Home form key to crunch clash
Our Football League man Craig Chisnall is siding with Burnley and two other form sides on this weekend's coupon.
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What a game is in prospect at Turf Moor this weekend and I'm going with surprise package Burnley to continue their fine home form with a win over Derby.
Sean Dyche's Clarets have been a revelation this season with their automatic promotion push showing no signs of faltering.
After the departure of star striker Charlie Austin to QPR in the summer they were written off by many but they've taken not a bit of notice.
Dyche has moulded a relatively small but tight-knit squad that has no shortage of quality with the likes of Kieran Trippier rated by many as the best right-back outside the top flight.
But it's been in attack where they've really flourished with strikers Danny Ings and Sam Vokes forming a brilliant partnership.
They have plundered 42 goals between them to ensure Austin has barely been missed and they will be key against the third-placed Rams.
Burnley passed a big test by breezing past Nottingham Forest last weekend and are yet to be beaten at home this season.
The Rams' adventurous approach will surely lead to a superb game but I believe the home side should be favoured.
It has taken them long enough this season but Sheffield United are finally clicking into gear and look far too big at MK Dons this weekend.
Some see a lengthy FA Cup run as a distraction these days. Not United, though, as their march to the last eight has galvanised their league form.
As well as seeing off Aston Villa, Fulham and Nottingham Forest in the Cup to set up a clash with Charlton, they've won their last four league matches and six in all competitions.
And it's not before time with those 12 points garnered dragging them out of the bottom four and into mid-table.
It's even led to some Blades fans talking of a late play-off push. That looks unlikely but the recent additions of defender John Brayford, wide man Ben Davies and attacking midfielder Stefan Scougall have added real quality.
Boss Nigel Clough has built their improvement on a much tighter backline - they've not conceded a goal in the last four league wins - and they will head to stadium:MK full of confidence.
The Dons remain one of the mysteries of the division this term, mixing the sublime with the ridiculous, and that makes the 9/4 on the Blades too good to ignore.
Bury are also hitting good form at the right time and after our success with them at Mansfield in midweek I'm backing them to pile more home misery on Cheltenham.
The Shakers were a whopping 15/8 at Field Mill and made a mockery of that price as they saw off the Stags 4-1.
That's now two away wins on the trot in an unbeaten run of six matches for David Flitcroft's men and their decision to make wholesale changes in the January transfer window is reaping rewards.
The permanent arrival of proven goalscorer Daniel Nardiello, he scored two at Mansfield, was always going to guarantee an improvement in attack but they've also tightened up at the back as well.
They are now seven points clear of the bottom two and have jumped above their next opponents on goal difference.
The Robins were 4-0 down in half an hour in midweek at home to Chesterfield before eventually losing 4-1 so are hardly in great shape.
With all of the above considered, Bury are well worth a punt again at a very healthy price.