Something for the weekend
Matt Briggs picks out the value on this weekend's coupon with Fulham fancied to pile more misery on Sunderland.
- Related Content
Fulham v Sunderland
Fulham used to be a team you could rely on at home and there are signs under Rene Meulensteen that the Cottagers are getting back that formidable home form.
Both West Ham and Aston Villa have been sunk in recent weeks at the Cottage and the 5/4 about another home win looks too good to last.
It's fair to say that Fulham's home record is not too impressive with just three wins from 10, but they have faced Man City, Tottenham, Arsenal and Manchester United. That's been a tough run, but against teams in the bottom half of the table their record looks far more impressive with six victories in 10 matches overall.
Sunderland are propping up the table and away from home have chalked up just the one victory. And while that looks poor, a glance at their record against bottom half teams is awful with just three goals scored and no wins in 10 games. Add those poor stats to the fact that they face United in the Capital One Cup semi-final in midweek and things look tough for Gus Poyet's men. They disposed of Carlisle in the FA Cup at the weekend with a strong-looking line-up and Poyet will most likely field a full-strength side against United so his charges might well be out on their feet when they make the long trip down to the capital at the weekend.
It points towards a home win and the 5/4 available from three or four of the layers looks a value punt, but it might not last long.
Bristol Rovers v Exeter
By Paul Tisdale's own admission, his Exeter side are "an inch away from becoming a good team" and they look a solid bet to win away at Bristol Rovers at 11/5 over the weekend.
Tisdale was frustrated after seeing the Grecians lose 1-0 at home to Mansfield last weekend, but away from home Exeter look a better side and have picked up considerably more points. They've managed five wins and four draws away from Devon and against teams in the lower half - which is what The Gas certainly are - they have won six of their 12 clashes.
Rovers, who face a tough FA Cup date at Crawley in midweek, have been disappointing this season, but at home they have lost just twice and been hard to beat. Lowly Wycombe did return from the Memorial Stadium with all three points thought so Exeter shouldn't be too concerned and if they can add goals to their enterprising approach play then they could waltz away from Bristol with the points.
Only one firm has put up the 11/5 though and after a tough FA Cup date for Rovers, don't be surprised to see the odds on an away win tumble before Saturday.
Swindon v Peterborough
Swindon have been terrific at home this season and only table toppers Brentford have chalked up more home wins so the 11/8 about another home triumph on Saturday looks a good shout.
Eight wins, one draw and two defeats from their 11 home games is a fantastic return and when you consider they're facing one of the division's out of form teams the 11/8 looks a steal.
Peterborough are the visitors and although the Posh sit in fifth spot, they have lost their last three league games and two of those have been away at Coventry and Carlisle. Their boss Darren Ferguson said his men "were just not getting those decisions" after being denied a goal at Kidderminster last weekend and a trip to the County Ground would hardly be his next fixture of choice. The Posh are feeling the heat and Swindon look more than capable of obliging, but be quick as only one bookie has the 11/8 available.
- Selections given in order of preference.