Portsmouth have every right to celebrate their promotion to the Premiership
after proving themselves the outstanding team in Division One throughout the
season - but the real battle lies ahead.
If they thought winning the First Division title was tough, they are about to
discover that ensuring top flight survival is a whole lot harder.
Two of last season's three promoted clubs have achieved the initial target of
avoiding the drop after all three went about it in different ways.
Manchester City already boasted a Premier-style set-up under manager Kevin
Keegan, Birmingham City's mega-rich owners were rewarded for their bold January
transfer window investment to ensure survival and West Bromwich Albion paid the
price of relegation for putting the financial stability of the club before
risking all on a gamble to stay up.
Not that they can be blamed for that. In recent years Bradford City and
Barnsley both spent to try and stay in the Premiership, failed and have been
struggling desperately ever since.
Bradford have just narrowly avoided a further drop from Division One while
Barnsley have only just survived the further ignominy of going down to Division
Three.
Relegation just about drove Leicester City, who have overcome the financial
problems caused by spending on their new stadium to bounce back into the
Premiership, out of business while the effects of the drop have pushed Ipswich
Town into administration.
Different circumstances affect different clubs in different ways both on the
way up and on the way down but falling to the temptations of risking all on
ensuring top-flight survival is rarely the wisest course.
"Throwing money at a situation doesn't guarantee success. You can spend a lot
of money and still go down," warns sport and leisure analyst David Pope, of
Brewer Dolphin, who, on past evidence, expects Portsmouth, who will be
restricted by the income from the 19,420 capacity at Fratton Park, to be
"frugal and sensible."
Pompey, boosted by former Arsenal and England star Paul Merson's decision to
have one final hurrah in the Premiership at the age of 35 after playing such a
big part in their championship success, will receive between £16million and
£18million in additional television revenue in the big league.
"The quantifiable bits are the TV money but, historically, the largest
portion of that goes on player wages because managers like to strengthen their
squads and clubs have to reward their players for taking them up," he said as
he pointed out: "Some clubs maybe go up a few seasons before they are really
ready to operate in the Premiership."
But clubs can provide their own safety net by not mortgaging themselves up to
the hilt by getting tied into long contracts with highly-paid football
mercenaries and when it comes to doing that Pompey boss Harry Redknapp is a
shrewd operator.
"Bolton and other clubs like them haven't spent heavily on transfer fees but
have brought in people on high wages on loan deals and short-term contracts.
"It's sensible because if things go wrong they are not stuck with those
players and, although it is a short-term mindset, it can prove successful,"
added Pope.