Draw profit from cagey encounters
Sky Bet's Dale Tempest thinks some Premier League managers may begin to settle for draws and has three lined up this weekend.
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As the league starts to take shape, you've got the serious contenders in the top 10, all of whom have ambitions for titles or European qualification.
The bottom seven, from Stoke downwards, will surely start the process of trying not to lose. A steady grind of single points over a busy Christmas period will be attractive to many managers and we could see results which reflect this.
At the weekend, Crystal Palace v Cardiff is a standout example for me with a draw more than likely.
Rene Meulensteen at Fulham must surely make it his first job to try and stop Fulham's run of defeats by not losing, and again that could be a telling factor when Aston Villa visit Craven Cottage on Sunday.
The other one is Sunderland, who host Spurs. They produced a spirited display against Chelsea and have been playing much better under Gus Poyet. Against a team of Spurs' quality, I'm sure the new boss would settle for a point rather than be too ambitious and go for all three.
A small draw trixie on those three looks a great starting point for any weekend staking plan.
Going back to the Palace game, another bet which appeals is under 1.5 goals at 7/4. These are the two lowest-scoring sides in the Premier League and if either takes the lead, they're likely to shut up shop. It's quite possible that if there is a goal in this game, it's the only goal.
West Ham, amazingly, have failed to score in 23 of 28 trips to Anfield, which I suppose is a bit of an irrelevant stat when it's a different team this time around. However, this is a side who've failed to score in five of their seven away games and with Luis Suarez firing on all cylinders, Liverpool to win to nil is the standout bet at a shade of odds-against.
As the games pile up, the bigger squads of Manchester City and Chelsea will really prove their worth, with managers able to change formations and players without compromising on quality.
The double will be popular with punters but I'm happy to leave them both alone at the prices.