Value Bet: A Cup cracker

  • Last Updated: May 15 2014, 19:19 BST

Matt Brocklebank is on Value Bet duty looking ahead to the feature event on the third and final day of the Dante meeting at York.

Ahzeemah rates a rock-solid selection at double-figure odds in the Yorkshire Cup
Ahzeemah rates a rock-solid selection at double-figure odds in the Yorkshire Cup

The Sky Bet Yorkshire Cup is the undoubted highlight on the Knavesmire on Friday, and for some it's the highlight of the week.

The staying division in general sometimes comes in for a bit of flak, but this event always seems to capture the imagination and we look to have a very interesting renewal in prospect.

Marco Botti's Prix Royal-Oak winner Tac De Boistron tops the market having already shown he's in great health with an impressive victory in the Sagaro Stakes at Ascot.

The bare form of that event is questionable, with his main market rivals Harris Tweed and Simenon not running their race at all and the 95-rated Earth Amber filling the runner-up spot.

However, he's a Group One winner, a proven stayer and has to be respected despite having to concede weight all round.

I'm willing to overlook a couple of the others at the top of the market due to the fact we simply don't know if they have the stamina for this mile and three-quarters test.

Gospel Choir is the obvious one as his profile resembles Sir Michael Stoute's 2009 Yorkshire Cup winner Ask, although Ask had at least had a previous crack at the trip in the St Leger during his three-year-old campaign.

Cubanita, second to Tac De Boistron at Chester last September, has won her two starts since, including a defeat of dual subsequent winner Noble Mission in the John Porter.

However, the step up in trip is also an unknown for Ralph Beckett's mare. In fact, only three horses in the line-up have won Group races over a distance in excess of a mile and a half, and they are the aforementioned Tac De Boistron, last year's winner Glens Diamond and AHZEEMAH.

Godolphin haven't won this great race since Mamool 11 years ago but Saeed bin Suroor took the prize five times between 1995 and 2003 and one suspects he'll have Ahzeemah ready to roll for his seasonal reappearance.

A hugely consistent performer, the son of Dubawi finished in the first two places in 11 consecutive races before that fine run came to an end at Ascot on Champions Day when last sighted in October.

The testing ground produced some strange results that day and, given his earlier consistency, Ahzeemah cannot be judged too harshly on that one run at the end of a long season.

Last year he showed high-class form in finishing second in the Goodwood Cup and Irish St Leger, as well as winning the Lonsdale Cup here in the autumn, while Kieren Fallon gets on well with the five-year-old, having partnered him to victory out in Meydan last March.

Everything looks in place for a huge performance, with the drying ground of no concern whatsoever, and the general 10/1 available represents a very attractive price.

2pts win Ahzeemah in 2.45 York at 10/1 (General)

Ben Linfoot's Value Bet Aim: The Value Bet is designed to generate long-term profit by searching for overpriced horses in the feature weekend races and at the big Festivals in the UK. Running total: +268.81pts to advised stakes/prices (from inception of Value Bet column in January 2010 to current).