Have You Seen the value
Ben Linfoot seeks out the value in Saturday's Paul Stewart Ironspine Charity Challenge Gold Cup at Cheltenham.
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It was tough getting home at Cheltenham on Friday and with further rain forecast going into Saturday we could have a similar result to the Paddy Power Gold Cup in Saturday's feature.
Only six horses finished from 18 starters in the Paddy Power, including runner-up Walkon, who is the likely favourite for the Paul Stewart Ironspine Charity Challenge Gold Cup.
He's gone up just 5lb for his fine second to Al Ferof and given that he was 12 lengths ahead of the third, Nadiya De La Vega, you could come to the conclusion that he is fairly treated.
Robert Thornton took the shortest route on Walkon that day, clinging to the inside, and a similar ride could provide a similar result.
He's a worthy market leader, but 5/1 isn't big enough to entice me given his career record suggests that he can decline after his first run of the season.
If he isn't to go off favourite the market leader mantle could be passed to Unioniste who might be very well handicapped at the foot of the weights.
However, I'd worry about his inexperience in a contest as tough and competitive as this one and he's not one I would be rushing to side with at the prices.
Cristal Bonus and Notus De La Tour have claims and I particularly like the latter who might be well handicapped on his novice chase form in Ireland.
Like Cristal Bonus, though, he looks to have found his correct price in the market at around 8/1 after being as big as 12s earlier in the week and there are a couple of much bigger-priced horses with each-way claims that I want to get stuck into.
First, GOLDEN CHIEFTAIN. He won at Worcester on his second start of the campaign in easy fashion, racing prominently before cruising to a 14-length success.
After watching Cheltenham's card on Friday I think you want to be fairly prominent in the early stages and if this horse can rediscover the form he showed at Worcester - form franked by Simply Wings - I think he has an outstanding chance.
Racing prominently could be key to his chances but the soft ground could be ideal too and at 20/1 he's worth chancing back down in trip after his Badger Ales flop.
That run, where he was pulled up, is a concern. But it's factored into his price and though he's done a lot of his running over three miles I think he's better at forcing it over slightly shorter.
I also think it's worth backing HAVE YOU SEEN ME at 50s for Nigel Twiston-Davies.
If his name was a question the answer would be no, not for 611 days, and while such a long absence is a concern, it's less worrying given who his handler is.
Twiston-Davies is very patient with his horses and don't forget Imperial Commander was off the track for almost a year before he ran away with the Paddy Power Gold Cup in 2008.
This horse hasn't got such obvious claims, but he did beat Micheal Flips and Divers, both 140-plus rated horses now, off level weights in a novice chase two years ago and he also ran a cracker off 1lb higher when last seen.
That race was here at Cheltenham where he was beaten a length after leading from the first fence to the last and as I said earlier, such tactics could be advantageous.
He races from 2lb out of the handicap if you include Adam Wedge's claim and while he could probably do with the ground riding slightly quicker, I can't resist him at such a big price given how very well handicapped he could be.