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CHELTENHAM NEWS
Picture Rule Supreme was a shock winner (Getty Images).

DAY TWO ANALYSIS

By Dave Ord

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2.00: A fair renewal of the Royal & SunAlliance Novices' Hurdle and won in game style by Fundamentalist. A good winner on his Kempton debut, he had not impressed everyone with his attitude at Haydock next time when second to Royal Rosa but did absolutely nothing wrong here. Travelling well off a decent pace he was in front two out and overcame a mistake at the last to fend off the late thrust of favourite Inglis Drever. Chasing is always going to be the winner's game – he is a triple point-to-point winner, but connections hope to taste further success at Liverpool and Punchestown this season. Providing this hasn't left its mark, and he is relatively fresh, the three miler at the former venue would look an ideal target. Connections are undecided whether to go over fences next season or not and Cashmans' quote of 16-1 him to win the Royal & SunAlliance Chase next year makes little appeal. Inglis Drever was the form horse in the race but came off the bridle surprisingly early. He did run on strongly from the bottom of the hill but needs softer ground. This performance made a mockery of suggestions he should have run in the Champion Hurdle on Tuesday and he would need the mud to be flying to be effective against the best at the minimum trip. Grey Report ran a tremendously brave race in third having made the running. However he has his limitations and the fact he was only four-and-a-half lengths adrift of the winner at the line suggests this wasn't a vintage renewal. Sadler's Wings was a major disappointment having flattered to deceive coming down the hill. He was warm beforehand and didn't fire on the day but not for the first time in his career, he didn't look entirely straightforward. The on-course money for Very Optmistic was hard to fathom as he needs softer ground. He was never a factor in the final six furlongs but remains a good chasing prospect.

2.35: A race that completely changed complexion from the bottom of the hill with Our Vic failing to last home and justify strong stable confidence. Instead the race went the way of Rule Supreme, long regarded as a good prospect but sent off at 25-1 and Willie Mullins' second string. His fencing has long been a cause for concern but his sustained run from the third last eventually took him to the front on the run in. He clearly has talent but his fencing will always be a problem as connections ponder where to go next. Mullins feel he has the engine to be a Gold Cup horse but fears he lacks the scope for the Grand National. He could be hard to place. Royal Emperor ran very well in second considering he would have preferred softer ground and jockey Dominic Elsworth dropped his whip. He is going to be aimed an next year's Cheltenham Gold Cup but needs to progress further before becoming a leading contender. No excuses were offered for Our Vic and as owner David Johnson admitted it is "back to the drawing board" with him. He had travelled like the winner coming down the hill and may be better on flatter tracks. He remains lightly raced and an exciting prospect. There was carnage at the second last where the Mullins first string Mossy Green came to grief, bringing down Pizarro. Ruby Walsh felt his mount would have been placed without winning, a remark which mirrored the verdict of Barry Geraghty over Pizarro. Both are talented young chasers but much depends on how the handicapper assesses their performances to date. Calling Brave parted company with Mick Fitzgerald four out and returned with a big cut to his leg. He is expected to make a full and speedy recovery but while connections felt he wasn't beaten at the time of his exit, neither were they saying he was set to play a leading role in the finish. All in all a fair renewal of the race but one which again leaves us without a natural heir to Best Mate's throne.

3.20: Not the clash of the giants we had expected but a display of breathtaking quality from Azertyuiop who won this race with a decisive turn of pace turning for home. However his race was really won four out when for the second year running Moscow Flyer dived at the fence. In 2003 he survived, this year Barry Geraghty was unshipped. He had been slow at two previous fences too and Jessica Harrington admitted afterwards that her star had not been able to settle into his rhythm. We will never know if he would have managed to overcome these problems to defend his crown but it seems unlikely. The winner is 2-1 to repeat his success in 2005 with William Hill, who make Moscow Flyer 5-2. God willing they seem set to dominate this division for another 12 months and set a very good standard for Well Chief and company to aim at. Remarkably Venn Ottery looked to be the danger to the winner as he was still swinging away approaching the second last. He emptied at the bottom of the hill to finish a leg weary fifth and trainer Paul Nicholls was inclined to blame his previous breathing problems. However he warned if these could be sorted out the remarkable nine-year-old would "not be far behind Azertyuiop next year." Philip Hobbs felt Flagship Uberalles would finish second behind the big two and therefore expected him to be second following Moscow Flyer's exit. It was a good run from the previous champion, tying in with his Tingle Creek effort earlier in the season. As Hobbs pondered maybe he had run as well here as when winning the race two years ago. He is third best of his generation now. Cenkos ran on up the hill to finish fourth which was commendable given the fact he had raced up with the pace. Mick Fitzgerald feels he may stay further but he is always going to struggle in this elite company. Ei Ei and Eskleybrook were out of their depth.

4.00: Connections of Monkerhostin have enjoyed a good month and their seven-year-old was a brave winner of the Coral Cup. Travelling strongly throughout, he was still swinging away turning in and then responded well to pressure to fend off the sustained challenge of Court Shareef. He was undoubtedly helped the presence of Rhinestone Cowboy in the field, allowing him to carry 10-8 but will struggle to find handicaps from here. He is proven at a higher level though and at the age of seven looks more straightforward than has been the case in the past. The runner-up carried no fewer than 11 pounds more than his long handicap mark and while it was a personal best, it could also be one he pays a hefty price for. Rhinestone Cowboy ran a cracker in third, still travelling well but losing touch with the two principals going to the last. He ran on to hold on to third without threatening to close the gap and it will be fascinating to see where he goes next. A step up to genuine staying distances could be on the cards as connections clearly feel he lacks the speed to mix it with the very best at two miles. Mughas ran another honest race in fourth but is a pound or two too high in the weights. His hand was played in November when he won a couple of quick races but he has progressed since. He deserves a chance of luck. Emotional Moment ran well in fifth, his handicap mark having been protected by a mixed season over fences. He could still have his day in a race of this nature. The French Furze has dropped to a lenient mark but is far from straightforward and it seems highly unlikely that he will be able to exploit it.

4.35: Not a race to take too strong a view about but favourite backers went home happy after Native Emperor overhauled Celestial Gold in the dying strides. Robert Widger gave the winner a very confident ride and was still some 25 lengths adrift of leader Celestial Gold going to the second last. However he began to eat into the defecit soon after and as the leader tired, he was well on top at the finish. Handicaps look the future of the winner who has plenty of ability. The runner-up ran a super race and looked all over the winner when storming clear at the third last. He couldn't maintain his relentless gallop up the hill but is lightly raced and there are more races to be won with him. Drombeag, a stablemate of the winner, was also given plenty to do but made eyecatching headway down the hill. He could never land a telling blow to the principals but held on well for third. His best days are in front of him.

5.10: Tikram defied his novice status and being three pounds out of the handicap to win well under Timmy Murphy. He jumped well in the main and showed great tenacity up the hill. Useful over hurdles, he is going to be even better over fences. Iznogood has been in great form of late and he gave the winner most to do. Racing prominently throughout he battled on splendidly under the McCoy drive. He can win again providing he remains in the same heart. Performance of the race came from the third home Fondmort who was under pressure going to the last but stayed on strongly for third. He is on a career high handicap mark and is never going to find it easy but is a model of consistency around here and a credit to connections. Jakari was among the disappointments of the race but both Turgeonev and Polar Red caught the eye. The former had chased Isio home in the Vodafone Gold Cup last time and did well to finish fifth after losing his pitch four out. He was carried wide too after the last and remains at the top of his game. Polar Red looked set to play a major role in the finish turning in but his stamina limitations were exposed. He would be of interest dropped in trip this spring.

5.45: The secret was out after her gallop at Leopardstown and Total Enjoyment received one of the roars of the meeting in winning the bumper. She was impressive too, always going well for Jim Culloty, going on two furlongs out and thundering home up the hill. She has a bright future along with runner-up Refinement, another mare who was anchored off the early pace. She could never reel the leader in close home but never gave up the chase and was clearly the pick of the home team. Master Albert ran on well from an impossible position to claim third but his Fairyhouse conqueror Martinstown was a bitter disappointment. He went out very quickly as the tempo increased and with his form upheld, is definitely worth another chance. He remains a fine long-term prospect. Knocknabooly very much caught the eye, travelling best for a long way before failing to sustain his run inside the final quarter of a mile. He isn't short of speed and will be a fascinating recruit to hurdling next winter.

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