Roz well worth a second Glance

  • By: Simon Holt
  • Last Updated: September 28 2012, 15:00 BST

Our in-form expert Simon Holt previews Friday's action at Newmarket including the Shadwell Fillies' Mile.

Roz: Looks overpriced in Fillies' Mile

1pt win Roz in 14.55 Newmarket at 10/1 (Boylesports).

1pt win Side Glance in 14.20 Newmarket at 7/1 (bet365).

Roz, the winner of two of her three starts so far, could prove a value bet in Friday's Shadwell Fillies Mile at Newmarket where she bids to give trainer Harry Dunlop the most prestigious success of his career.

The cheaply bought (16,000gns) daughter of Teofilo has punched well above her weight so far and showed an excellent attitude to make all the running in a listed event at Sandown in late-July.

Given that the third-placed filly that day Purr Along has gone on to win in France and finish a close second behind Friday's likely favourite Certify subsequently, that form almost certainly gives Roz stronger claims than her current odds suggest.

Admittedly, the lines of form are slightly conflicting as the Sandown runner-up Savanna La Mar was quite well beaten by Certify and Ollie Olga in two subsequent efforts whereas a line through the fifth, Amazonas, suggests Roz can beat Ollie Olga.

Whatever, one can't help feeling that if Roz had cost more money and been trained in a bigger yard, she would be set to start at a shorter price.

Another formline involving Richard Hannon's grey filly Sky Lantern suggests there is little to choose between Certify and Ollie Olga who beat that useful performer at Newmarket and Goodwood respectively and, while Certify pulled well clear with Purr Along at Doncaster, it was a little disappointing she wasn't able to win with more authority given she started odds-on.

Of the two, the unbeaten Ollie Olga could just have a slight edge.

One open to some improvement is John Gosden's filly Winsili who scored decisively on the July Course first time out and was then given an moderate ride when second to Lovely Pass at Ascot where given plenty to do in a slowly-run race.

Earlier, the Nayef Joel Stakes looks a tricky puzzle and Side Glance could gain reward for some consistent efforts this season.

Andrew Balding's five-year-old is 4lb better off with Tazahum, who he beat a neck into third, when chasing home Dubai Prince at York's Ebor Meeting (Stipulate sixth) and he twice finished well ahead of Premio Loco on earlier starts including when third to the mighty Frankel in the Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot.

Some of these look very closely matched but the much hyped Most Improved could be a big threat if reproducing his St James' Palace Stakes win at the Royal Meeting since when a poor run against top quality opposition in the Prix Jacques le Marois can probably be forgiven.

However, a 4lb penalty for winning at Group One level negates the three-year-old's weight-for-age allowance here so he has to meet hardened older horses on level terms.

Click here for a completely free £10 horse racing bet with Sky Bet