Back Jack at Ascot
Our in-form Value Bet tipster Ben Linfoot is backing three horses at Ascot and Haydock on Saturday.
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I've been waiting for PROBLEMA TIC* to return to the track since he fell when going well in the Becher Chase and Saturday's Weatherbys Hamilton Insurance Chase at Ascot represents a fine chance for him to get on the winning trail.
- 2pts win Problema Tic in 2.40 Ascot at 5/1 (General) - looks more than capable of winning of this mark
- 1pt win Whitby Jack in 3.15 Ascot at 8/1 (General) - won easily last time and more improvement to come stepped up in trip
- 1pt win Triggerman in 2.55 Haydock at 14/1 (General) - well treated, in form and conditions fine
David Pipe's seven-year-old shaped with much promise when not quite getting home over almost three-and-a-half miles at Cheltenham back in November and was then running a huge race in Liverpool before taking a tumble.
Both of those runs, off marks of 144 and 142, suggest to me he's competitively handicapped to win a race and with ground and trip looking ideal at Ascot on Saturday he looks worth siding with.
I'm surprised he's not the favourite for this contest as Vino Griego doesn't look one to trust up 10lb over this trip and the selection's main danger could be Cappa Bleu.
However, the Grand National is very much the target for Evan Williams' horse. He found two too good in this race last year and he could run well again without winning.
Problema Tic, however, ticks all the right boxes and looks the one to be on.
Also at Ascot Gary Moore's WHITBY JACK is worth backing at 8/1 in the Betfair Don't Settle For Less Handicap Hurdle.
He returned from a long absence when last of 12 at Sandown in January but his freshness counted against him that day as he was far too keen in the early stages.
It did him the world of good and a week later he settled much better and beat a good field in commanding style at Kempton in the manner of a horse ahead of the handicapper.
Up 7lb for that success, I'd be surprised if 126 is the ceiling of his ability, especially now he's been stepped up in trip to two-and-a-half miles.
He shapes like the extra distance will be no problem and I'm keen to back him on his first go at the trip.
The Bear Trap could be a fearsome rival with AP McCoy prepared to get down to 10-4, but at the prices I prefer Moore's improver.
Finally, the Betfred Grand National Trial at Haydock looks wide open and Philip Hobbs' TRIGGERMAN might've been underestimated at 14/1.
All the talk has been of the first two in the Welsh National, Teaforthree and Monbeg Dude, reopposing, but Triggerman was a fine third that day and gets a significant pull at the weights with those two rivals.
Now 4lb below his last winning mark, the in-form Triggerman will have no problem with the conditions and three-and-a-half miles looks his optimum trip these days.
With James Best also taking a handy 3lb off his back he could run a mighty race off a low weight and looks worth siding with at a general 14s. William Hill have advertised 16/1 in their advert prices - if you can get it in the morning, take it.
*Problema Tic declared non-runner on Saturday morning.
Ben Linfoot's Value Bet Aim: The Value Bet is designed to generate long-term profit by searching for overpriced horses in the feature weekend races and at the big Festivals in the UK. Running total: +152.56pts to advised stakes/prices (from inception of Value Bet column in January 2010 to current).