Bag a Monday Night Profit

  • By: Andy Schooler
  • Last Updated: November 4 2012, 11:06 GMT

Romelu Lukaku: Impressive for West Brom this season

4pts West Brom to beat Southampton at 3/4 (Coral, Ladbrokes).

1pt West Brom to score four goals or more v Southampton at 13/2 (Coral).


West Brom v Southampton (2000 GMT)

The advice for this week's Monday Night Football is simple - back West Brom to beat Southampton at the Hawthorns.

The Baggies have made a flying start to the season under new boss Steve Clarke and their success so far has largely been based on their home form.

They've already beaten Liverpool and Everton at the Hawthorns, as well as Reading and QPR.

The wins have been achieved with some fine attacking football - something that should worry Southampton and their sieve-like defence.

Having struggled to get a game at Chelsea, loan signing Romelu Lukaku seems to be thriving on regular football and has proved a handful for opposition defences. He's scored three goals so far but has played a part in several more.

The threat from what is now an impressive midfield unit is also notable with James Morrison outstanding during the first part of the season. The likes of Zoltan Gera and Chris Brunt have also found something like their best form and all three provide real creativity for the Baggies.

Critics may point out that West Brom come into this game on the back of two straight defeats, but look back at those games and they were unfortunate to lose both in injury time - last week's loss courtesy of a deflected strike being particularly galling.

However, it may be that those results have helped inflate their price for 3/4 still looks too big to me.

Given Southampton's displays so far, I feel they should be around 8/15.

The Saints simply can't keep the goals out - some of their defending has been comical at times - and they have lost seven of their nine league games so far, conceding 26 times in the process.

The figures in their away games are of even greater concern to their fans.

They've yet to concede fewer than three goals in a single game on their travels.

Manchester City (3), Arsenal (6) and Everton (3) all took their backline apart. That was an admittedly tough run to start the season with but when they then went to West Ham they let in four.

Things didn't get any better in midweek when they lost 3-0 at Leeds in the Capital One Cup, while even League One Stevenage scored against them earlier in the season.

Given West Brom's attacking threat, that defence seems in for another tough time on Monday.

Yes, Southampton do possess a goal threat of their own (14 goals have been scored) but West Brom really should be too good and warrant support.

For those who aren't too enamoured by the 3/4 price, throwing some small change on the Baggies to score four or more may be of greater interest.

Coral offer that occurrence at 13/2 which given the teams' strengths and weaknesses already highlighted seems more than fair.

Verdict: West Brom 4 Southampton 1

  • The match is being televised live in the UK by Sky Sports.

  • Preview posted at 1100 GMT on 04/11/2012.