Anderson value to down Lewis

  • By: Carl Longhawn
  • Last Updated: March 13 2014, 20:29 GMT

Gary Anderson can upset newly-crowned UK Open champion Adrian Lewis in the Premier League on Thursday, says darts man Carl Longhawn.

Gary Anderson: 21/10 a good price about the Scot beating Lewis
Gary Anderson: 21/10 a good price about the Scot beating Lewis

It's the sixth week of action in Premier League Darts with Nottingham's Capital FM Arena playing host to the action.

Peter Wright continues to top the league following last week's draw with Robert Thornton but the headlines in the darts world belong to Adrian Lewis. He followed his draw with MVG last Thursday by winning the UK Open in impressive fashion with a 11-1 victory over Terry Jenkins in the final with an average of 109.

There is every possibility that this will not be the only major tournament victory this season for 'Jackpot' and he will be focused on adding the Premier League to his career achievements.

Lewis is back in action against Gary Anderson on Thursday - here's my match-by-match guide:

Simon Whitlock v Peter Wright

'Snakebite' remains unbeaten in this competition following his draw last week. He will still be full of confidence despite a relatively early exit in the UK Open. What is making Wright so tough to beat is his scoring power, not in terms of 180s but his ability to consistently hit scores of 100-plus. More often than not his worst visits are 80-100. Whitlock picked up his first victory of the season last week with a ruthless display in which he was 100% on the doubles. If he repeats that this week then he will be in with every chance of beating Wright but it is not a match that strikes me as a decent betting proposition.

Adrian Lewis v Gary Anderson

It shouldn't be underestimated how much confidence Lewis could gain from his victory at Minehead this weekend. In fact his previous major victory, which came in last summer's European Championship, was a precursor for superb form in the second half of 2013. However, Anderson will also be full of confidence after his impressive victory over Taylor last week and he lost nothing in defeat to Ian White in the UK Open. There has been a big improvement in the checkout percentage of the Scot this year. He also has a positive head-to-head record over Lewis in this event and is taken to continue this with a victory at a tasty price of 21/10.

Michael van Gerwen v Wes Newton

Tonsillitis forced Newton to miss last week's match as well as the weekend's UK Open and it's not clear if he has fully recovered from this illness. What is clear though is that he faces a mountain to climb if he is to get anything from this match as MVG continues to produce performances of consistently high standards. He has yet to reproduce the level he showed against Taylor in week one but such is the rivalry with Lewis that he will be eager to respond to what unfolded at the UK Open. The match betting is very lopsided but 6/4 about MVG hitting more 180s than Newton with a -1 handicap looks good value. MVG has hit 17 maximums so far, compared to Newton's 13 (six of which came one match), so he should be backed.

Raymond van Barneveld v Robert Thornton

Once again, the inconsistencies of Barney continued last week. After his superb performance beating MVG in Glasgow, he was abject at best against Chisnall last week and was somewhat fortunate to escape with a point. The pattern would suggest he will produce a good performance this week but it's tough to say so with any confidence. Thornton had two matches last week and played well in both and was a tad unlucky to have run into a clinical Whitlock and a confident Wright. His points total of four leaves him in relegation battle given that he has played an extra match. Overall, this match best left alone.

Phil Taylor v Dave Chisnall

It was another defeat for Taylor last week in Exeter against Anderson which he promptly followed up with a defeat in the UK Open to relative unknown Aden Kirk. It's too soon to start proclaiming that this is the beginning of the end of Taylor's career but the lateral drift of the first dart of a set is major short-term worry. I still think he can return to form but will need his personal life to be more settled before this happens. As for this week, Chisnall failed to take advantage of a below-par Barney and this has been a recurring theme. There is no value in backing either man at the prices and so I'm going to use my betting bank elsewhere.

  • Posted at 2250 GMT on 11/03/2014.

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