Go with Grissom at Ayr

  • By: Man On The Spot
  • Last Updated: September 22 2012, 9:23 BST

14.05 Newbury Dubai Duty Free Arc Trial

Tim Easterby: Silver Cup chance

A tricky renewal with none of the contestants ticking all the boxes. Last year's St Leger hero Arctic Cosmos went to pieces after a pleasing reappearance win at Kempton and it's hard to know what to expect on his first start since May. Coquet had also been progressing well but never figured in the Oaks at Epsom or the Yorkshire Oaks last time while winning handicapper Black Spirit has come unstuck in previous starts at this level. Lay Time was all out to win a Group 3 in soft ground at Windsor last month but she's at least going the right way, though it could be worth sticking with CAMERON HIGHLAND. He won a Listed race on the same card at Windsor and, although this is tougher, scored by over four lengths. There looks more to come from Roger Varian's colt.

14.20 Ayr William Hill Ayr Silver Cup

No Nicholls runners in this heat but Kevin Ryan fields four, as does Richard Fahey. Pat Smullen partners Hamza for the former and the three-year-old will be a leading fancy having followed up his victory at Newmarket with a neck second to Heeraat at York. Stablemate Lightning Cloud has become disappointing, however, while none of the Fahey quartet have obvious claims with El Viento 5lb higher than when beating Prodigality at Ripon five weeks ago and closely matched with Spinatrix on that run. Face The Problem had Ancient Cross, Kaldoun Kingdom and the luckless Mass Rally behind when second in the Portland Handicap at Doncaster last week but this looks a big ask under a big weight. Highland Colori was second over 7f at Doncaster and handles soft ground so has to go on the short-list, while Amadeus Wolfe Tone landed a gamble over this trip on Town Moor and that form has already been franked. Despite a penalty, he should be thereabouts and Trade Secret is also useful on his day. Mayoman and Fast Shot could also be worth a second look but it could be worth taking a chance of a return to form from GRISSOM. Tim Easterby's gelding likes big fields and won on heavy going at Hamilton in July. He was successful at Pontefract the last time he raced in this grade and could represent a bit of value here as his ability to stay further will surely be an asset.

14.35 Newbury Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes

Caspar Netscher won this last year on the back of a victory in the Gimcrack and Heavy Metal was beaten only a head in the same race at York last month. He had Cay Verde, a subsequent winner of a Group 3 in France, a length behind and beat Master Of War when winning the Richmond Stakes before that. Cougar Ridge went close behind Lietir Mor in a Group 3 at the Curragh last time but the Irish raider will need more in this and MOOHAAJIM makes most appeal. He stepped up on his debut win at Ascot to finish a creditable fifth in the Group 1 Prix Morny behind the high-class Reckless Abandon at Deauville last month. Taayel could be anything having won his debut at Yarmouth easily, but Funk Soul Brother went backwards in the Coventry at Ascot after posting a winning debut and stablemate Lucky Beggar has plenty to find in this company.

14.50 Ayr Laundry Cottage Stud Firth Of Clyde Stakes

Royal Rascal's third behind Rosdhu Queen in the Lowther at York is probably the best form on offer here and she has the beating of City Girl on that run. She shouldn't be far away if handling the heavy ground but it's often worth following a two-year-old filly at this time of year if she strikes form and there didn't look to be any fluke about MARY'S DAUGHTER's win at big odds in a nursery on the Knavesmire last month. Along with Momalorka, she did finish behind Royal Rascal at Newmarket earlier but wasn't beaten far and may be capable of reversing the form on this much easier surface. Lasilia could have found an easier race in which to try 6f for the first time but the lightly-raced Melody Of Love could be interesting as she had some useful juveniles well behind when second in a Listed race at Ripon last time. Faithfilly was due to run in yesterday's Roseberry Stakes.

15.10 Newbury Dubai Duty Free Handicap

Only one winning favourite in the last 10 years tells it's own story and though Blue Surf will appreciate the return to today's trip, he's 7lb higher than when winning earlier at Goodwood. Kirthill carried top weight to victory at York last month but today's shorter distance rather than a 5lb rise may prove his undoing and a couple of three-year-olds look to have stronger claims. Expense Claim is one of those after a good effort behind Poet in Listed company over C&D, while Mister Music found trouble in running behind Laajooj at Newmarket last time and can figure with a clear run. However, SPECIFIC GRAVITY had beaten Licence To Till by five lengths before a decent fourth to Black Spirit at Doncaster so Sir Henry Cecil's charge gets the vote on only his fourth start of the year. Unex El Greco and Hajras have each-way claims.

15.30 Ayr William Hill Ayr Gold Cup (Heritage Handicap)

Maarek has blossomed this year and thrives on heavy ground. He has a penalty for winning a Group 3 at the Curragh a week ago, however, and will need to improve again if he's to confirm Newcastle running in June with BOASTFUL. Considering Elaine Burke's filly hasn't dipped below Group 3 company since winning a Listed race on soft ground at Goodwood in May, she's a massive price for this prestigious handicap as she appears to have the beating of last year's winner Our Jonathan and another former winner, Regal Parade, on the form book and will get a good tow from a couple of speedsters underneath the stands rail. Colonel Mak was fourth in the race last year and is only a pound higher than when beating a big field at Doncaster in April. He looks a real danger and stablemate Waffle deserves a change of luck in one of these big sprints having finished second in the Wokingham and fourth behind Hawkeyethenoo in the Stewards' Cup when Alben Star, Shropshire and recent Beverley winner Borderlescott were behind. Captain Ramius may come out best of Kevin Ryan's quartet while the unexposed Sholaan is potentially well treated and has won on soft going, though hasn't raced since failing to justify favouritism at Windsor at the end of June. Doc Hay won the Portland handicap last week, once the best trial for this, but looks vulnerable under a penalty in this company and The Cheka makes more appeal as he has form at the highest level and will handle the ground better than most.

15.45 Newbury Dubai International Airport World Trophy

Reduced to racing in plating company early this year, Ballista has finally come good and won three of his last four starts. This is tougher but he's a sprinter in form which is more than can be said of Tiddliwinks. The latter has been well beaten since landing a couple of Group class sprints over 6f back in May but the minimum trip on fast ground brings out the best in Desert Law as when winning at Ascot last month just ahead of Taajub. Both of the latter pair have claims but Secret Witness, Ballesteros and My Girl Anna would prefer some cut. The three-year-olds Excelette and Angles Will Fall should go well but a speculative vote goes to KINGSGATE NATIVE. The seven-year-old is having only his second start of the year since joining Robert Cowell, who has some terrific sprinters in his care, and is still capable of a big run as he showed when fourth in last year's Nunthorpe.

15.55 Newmarket Betfred Cesarewitch Trial Handicap

Plenty of these will be back for the Cesarewitch next month and Mark Tompkins' runners are always worth a second glance in this trial. The trainer won this race in 2010 and Dazinski, who was second in a two miler at York, would have solid claims if the rain stays away. Nanton is consistent and Secret Tune performed well in last year's contest, but we believe that NEW YOUMZAIN is the one to be on. Mick Channon's three-year-old got the better of Bradbury when they met at Chester and though they meet again, our selection looks open to improvement and a win should see him making the cut for the big race. Body Language made all to win a Ripon handicap though she'll need to have improved in the interim. Saborido won a four-runner affair over 2m1f at Bath though Amanda Perrett's hat-trick seeker is yet to prove that he stays this trip when tackling it at a less sedate pace.