October 2016

Profit since start of 2003 until start of current month (October 2016) is +3129.29pts

October fixed-odds running total = -45.86pts

October ante-post running total = +5.00pts

October overall running total = -40.86pts


Ben Linfoot Value Bet (Oct 22) - 1pt win Quarterback in 2.20 Newbury at 18/1 (Coral, BetVictor), 1pt win Humidor in 2.40 Doncaster at 18/1 (General), 1pt win Devil's Bride in 3.30 Cheltenham at 16/1 (bet365, BetVictor). LOSS=3pts

Simon Holt (Oct 22) - 2pts win Rivet in 3.50 Doncaster at 11/2 (General);  2pts win Makzeem in 1.35 Doncaster at 7/2 (Betfair Sportsbook, Paddy Power. PROFIT=9pts

Ben Linfoot Value Bet (Oct 15) - 1pt win Brando 2.00 Ascot at 14/1 (General), 1pt win Signs Of Blessing in 2.00 Ascot at 14/1 (General), 1pt win Pretty Perfect in 2.35 Ascot at 25/1 (General), 1pt win Here Comes When in 4.25 Ascot at 33/1 (Betfair Sportsbook). LOSS=4pts

Simon Holt (Oct 15) - 1pt e.w. Signs Of Blessing in 2.00 Ascot at best morning price; 2pts win Third Time Lucky in 4.25 Ascot at 10/1 (General). LOSS=4pts

Ben Linfoot Value Bet (Oct 8) - 1pt win The Cashel Man in 4.10 Newmarket at 14/1 (General), 1pt win Grumeti in 4.10 Newmarket at 40/1 (Ladbrokes), 1pt win Lexington Abbey in 3.45 York at 18/1 (Betfair Sportsbook), 1pt win Teruntum Star in 3.45 York at 33/1 (General). LOSS=4pts

Simon Holt (Oct 8) - 2pts win Seven Heavens in 3.30 Newmarket at 9/1 (General); 1pt e.w. Nakeeta in 4.10 Newmarket at best morning price. LOSS=4pts

Ben Linfoot Value Bet (Oct 7) - 1pt win Gold Faith in 3.45 Newmarket at 25/1 (bet365); 1pt win Ice Slice in 2.20 York at 20/1 (General); 1pt win Landsman in 3.25 York at 11/1 (General) LOSS=3pts

Simon Holt (Oct 7) - 2pts win Spatial in 3.10 Newmarket at best morning price (9/2) (General); 2pts win Double Lady in 2.05 Newmarket at best morning price (7/2, General). LOSS=4pts

Simon Holt (Oct 2) - 2pts win Found in 3.05 Chantilly at 15/2 (William Hill, Betway); 1pt e.w. Left Hand in 3.05 Chantilly at 22/1 (sportingbet, William Hill). PROFIT=13pts

Ben Linfoot Value Bet (Oct 1) - 1pt win Duretto in 2.30 Ascot at 16/1 (Coral, Sky Bet), 1pt win Squats in 3.40 Ascot at 10/1 (General), 1pt win Donncha in 3.40 Ascot at 14/1 (Betfred, sportingbet, betway), 1pt win Arabian Queen in 4.00 Newmarket at 16/1 (General). LOSS=4pts

Simon Holt (Oct 1) - 2pts win Librisa Breeze 3.40 Ascot at best morning price (13/2); 2pts win Haley Bop 2.50 Newmarket at best morning price. PROFIT=11pts


Sunday Premier League (Oct 23) - 1pt Manchester City to beat Southampton and both teams to score at 21/10 (888sport, Betfred, William Hill); 1pt Manchester United to beat Chelsea at 14/5 (bet365); 1pt Eric Bailly to be first player booked in Chelsea v Manchester United at 11/1 (Paddy Power). LOSS=3pts

Saturday Premier League (Oct 22) - 1pt Tottenham to beat Bournemouth to nil at 12/5 (Stan James, sportingbet); 2pts Wilfried Bony to score anytime v Hull at 21/10 (Ladbrokes, Betfair Sportsbook); 1pt Swansea to beat Watford at 7/5 (Betfred); 1pt Sunderland/Draw in double-chance market v West Ham at 5/4 (bet365. Betfair Sportsbook). LOSS=5pts

Saturday EFL (Oct 22) - 1.5pts Huddersfield to beat Derby at 17/10 (General); 1.5pts Doncaster to beat Blackpool at 29/20 (Marathon Bet). PROFIT=1.05pts

Europa League (Oct 20) - 2pts Krasnodar to beat Schalke at 7/5 (General). LOSS=2pts

Champions League (Oct 19) - 2pts Man City-Draw in double-chance market at 37/20 (Bet Stars); 2pts Celtic to beat Borussia Monchengladbach at 2/1 (General). LOSS=4pts

Champions League (Oct 18) - 1pt Raphael Varane to score at any time v Legia Warsaw at 7/1 (Betfred). LOSS=1pt

Monday Premier League (Oct 17) - 1pt Manchester United to beat Liverpool at 13/5 (General); 1pt Jesse Lingard to score anytime v Liverpool at 4/1 (General) - VOID (did not play). LOSS=1pt

Sunday Premier League (Oct 16) - 1pt Watford to keep a clean sheet at 11/4 (bet365); 2pts Burnley/Draw Double Chance v Southampton at 21/10 (General). PROFIT=0.75pts

Saturday Premier League (Oct 15) - 1pt Ryan Mason to score any time in Bournemouth v Hull at 17/2 (Paddy Power, Unibet); 2.5pts Tottenham to beat West Brom at 4/5 (BetBright); 2pts Crystal Palace to beat West Ham at 6/5 (Betfred, Betway). PROFIT=4pts

Saturday EFL (Oct 15) - 1pt Wolves to beat Aston Villa at 10/3 (bet365). LOSS=1pt

Tuesday World Cup qualifiers (Oct 11) - 2pts England to beat Slovenia and under 3.5 goals to be scored at 11/10 (Bet Stars); 2pts Slovakia to draw with Scotland at 23/10 (bet365, Betfred). LOSS=4pts

Monday World Cup qualifiers (Oct 10) - 4pts double Belarus and Bosnia-Herzegovina both to win at 0.77/1 (sportingbet). LOSS=4pts

Sunday World Cup qualifiers (Oct 9) - 1pt Wales to beat Georgia 1-0 at 9/2 (William Hill, Paddy Power);1pt Wales to beat Georgia 2-0 at 9/2 (William Hill, Paddy Power); 4.5pts Israel to score before 27:00 mins v Liechtenstein at 5/6 (bet365). PROFIT=1.75pts

Saturday World Cup qualifiers (Oct 8) - 1pt England to beat Malta 2-0 at 11/1 (William Hill); 2.5pts Scotland to beat Lithuania to nil at 23/20 (BetVictor). PROFIT=8.5pts

Weekend EFL (Oct 8-9) - 2pts Bury to beat Peterborough at 13/5 (bet365, Betfair Sportsbook). LOSS=2pts

Friday World Cup qualifiers (Oct 7) - 2pts Belgium to beat Bosnia-Herzegovina to nil at 7/5 (General); 1pt Michy Batshuayi to score last in Belgium v Bosnia-Herzegovina at 5/1 (Betway); 1pt Netherlands v Belarus to be 0-0 at half-time at 5/2 (Hills). PROFIT=1.8pts (Batshuayi tip VOID)

Thursday World Cup qualifiers (Oct 6) - 2pts Gareth Bale to score in Austria v Wales at 7/4 (BetVictor); 1pt Draw/Republic of Ireland in half-time/full-time v Georgia at 3/1 (888sport, BetVictor). PROFIT=1pt

Sunday Premier League (Oct 2) - 2pts both teams to score in Man United v Stoke at 21/20 (Betfair Sportsbook); 1pt over 3.5 goals in Leicester v Southampton at 3/1 (Betfair Sportsbook); 2pts Burnley/Draw in double chance v Arsenal at 21/10 (General); 2pt Dele Alli to score any time for Tottenham v Man City at 15/4 (Bwin); 1pts Man City/Draw in half-time/full-time against Tottenham at 15/1 (BetVictor). PROFIT=5.6pts

Weekend Football League (Oct 1) - 2pts Accrington to beat Cambridge at 15/8 (General). LOSS=2pts

Saturday Premier League (Oct 1) - 2pts Liverpool/Liverpool in half-time/full-time at 5/4 (BetStars); 2pts Chelsea (-1) to beat Hull on handicap at 11/8 (888Sport); 1pt West Brom to beat Sunderland at 40/17 (888Sport, Unibet); 1pt Watford to beat Bournemouth at 7/5 (888Sport). LOSS=1.25pts


CIMB Classic (Oct 20-23) - 1.5pts e.w. Kevin Na at 22/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6 Paddy Power); 1pt e.w Kevin Chappell at 33/1 (1/4 1,2,3,4,5 General). LOSS=5pts

Portugal Masters (Oct 20-23) - 1pt e.w. Thomas Aiken at 50/1 (1/4 1,2,3,4,5 Coral, sportingbet); 1pt e.w. Marcel Siem at 100/1 (1/4 1,2,3,4,5 Stan James); 1pt e.w. Anthony Wall at 40/1 (1/4 1,2,3,4,5 bet365). LOSS=6pts

Safeway Open (Oct 13-16) - 1pt e.w. Martin Laird at 66/1 (1/6 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8, Stan James); 1pt e.w. Patrick Rodgers at 100/1 (1/4 1,2,3,4,5, bet365); 1pt e.w. Mark Hubbard at 400/1 (1/4 1,2,3,4,5, Sky Bet). LOSS=5.6pts

2017 PGA Tour Money List - 2pts e.w. Patrick Reed at 25/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4 BetVictor); 1pt e.w. Paul Casey at 66/1 (1/4 1,2,3,4 Paddy Power). Result pending

British Masters (Oct 13-16) - 1.5pts e.w. Andrew Johnston at 40/1 (1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6 Sky Bet); 1pt e.w. Mikko Ilonen at 100/1 (1/4 1,2,3,4,5, Ladbrokes, Coral); 1pt e.w. Bradley Dredge at 50/1 (1/4 1,2,3,4,5 BetVictor). LOSS=7pts

Alfred Dunhill Links Championship (Oct 6-9) - 1pt e.w. Graeme McDowell at 66/1 (General 1/4 1,2,3,4,5); 1pt e.w. Richie Ramsay at 100/1 (Sky Bet, sportingbet 1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6); 2pts e.w. Tommy Fleetwood at 33/1 (BetVictor 1/4 1,2,3,4,5); 0.75pt e.w. George Coetzee at 175/1 (General 1/4 1,2,3,4,5); 0.75pt e.w. Chris Paisley at 200/1 (Betfred, Stan James 1/4 1,2,3,4,5); 0.5pt e.w. Stephen Gallacher at 250/1 (Paddy Power 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7). LOSS=12pts

Ryder Cup Singles (Oct 2) - 1pt Martin Kaymer to beat Matt Kuchar at 11/5 (Betfair Sportsbook). PROFIT=2.2pts

Ryder Cup (Sep 30-Oct 2) - 2pts USA to win 14.5-13.5, 15-13 or 15.5-12.5 at 11/5 combined (General); 8pts Brooks Koepka to be top US rookie at 10/11 (Betfred); 1pt Andy Sullivan to be top European rookie at 13/2 (Stan James, Betfred); 1pt Dustin Johnson to be top overall scorer at 15/2 (Betfair); 3pts Rory McIlroy to be first out in singles at 9/2 (William Hill); 1pt Justin Rose to be first out in singles at 11/2 (bet365, William Hill). PROFIT=15.77pts


Bangladesh v England Test series - 3pts Alastair Cook top England series batsman at 3/1 (Sky Bet), 2pts Tamim Iqbal top Bangladesh series batsman at 9/2 (Paddy Power). Result pending

Bangladesh v England ODI series (Oct 7-12) - 4pts Bangladesh to win ODI series v England 2-1 at 11/4 (Ladbrokes). LOSS=4pts

Rugby league:

Super League Grand Final (Oct 8) - 2pts Warrington (-2) to beat Wigan at 11/10 (Hills); 2.75pts under 36.5 total points at 10/11 (Hills); 1pt Daryl Clark to be named Man of the Match at 9/1 (Paddy Power); 1pt Daryl Clark to score the first try at 25/1 (Paddy Power); 1pt Rhys Evans to score the first try at 16/1 (Sky Bet, Paddy Power).  LOSS=2.5pts

Super League/NRL Grand Final (Sep 29-Oct 2) - 2pts double Wigan (-4) and Melbourne (-2) at 4/1 (bet365, Stan James, Hills); 1pt Suliasi Vunivalu to be first tryscorer in NRL Grand Final at 7/1 (general); 2.5pts under 35.5 total points in NRL Grand Final at 4/5 (Hills). LOSS=1pt


Gavin v Eggington (Oct 22) - 4pts Frankie Gavin to beat Sam Eggington by decision or technical decision at 5/4 (bet365). LOSS=4pts

Bellew v Flores (Oct 15) - 2pts Tony Bellew to beat BJ Flores by decision or technical decision at 9/4 (Sky Bet, Paddy Power). LOSS=2pts

Burns v Relikh (Oct 7) - 2pts Ricky Burns to beat Kiryl Relikh in rounds 7-12 at 4/1 (General); 1pt Ricky Burns to beat Kiryl Relikh in rounds 10-12 at 10/1 (General). LOSS=3pts

Braehmer v Cleverly (Oct 1) - 2pts Nathan Cleverly to beat Juergen Braehmer by decision or technical decision at 7/2 (bet365). LOSS=2pts


WTA Finals (Oct 23-30) - 2pts win Agnieszka Radwanska at 9/2 (Paddy Power). Result pending

ATP Shanghai Masters (Oct 9-16) - 3pts Novak Djokovic to beat Andy Murray in the Shanghai Masters final at 9/2 (Sky Bet); 2pts e.w. Juan Martin del Potro to win the Shanghai Masters at 25/1 (Paddy Power). LOSS=7pts


World Grand Prix (Oct 2-9) - 1pt Phil Taylor to win World Grand Prix at 5/1 (Sky Bet, Betfred), 1pt James Wade to win his quarter at 100/30 (Sky Bet) - LOSS=2pts


International Championship (Oct 23-30) - 1pt e.w. Ricky Walden to win the International Championship at 50/1 (1,2 1/2 - General); 1pt e.w. Ali Carter to win the International Championship at 66/1 (1,2 1/2 - General). Result pending

English Open (Oct 10-16) - 3pts Ronnie O'Sullivan to win the English Open at 4/1 (bwin). LOSS=3pts

European Masters (Oct 3-9) - 2pts Shaun Murphy to win the European Masters at 12/1 (General). LOSS=2pts

American Football:

Sunday NFL (Oct 23) - 1pt Los Angeles-NY Giants in HT/FT result at 15/2 (BoyleSports); 1pt Lance Kendricks to score a touchdown anytime at 7/2 (Hills). LOSS=2pts

Thursday NFL (Oct 20) - 2pts Alshon Jeffrey to score a touchdown any time at 13/10 (Ladbrokes). LOSS=2pts

Sunday NFL (Oct 16) - 2pts under 22.5 total Washington points v Philadelphia at 4/5 (Sky Bet, Betfair Sportsbook); 2pts Atlanta (+6.5) to beat Seattle at 10/11 (General). LOSS=0.18pts

Thursday NFL (Oct 13) - 2pts San Diego (+3.5) to beat Denver at 5/6 (bet365, Hills). PROFIT=1.67pts

Sunday NFL (Oct 9) - 1pt Cordarelle Patterson to score a touchdown anytime v Houston at 13/2 (Paddy Power); 3pts Matt Ryan to have under 256.5 passing yards v Denver at 5/6 (Paddy Power). PROFIT=3.5pts

Thursday NFL (Oct 6) - 2.5pts David Johnson to have more than 88.5 rushing yards v San Francisco at 5/6 (bet365). PROFIT=2.08pts

Sunday NFL (Oct 2) - 1pt Indianapolis to beat Jacksonville by 1-6 points at 7/2 (BetVictor, Ladbrokes); 2pts Oakland to beat Baltimore at 6/4 (General). PROFIT=2pts


X Factor - 1pt each-way Saara Aalto to win X Factor at 100/1 (BetVictor 1/5 1,2,3), 1pt each-way Relley C to win X Factor at 33/1 (Stan James 1/5 1,2,3). Result pending

Long-term or ante-post previews which have yet to come to fruition:


EFL Cup outright - 4pts Liverpool to win the EFL Cup at 15/2 (Marathon Bet); 1pt e.w. Everton to win the EFL Cup at 16/1 (General 1/2 1,2); 1pt e.w. Newcastle to win the EFL Cup at 66/1 (Betfred). Result pending

Champions League outright - 1pt e.w. Juventus at 12/1 (General); 1pt e.w. Atletico Madrid at 14/1 (General). Result pending

Checkatrade Trophy outright - 1pt e.w. Walsall to win the Checkatrade Trophy at 66/1 (betway, 1/2, 1,2); 1pt e.w. Leyton Orient to win the Checkatrade Trophy at 66/1 (bet365, BetVictor, 1/2, 1,2). Result pending

Premier League specials - 6pts Stoke to win more than 45.5 points at 5/6 (Betfair Sportsbook); 2pts Paul Pogba to be Manchester United captain anytime in 2016/17 season at 6/1 (Ladbrokes); 4pts Sunderland to win more than 40.5 points at 19/20 (Betfair Sportsbook); 4pts Alexis Sanchez to score more than 12.5 league goals at 17/20 (888sport). Result pending

Premier League relegation - 4pts Hull to finish bottom of the Premier League at 9/4 (General); 1pt Southampton to be relegated at 20/1 (General). Result pending

Premier League Golden Boot - 1pt e.w. Vincent Janssen at 50/1 (Betfair Sportsbook 1/4 1,2,3,4,5); 1pt e.w. Roberto Firmino at 80/1 (bet365 1/4 1,2,3,4); 1pt e.w. Sadio Mane at 50/1 (Betfair Sportsbook 1/4 1,2,3,4,5); 0.5pt e.w. Andre Ayew at 150/1 (Betfair Sportsbook, 1/4 1,2,3,4,5). Result pending

Premier League outright - 5pts Chelsea to win the Premier League title at 13/2 (Coral); 1pt e.w. West Ham to win the Premier League title at 80/1 (Sky Bet, bet365, 1/5 1,2,3). Result pending

EFL top goalscorer outrights - 1pt e.w. Gary Hooper to be Championship top goalscorer at 33/1 (Coral, 1/4 1,2,3,4); 1pt e.w. Omar Bogle to be League Two top goalscorer at 33/1 (bet365, 1/4 1,2,3,4); 1pt e.w. Shaun Miller to be League Two top goalscorer at 40/1 (Coral, 1/4 1,2,3,4). Result pending

Vanarama National League outrights - 4pts Tranmere to win promotion at 7/2 (General); 3pts Barrow to finish in the top five at 10/3 (BetVictor). Result pending

Sky Bet League Two outrights - 3pts Mansfield to finish in the top seven at 3/1 (General); 2pts Exeter to finish in the top seven at 7/2 (bet365, BetVictor); 1pt e.w. Exeter (+20) to win on the handicap at 18/1 (bet365, BetVictor, Sky Bet, 1/4 1,2,3,4). Result pending

Sky Bet League One outrights - 3pts Peterborough to win promotion at 11/2 (General); 3pts Northampton to finish in the top six at 7/2 (General). Result pending

Ladbrokes SPFL outrights - 4pts Rangers to win the Premiership at 7/2 (Boylesports, Coral, Marathon Bet); 1pt Dundee to finish top of the Premiership without Rangers and Celtic at 20/1 (bet365); 1pt e.w. Tony Watt to be top goalscorer at 40/1 (bet365, 1/4 1,2,3); 1pt e.w. St Mirren to win the Championship at 16/1 (Betfred,betway, totesport, 1/3 1,2). Result pending

Sky Bet Championship outrights - 4pts Newcastle to win the Championship at 19/10 (Marathon Bet, sportingbet); 5pts double Newcastle to be promoted and Burton to be relegated at 3.08/1 (Betfred); 3pts Derby to win promotion at 4/1 (888sport, Unibet); 1pt Huddersfield to be relegated at 8/1 (sportingbet). Result pending


Race To Dubai 2016 - 1pt e.w. Victor Dubuisson at 50/1 (BetVictor 1/4 1,2,3); 1pt e.w. Matt Fitzpatrick at 33/1 (Ladbrokes 1/4 1,2,3). Result pending


WTA 2016 ante-post - 1pt Maria Sharapova to finish as year-end world number one at 10/1 (Sky Bet); 2pts Karolina Pliskova to finish in the top eight at 5/1 (Sky Bet); 4pts Johanna Konta to finish lower than 32.5 in ranking list at 5/6 (Sky Bet). PROFIT=5pts

ATP World Tour 2016 ante-post - 1pt Kyle Edmund to finish as top-ranked Briton (without Andy Murray) at 7/1 (Paddy Power); 5pts Kyle Edmund to finish higher than 82.5 in ranking list at 18/25 (888sport); 5pts Gilles Muller to finish higher than 55.5 in ranking list at 22/25 (888sport); 1pt Gilles Miller to be 'top lefty' at 9/2 (Sky Bet); 4pts Hyeon Chung to finish higher than 55.5 in ranking list at 3/4 (888sport); 2pts Nick Kyrgios to beat Grigor Dimitrov in season-long ranking match bet at 6/4 (Paddy Power). Result pending

Rugby union:

European Champions Cup outright - 1pt Northampton to win the European Champions Cup at 50/1 (Stan James, William Hill). Result pending

Aviva Premiership outright - 1pt e.w. Bath to win the Grand Final at 20/1 (General, 1/3 1,2). Result pending

Aviva Premiership outright - 5pts Saracens to top the regular season table at 6/5 (bet365); 2.5pts e.w. Chris Ashton to be top tryscorer at 7/1 (Betway 1/4 1,2,3,4). Result pending

American football:

Super Bowl LI outright - 3pts win Carolina at 10/1 (Betfred); 1pt e.w. Minnesota at 33/1 (Coral 1/2 1,2); 1pt e.w. Oakland at 40/1 (General 1/2 1,2). Result pending

NFL season specials - 2pts Khalil Mack to be named Defensive Player of the Year at 7/1 (bet365); 1pt Derrick Henry to be named Offensive Rookie of the Year at 25/1 (BetVictor, William Hill, BoyleSports). Result pending

NFL most passing yards - 1pt e.w. Derek Carr at 33/1 (General 1/4 1,2,3); 2.5pts Drew Brees to have under 4,835.5 passing yards in the regular season at 4/5 (bet365).  Result pending

NFL most rushing yards - 2pts Todd Gurley at 11/2 (Coral); 1pt e.w. Isaiah Crowell at 150/1 (General 1/4 1,2,3); 1pt e.w. Carlos Hyde at 35/1 (bet365 1/4 1,2,3). Result pending

NFL most receiving yards - 2pts win Julio Jones at 11/2 (General); 1pt e.w. Demaryius Thomas at 40/1 (bet365 1/4 1,2,3); 1pt e.w. TY Hilton at 40/1 (bet365 1/4 1,2,3); 1pt e.w. Jarvis Landry at 50/1 (Hills 1/4 1,2,3,4). Result pending