Spurs and Agger do appeal

  • By: Ben Linfoot
  • Last Updated: February 3 2013, 13:32 GMT

Ben Linfoot reckons Spurs can win on Sunday while he's siding with Daniel Agger to break the deadlock against Man City at big odds.

Agger: Huge price to score first at 40/1
Agger: Huge price to score first at 40/1

Spurs have drawn three league games on the trot but they can get back on the winning trail at struggling West Brom, while Liverpool defender Daniel Agger looks overpriced each-way in the first goalscorer betting against Man City.

West Brom v Spurs

West Brom have started sloppily in their three games since their capitulation at Reading and if they're as docile out of the blocks against a quality Spurs outfit they'll get punished. The Baggies have conceded the first goal in their last three games - in defeats against QPR and Everton and the 2-2 draw with neighbours Aston Villa. Their home form, usually pretty reliable, has also dipped recently - you can add defeat to Fulham to the poor results against QPR and Villa at the Hawthorns since the turn of the year. It all makes the 5/2 about the Baggies unappealing against a Tottenham side that is pushing for a Champions League spot. A better bet is the 85/40 on offer about the half-time score being 0-0 given Spurs score the vast majority of their goals in the second half, but taking into account West Brom's current first-half form we'll swerve that one. The most solid wager is simply Spurs to win the game at a shade of odds-against. There will have been plenty of burnt fingers when Andre Villas-Boas' team drew at Carrow Road midweek but Norwich is a tough place to go, as Manchester United found out, and Spurs can get back on track here following three consecutive league draws against an out-of-form West Brom.

Verdict: West Brom 0 Spurs 2

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Manchester City v Liverpool

Three points are vital for Manchester City on Sunday as they could be 10 behind Manchester United by the time they kick-off against Liverpool but they don't appeal at odds-on to get the job done. They couldn't beat QPR in midweek and Liverpool look much more dangerous in attack since the arrival of Daniel Sturridge. The Reds won't be gifted goals like they were at Arsenal on Wednesday but their ability to compete with a top side away from home was evident and City, who were held 2-2 at Anfield earlier in the season when neither side was at the top of their game, could be held again. 11/4 is fair about the stalemate and is worth considering, but I think a better bet lies in the first goalscorer market with Daniel Agger chalked up at a huge 40/1. The Danish centre back has been threatening to get on the scoresheet again recently and went close at Arsenal where he had a header cleared off the line. The way I see it the two most likely ways Liverpool will score on Sunday is either on the break or from a set piece and Sturridge and Luis Suarez are likely to win corners - Liverpool average over seven per game in the Premier League. Martin Skrtel broke the deadlock between these two in the reverse fixture with a header from a corner and while he is worth considering at 40s too, he might struggle to get his place back after Jamie Carragher's man of the match performance at the Emirates. In any case, it's Agger who's looked more of a threat recently and his turn might not be far away. He scored the only goal of the game with a header against Southampton earlier in the season, he also scored at QPR and if Carragher does retain his place Agger becomes Liverpool's biggest threat at set-pieces. Bet365 go 40/1 and their each-way terms (1/3 unlimited) are also favourable making this a better bet than anytime goalscorer.

Verdict: Manchester City 1 Liverpool 1

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