Tigers to take victory

  • By: Reece Killworth
  • Last Updated: February 16 2013, 17:13 GMT

Our Reece Killworth is backing Leicester to edge a tight Aviva Premiership contest with Harlequins this weekend.

Leicester can get the better of Harlequins this weekend.
Leicester can get the better of Harlequins this weekend.

Having tipped them in my ante-post preview, Leicester's climb to the top of the Aviva Premiership last weekend brought a smile to my face.

I certainly wasn't popping the champagne corks, though, given that by the close of play on Saturday night they could be back in third place in the table and only a point ahead of surprise packages Wasps in fourth.

That would mean Saracens beating Exeter (likely) and then Harlequins getting the better of the Tigers in their crunch top-of-the-table clash at the Stoop.

It's Richard Cockerill's men who bring more momentum into the game as they've won each of their last five matches in the Premiership.

Quins were in a good run of form themselves - four wins on the spin in the league and 10 in all competitions - going into last weekend before slipping to a 17-16 home defeat against Wasps, though the usually reliable Nick Evans could have nicked a win for the defending champions late in the game.

The bookies reckon this will be a tight contest, as a handicap of Leicester +3 suggests.

Leicester have won on each of their last eight trips to the Stoop, but Quins have triumphed in three of the last four games played between the sides.

I favour the visitors this weekend as they should have a bit more momentum and that fine recent record on Quins turf can only be a good thing.

As if it weren't big enough on its own, Leicester know this game is followed by a clash with fellow title hopefuls Saracens next weekend.

Get with the Tigers to come away with the spoils as this weekend's best bet.

I'm going to add a further selection in the game and that's two or more cards at 2/1 with Ladbrokes.

Referee Wayne Barnes is averaging around two cards a game at the moment and the prospect of a tight contest increases the likelihood that tensions will spill over to a degree.

Regardless, Leicester's last five games have seen 15 cards shown and Quins' recent record is eight in five, both stats that make the price seem generous.

There have been four yellows and two reds in the last five meetings of these sides and at 2/1 I'm prepared to chance that two or more will be awarded.

  • Preview posted at 1915 GMT on 15/02/2013.