Timeform: Dawn cut above

  • Last Updated: October 10 2012, 9:58 BST

Timeform feel Saturday's Darley Dewhurst Stakes at Newmarket is at the mercy of Dawn Approach - with Jim Bolger's unbeaten colt a full eight pounds clear of his nearest rival on their ratings.

Dawn Approach: Well clear of his rivals on Timeform ratings

That doesn't include the 'p' symbol which signifies the son of New Approach is capable of an even higher mark.

Dawn Approach has a master rating of 121p going into the race which would be good enough to win most renewals of the race.

Timeform Chief Correspondent Jamie Lynch explained: "Dawn Approach is, according to Timeform, the top-rated two-year-old in Europe, and his rating of 121p is already good enough for him to win an average renewal of the Dewhurst Stakes.

"Three of the last four Dewhurst winners only achieved a rating of 117 in the race itself, which says something of the standard Dawn Approach is already at. The one exception in that time is, of course Frankel, who ran to 126 in the Dewhurst, though others in the last twenty years have earned an even higher figure in winning the Dewhurst, namely New Approach, who recorded a rating of 127 in 2007, and Xaar, whose mark of 132 remains one of the highest ever achieved by a juvenile.

"This year's Dewhurst is at the mercy of Dawn Approach, who's head and shoulders above the likely competition, by upwards of 8lb on Timeform ratings, and it's hard to envisage any scenario in which he'll be beaten, with his form looking stronger still after Sunday's win in the Group One Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere by Olympic Glory, whose only defeat in five starts came at the hands of Dawn Approach in the Coventry Stakes."

Timeform weight-adjusted ratings for the Darley Dewhurst Stakes:
134p Dawn Approach, 126 Cristoforo Colombo, 125p Dundonnell, 125 Parliament Square, George Vancouver, 122 Havana Gold, 121p Ashdan


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