)
2 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £1,159.96 (5 occasions)
3 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £676.07 (29 occasions)
4 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £153.09 (36 occasions)
5 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £69.37 (26 occasions)
6 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £16.22 (6 occasions)

All-weather venues:
Total A/W meetings (£277.26 - 56 meetings - Average Placepot dividends)
Chelmsford (£113.36--11 meetings)
Kempton (£491.42--8 meetings)
Lingfield (£90.83--15 meetings)
Southwell (£538.31--11 meetings)
Wolverhampton (£269.27--11 meetings)

National Hunt venues:
Total NH meetings (£405.05 - 52 meetings - Average Placepot dividends)
Ascot (£69.10--1 meeting)
Ayr (£135.30--2 meetings)
Catterick (£71.62--4 meetings)
Cheltenham (£522.90--2 meetings)
Chepstow (£991.25--2 meetings)
Doncaster (£226.40--3 meetings)
Exeter (£36.80--1 meeting)
Fakenham (£104.60--2 meetings)
Haydock (£22.40--1 meeting)
Huntingdon (£90.20--3 meetings)
Kempton (£161.25--2 meetings)
Leicester (£129.00--2 meetings)
Ludlow (£203.67--3 meetings)
Market Rasen (£184.70--1 meeting)
Musselburgh (£337.97--3 meetings)
Newcastle (£232.90--1 meeting)
Plumpton (£1,473.37--3 meetings)
Sandown (£593.55--2 meetings)
Taunton (£62.37--3 meetings)
Towcester (£112.75--2 meetings)
Uttoxeter (£5,524.10--1 meeting)
Warwick (£267.85--2 meetings)
Wetherby (£399.97--3 meetings)
Wincanton (£124.30--2 meetings)

The average toteplacepot dividend in 2016 stands at £337.82 (108 meetings) up to and including Saturday February 6