Barclays Premier League guide

  • By: Ben Coley, Chris Hammer, Nick Hext, David John, Ben Linfoot and Andy Schooler
  • Last Updated: August 17 2013, 14:59 BST

Ahead of the new Premier League season, we bring you our team-by-team guide, including a bet for each club.

  • Manuel Pellegrini and Jose Mourinho will battle it out for the title.
  • Robin van Persie will grab more goals for Manchester United. 
  • Liverpool can make a fast start to the season. 
  • Roberto Soldado is one to watch at Tottenham. 
  • Ian Holloway's Crystal Palace will find the going very hard. 

The Barclays Premier League season starts on Saturday and we can't wait for the big kick-off.

Our top team of experts have looked at all 20 top-flight clubs from a betting perspective and there is plenty of value to be found.

Read on to get all the best advice for the new campaign...


Manager: Arsene Wenger

Last season: Fourth

Major ins: Yaya Sanogo (Auxerre, free).

Major outs: Chuks Aneke (Crewe, loan), Andrey Arshavin (Zenit St Petersburg, free), Marouane Chamakh (Crystal Palace, undisclosed), Francis Coquelin (Frieburg, loan), Denilson (Sao Paulo, free), Johan Djourou (Hamburg, loan), Craig Eastmond (Colchester, free), Gervinho (Roma, undisclosed), Vito Mannone (Sunderland, undisclosed), Jernade Meade (Swansea, free), Ignasi Miquel (Leicester, loan), Andre Santos (Flamengo, free), Sebastien Squillaci (released), Sanchez Watt (Colchester, free).

Ben Coley's verdict

This is a big season for Arsenal.

The debate around their policy decisions will run and run just as the on-going trophy drought will eventually end, but whichever way one looks at the upcoming campaign it's difficult to come to a conclusion other than this is where talking needs to stop and results arrive.

Of course, this isn't because Arsenal have majorly strengthened - indeed, at the time of writing the opposite is true - but that their rivals have questions to answer. Be it the brand new regimes in Manchester or the Special One's return to Chelsea, each of the sides who've proved much too good for the Gunners in recent years has to cope with transition even if, as is the case with Chelsea, the common consensus is that change is for the better.

For Arsenal to take advantage they need Jack Wilshere to play at least 30 Premier League games because in him they have the luxury of a genuinely world-class player who is playing for the club he's supported from childhood. He's the team's real leader and along with Santi Cazorla and Mikel Arteta gives Arsenal a core that even their superiors would admire.

At the back, it'll be interesting to see if Thomas Vermaelen can work his way back into the team having been rightly dropped for some extremely poor displays last season, notably in the 2-1 defeat to Spurs at White Hart Lane which threatened to condemn Arsenal to the Europa League. This remains an area of weakness for Arsenal despite the continued excellence of Laurent Koscielny. Only he and Kieran Gibbs look good enough to play for any side in the division and the decline of Bacary Sagna has also been cause for alarm, especially with Carl Jenkinson perhaps another season away from being good enough to pin down a regular starting spot.

Clearly, Arsenal need strengthening up-front, too. Olivier Giroud can and will do better - he could surprise a few if asked to lead the line - but the feeling is he'll be playing second fiddle to a more illustrious name come the end of the transfer window. If that replacement can score upwards of 20 goals, Wilshere, Cazorla and Arteta can stay fit, Theo Walcott can continue his rate of improvement and a new defender or two arrives at the Emirates, Arsenal will have a genuine chance to win the title, but on balance they're likely to fall short on at least one of those levels.

So, how best to approach Arsenal from a betting perspective? Well, I do think 20s about Cazorla in the top assists betting represents good each-way value. Clearly this market is just about as competitive as ever, but Cazorla was third last year despite the fact that Arsenal lacked a top-class striker. If Luis Suarez comes in then this price will look huge as it's about right as things stand, even if we don't allow for Giroud improving and Walcott finding more opportunities through the middle.

For those wanting a banker, 4/6 about Arsenal finishing in the top four looks really solid and rates a 4/9 chance if Spurs lose Gareth Bale and Liverpool lose Suarez. Whatever happens come September 3, Arsenal should have enough in the locker to again finish in the four and I actually expect them to get inside the three, a 15/8 chance with Ladbrokes.

Best bet: Arsenal to finish in the top four at 4/6 (Ladbrokes, William Hill) - quite simply this looks a banker. Santi Cazorla to provide most assists at 20/1 (Boylesports) also looks big.


Manager: Paul Lambert

Last season: 15th

Major ins: Leandro Bacuna (FC Groningen, undisclosed), Nicklas Helenius (Aalborg, undisclosed), Antonio Luna (Sevilla, undisclosed), Jores Okore (FC Nordsjaelland, undisclosed), Jed Steer (Norwich, undisclosed), Aleksandar Tonev (Lech Poznan, undisclosed).

Major outs: Graham Burke (Shrewsbury, loan), Richard Dunne (QPR, free), Brett Holman (released), Eric Lichaj (Nottingham Forest, free), Jean Makoun (Rennes, undisclosed), Andy Marshall (released), Stiliyan Petrov (retired), Derrick Williams (Bristol City, free).

Chris Hammer's verdict

Aston Villa spent much of last season battling frantically to avoid relegation before a late charge of five wins and two draws in their final 10 games saw them end up 15th and five points above the drop zone.

This campaign should be far more comfortable for Paul Lambert, who came under increasing pressure throughout a difficult first six months in the Villa Park hot seat only to eventually prove the doubters wrong, and the Scot will now be looking towards the top half of the table.

Not only does his young squad head into the new season with renewed confidence following their strong finish but they are boosted by Christian Benteke's decision to sign a new contract despite having handed in a transfer request at the start of the summer.

The big Belgian international was one of the stars of the Premier League last season, scoring 23 goals in all competitions and you'd think he's only going to get even better with the benefit of a year's experience behind him - history shows that's often the case with foreign strikers.

It's therefore no surprise to see him priced at no bigger than 4/11 to be the club's top scorer and surely only a bad injury will prevent him scooping that particular accolade.

At the other end of the pitch, Villa's fragile defence was one of the worst in the top flight last season, shipping 69 goals, so Lambert has brought in Spanish youngster Antonio Luna from Sevilla as well as Denmark international Jores Okore to help strengthen things up at the back.

Villa's other signings so far - striker Nicklas Helenius, midfield duo Leandro Bacuna and Aleksandar Tonev plus goalkeeper Jed Steer - are also all in their early 20s so it's clear Lambert is a manager building for a long-term future.

Some will doubt whether these non-household names will help them achieve a top-10 finish, which is priced at 13/8 with Stan James, but let's not forget the rising talents already in their squad such as Matt Lowton and Andreas Weimann, who will both be expected to go from strength to strength.

A bet therefore certainly worth considering is Coral's 6/4 about the Midlands outfit picking up 46 points or more.

They were only five short of this tally last season and for the reasons given above, this shouldn't be too taxing for them at all.

Best bet: Aston Villa to pick up 46 points or more at 6/4 (Coral).


Manager: Malky Mackay

Last season: Championship champions (promoted)

Major ins: John Brayford (Derby, undisclosed), Steven Caulker (Tottenham, undisclosed), Andreas Cornelius (FC Copenhagen, undisclosed), Gary Medel (Sevilla, undisclosed), Simon Moore (Brentford, undisclosed).

Major outs: Heidar Helguson (released), Nat Jarvis (released), Stephen McPhail (released).

David John's verdict

In the last 21 years, just eight winners of the Championship have been immediately relegated back from whence they came so the odds are in favour of the Bluebirds retaining their status at the end of the season.

There certainly seems to be plenty of optimism in south Wales with a long-standing debt set to be sorted in a new deal for the club involving Sam Hammam, while two mouthwatering fixtures in the top flight against fierce rivals Swansea will be hugely anticipated.

Veteran Craig Bellamy is positive Cardiff will stay up and rightly makes the point that not being over-awed on the big days will be key. Key fixtures against middle-tier teams will be vital but avoiding wallopings from some of the division's elite can ensure vital confidence does not ebb away.

The layers believe they are best equipped of the promoted teams at this stage to retain their position - 15/8 for the drop with Hull and Crystal Palace odds-on - but that still leaves them in the front-running trio to fill the relegation berths.

Manager Malky Mackay was voted the most popular manager in recent poll of Cardiff fans and while he has not been the most active in the transfer market over the summer, he has increased competition at the back with the arrival of the promising Steven Caulker from Spurs in addition to Derby's John Brayford.

Imposing centre forward Andreas Cornelius is a Danish international and another fresh arrival at just 20 years old. He will have something to prove at this level but Mackay has seen enough from him to splash out £8.5million to FC Copenhagen. It will be a steep learning curve but he should learn plenty from the wily Bellamy and is a best price of 7/2 to top the Welshmen's scoring charts.

This is a settled side with a decent manager and an excellent fan base so all-in-all they do have the appearance of a team that will be better than just being involved from day one in the relegation scrap.

They do have an element of the unknown on their side as a newly promoted team and if the self-belief remains intact, they look more than capable of providing a surprise or two along the way to staying in the section.

Best bet: Cardiff to finish in the top 15 at 11/10 (Stan James).


Manager: Jose Mourinho

Last season: Third

Major ins: Cristian Cuevas (O'Higgins, undisclosed), Andre Schurrle (Bayer Leverkusen, undisclosed), Mark Schwarzer (Fulham, free), Marco van Ginkel (Vitesse Arnhem, undisclosed).

Major outs: Patrick Bamford (MK Dons, loan), Yossi Benayoun (released), Billy Clifford (Yeovil, loan), Thibaut Courtois (Atletico Madrid, loan), Cristian Cuevas (Vitesse Arnhem, loan), Paulo Ferreira (released), Todd Kane (Blackburn, loan), Milan Lalkovic (Walsall, loan), Florent Malouda (Trabzonspor, free), Marko Marin (Sevilla, loan), Oriol Romeu (Valencia, loan), George Saville (Brentford, loan), Ross Turnbull (Doncaster, free), Patrick van Aanholt (Vitesse Arnhem, loan), Wallace (Inter Milan, loan).

David John's verdict

Rafa Benitez guided Chelsea to more Premier League points than in their previous two seasons, two major cup finals - winning one - but still his tenure remained one of the most unpopular in recent times at Stamford Bridge.

So one of the year's worst-kept secrets duly became a reality as Jose Mourinho was installed by owner Roman Abramovich for a second spell in charge as the Russian goes in search of the dual Holy Grail - a domestic championship and the Champions League.

It is understandable that bookmakers immediately took action and Chelsea are now no bigger than 5/2 for the Premier League crown with expectations elevated that Mourinho will immediately set about bringing back the glory years of 2004 and 2005 when he delivered the championship on successive occasions.

He is sure to relish the rivalry with the two Manchester clubs - who themselves are undergoing change with new management structures - but Mourinho has already cleverly taken the heat off his side a little by claiming they lack the experience currently compared to United and City - in fact he suggested it could be up to two years before his new-look side start to deliver silverware.

He does have the evergreen Petr Cech, Frank Lampard and John Terry to call upon while the blossoming talent of Eden Hazard, David Luiz and Oscar should thrive under his tutelage - who knows, he may even be able to get Fernando Torres to recapture his very best form.

The latter was top scorer at the club in all competitions in 2012/13 but has drifted to 20/1 for the Golden Boot - there were times last year he would not have won a Wellington boot but his price could just tempt some punters.

The Spaniard remains a prized asset and there is little doubt he has the quality around him to create chances. It is up to Mourinho to relight the fire that made him arguably the most dangerous striker on the planet in his time at Liverpool.

Chelsea have more than enough about them to return to the summit of English football and there could be quite a party at Stamford Bridge when the campaign comes to an end.

Best bet: Chelsea to finish in the top two at 4/6 (Ladbrokes)


Manager: Ian Holloway

Last season: Fifth in the Championship (promoted via the play-offs)

Major ins: Jose Campana (Sevilla, undisclosed), Marouane Chamakh (Arsenal, undisclosed), Stephen Dobie (Brighton, undisclosed), Dwight Gayle (Peterborough, undisclosed), Elliot Grandin (Blackpool, free), Kevin Phillips (Blackpool, free), Jerome Thomas (West Brom, free).

Major outs: Jason Banton (MK Dons, loan), Jermaine Easter (Millwall, undisclosed), Alex Marrow (Blackburn, undisclosed), Andre Moritz (Bolton, free).

David John's verdict

Palace booked their place back in the big time after winning the play-off final in May against Watford but it is set to be a quick return to the Sky Bet Championship.

They are as short as 4/9 at Stan James to be relegated with Coral's 4/7 the best price on offer as a squad that lacks any depth of real quality has a huge amount on their plate to muster enough points to give them a fighting chance.

The Eagles have cashed in on class act Wilfried Zaha, while likely targets Carlton Cole and Dan Gosling have both turned down a move to south London - it highlights the task Ian Holloway will have attracting players to Selhurst Park.

Arsenal and West Ham flop Marouane Chamakh has agreed a deal with the club but did he show anything with his previous employers to suggest he will net a vital 15-20 league goals? I didn't think so either.

The charismatic Holloway earned plenty of plaudits in the first half of his Premier League season with Blackpool but then the wheels came off badly as the Tangerines plunged into trouble and back down a division. Holloway's motivational credentials are not in question but he simply does not have the quality to work with this time around.

He will have to cope for a considerable period without the prowess up front of 30-goal hitman Glenn Murray after he suffered a nasty knee injury in the play-offs so the onus looks likely to rest with the resilient Kevin Phillips in front of goal at 40-years-old.

The unproven Dwight Gayle will get a chance after a meteoric rise from non-league football via Peterborough but will have little time to adjust to his new surroundings and needs to have a Christian Benteke-like effect for his side.

It is little more than stating the obvious but a bottom-two finish at 5/6 with Stan James makes some appeal in the season-long ante-post markets.

Best bet: Crystal Palace to finish 19th or worse at 9/10 (Stan James).


Manager: Roberto Martinez

Last season: Sixth

Major ins: Antolin Alcaraz (Wigan, free), Gerard Deulofeu (Barcelona, loan), Arouna Kone (Wigan, undisclosed), Joel Robles (Atletico Madrid, undisclosed).

Major outs: Jake Bidwell (Brentford, undisclosed), Thomas Hitzlsperger (released), Conor McAleny (Brentford, loan), Jan Mucha (released), Phil Neville (retired).

Andy Schooler's verdict

Assessing the season ahead for Everton is really about asking one question - where do the Blues go, post-David Moyes? After last season's impressive sixth-place finish, down the table seems the most likely answer.

How far though? Although they were backed, to an extent, for relegation when Moyes left for Manchester United, the bookies still have them as favourites without the 'big six' - that's last season's top five plus Liverpool. You may well have been wondering.

That may change if both Leighton Baines and Marouane Fellaini depart before the transfer deadline but even then the slump would surely go only so deep. If you fancy the Toffees to struggle, a bottom-half finish at 9/2 is the way to go rather than the 33/1 about them going down.

Without their star pair, plenty of quality would still remain. Phil Jagielka remains one of the best central defenders in the league, Steven Pienaar and Kevin Mirallas can mesmerise opponents from wide or central positions and up front Arouna Kone is a good addition and may help Nikica Jelavic rediscover the lethal form he showed in 2011/12. That's if he can keep Victor Anichebe, who enjoyed an impressive second half of last season, out of the team.

Indeed if new boss Roberto Martinez keeps hold of Baines and Fellaini then maybe Everton will continue to compete with more resourceful clubs. While there has been plenty of talk about Martinez being a lucky boy to walk into a job like this just weeks after taking Wigan down, the fact is this squad is much better than any he had at the DW Stadium, in particular the defence, a word often thrown in the Spaniard's face when the quality of his management is up for discussion.

Talk of the Champions League at his introductory press conference may well have been fanciful, but Everton should be OK, backed up by a strong home record which now reads one loss in 23 league games. No other team had a better figure in their home defeats column last term.

As for bets surrounding them, the aforementioned Mirallas may offer some value in the top club goalscorer market.

The tricky Belgian scored six league goals in 23 starts last season when he became an instant hit with the fans. He can certainly finish - being top scorer in the Greek league in 2011/12 is further evidence of that - and with no superstar striker around, the goals at Goodison again look set to be shared around.

It often doesn't take many to win this market - Fellaini with 11 did so last term - and Mirallas, who missed a significant part of last season due to injury, appears to have that figure in his sights. Throw in the fact that someone else will be needed on penalties if Baines departs and Paddy Power's 13/2 looks rather big.

Best bet: Kevin Mirallas to be Everton's top goalscorer at 13/2 (Paddy Power).


Manager: Martin Jol

Last season: 12th

Major ins: Fernando Amorebieta (Athletic Bilbao, free), Derek Boateng (Dnipro, free), Ange-Freddy Plumain (Lens, free), Sasha Riether (Cologne, undisclosed), Maarten Stekelenburg (Roma, undisclosed), Abel Taarabt (QPR, loan).

Major outs: Chris Baird (released), Dan Burn (Birmingham, loan), Simon Davies (released), Mahamadou Diarra (released), Mladen Petric (released), Mark Schwarzer (Chelsea, free) Csaba Somogyi (released), Ryan Williams (Oxford, loan).

Ben Linfoot's verdict

Martin Jol's side ensured their Premier League safety by the end of March last season, which was a good job considering they lost six of their seven matches before their final-day win away at Swansea.

Of course, it can be argued they took their foot off the gas with little to play for, but alarming runs such as that one are why the Cottagers are as short as 4/1 for relegation.

I don't think Fulham will have to worry about the drop this season, though. There were some positives to take from last season - Dimitar Berbatov's 15 goals and their best points return away from home since 2004 to name but two.

Berbatov is a key man again and how Fulham perform depends on the consistency of the talented Bulgarian. If he chips in with 15 goals again, the safety of mid-table should be within their reach.

We've seen it time and time again in the Premier League that the difference between those that go down and those that stay in the division is a player that regularly gets goals. Berbatov is that man for Fulham and his talent alone can keep them up.

But how far can he take them? The Cottagers had the look of a one-man team last season and their signings don't inspire us to back them to do anything but avoid relegation - but they are a miserly 1/6 to stay up.

They are 1/3 to finish in the bottom half which should happen but the price doesn't appeal, while the 8/15 for a top-15 finish hardly sets the pulse racing either.

In a match bet with Stoke, though, I'd fancy them to come out on top. Mark Hughes' appointment doesn't inspire confidence in the Potters and they could be set for a season of toil.

Best bet: Fulham to finish above Stoke at 8/11 (Sky Bet).


Manager: Steve Bruce

Last season: Second in the Championship (promoted)

Major ins: George Boyd (Peterborough, undisclosed), Curtis Davies (Birmingham, undisclosed), Ahmed Elmohamady (Sunderland, undisclosed), Maynor Figueroa (Wigan, free), Danny Graham (Sunderland, loan), Steve Harper (Newcastle, loan), Allan McGregor (Besiktas, undisclosed), Yannick Sagbo (Evian, undisclosed).

Major outs: Sonny Bradley (Portsmouth, free), Tom Cairney (Blackburn, loan), Mark Cullen (Luton, free), Andy Dawson (Scunthorpe, free), Jamie Devitt (Chesterfield, free), Daniel East (Portsmouth, free), Corry Evans (Blackburn, undisclosed), Jack Hobbs (Nottingham Forest, loan), Paul McKenna (released), Seyi Olofinjana (released), Mark Oxley (Oldham, loan), Jay Simpson (released).

Chris Hammer's verdict

Unsurprisingly, Premier League new boys Hull are among the favourites for an instant return to the Championship and there won't be many non-Tigers supporters expecting them to survive.

Steve Bruce's men clinched the second automatic promotion spot ahead of Watford on the most dramatic of final days but if the bookies are to be believed, those memories of celebration will soon be forgotten during a long hard struggle to beat the drop.

Hull's 'problem' last season was their lack of a genuine goalscorer as none of their squad managed to reach double figures and while this underlines how their success was built around a real team effort, it obviously won't be as easy to share the goals around in the top flight as well as keeping it tight at the back.

Bruce has so far bolstered his strikeforce by bringing in Yannick Sagbo from French club Evian and Sunderland flop Danny Graham on loan, as well as sealing the transfer of George Boyd, who scored four goals after joining them on a temporary basis in February.

However, it's doubtful whether any of these players will be a revelation for a club who managed just 61 goals in 46 games last season and I can't really see them getting even close to safety come what may.

The odds-on prices for relegation will only tempt the big hitters so instead I'd advise backing Coral's rather tempting 6/4 about them picking up 31 points or fewer although bet365's 11/10 about 32 or under gives you a little bit more margin for error.

As previously inferred, it won't take many goals to be Hull's top scorer so you might be interested in the 6/1 available about Sone Aluko winning that particular prize considering he managed six in 24 appearances last season - which was three less than Robert Koren who managed nine in 42.

Finally, I'm not a fan of Steve Bruce and although leading Hull to promotion was a notable achievement on his CV, he failed miserably during his previous top-flight job at Sunderland and is 11/4 with Stan James not to be at the club on the final day of the campaign.

Clubs don't tend to show that much loyalty to managers for previous good work when things go sour - just ask former Reading boss Brian McDermott and Nigel Adkins, who wasn't even doing badly at Southampton before he got the boot - so a predictable season of struggle will see Bruce standing on much thinner ice than these odds suggest.

Best bet: Steve Bruce not to be at Hull on the final day at 11/4 (Stan James).


Manager: Brendan Rodgers

Last season: Seventh

Major ins: Luis Alberto (Sevilla, undisclosed), Iago Aspas (Celta Vigo, undisclosed), Simon Mignolet (Sunderland, undisclosed), Kolo Toure (Manchester City, free).

Major outs: Krisztian Adorjan (FC Groningen, loan), Jamie Carragher (retired), Andy Carroll (West Ham, undisclosed), Conor Coady (Sheffield United, loan), Peter Gulasci (Red Bull Salzburg, free), Henoc Mukendi (Partick Thistle, loan), Michael Ngoo (Yeovil, loan), Pepe Reina (Napoli, loan), Jack Robinson (Blackpool, loan), Jonjo Shelvey (Swansea, £5million), Jay Spearing (Bolton, undisclosed), Suso (Almeria, loan), Danny Wilson (Hearts, free).

Ben Linfoot's verdict

Liverpool improved last season under Brendan Rodgers by nine points and a place and a similar sort of progression will be the aim again this campaign.

Whether they will have to try to achieve such things with or without Luis Suarez is the big question, though the feeling is the Uruguayan will get his own way and engineer a move away from Anfield.

Such a scenario wouldn't necessarily harm the Reds. They played some of their best football last season when Suarez was banned and in Philippe Coutinho and Daniel Sturridge they have two players capable of filling his boots as the 'spark' in attack.

Clearly, though, Liverpool's chances of getting in the top four, the Holy Grail to them, would greatly increase if their best player were to remain at the club. But top quotes of around 9/4 to achieve this goal don't appeal.

The problem for Liverpool is there are five teams with better players and deeper squads and if they can break in amongst that lot it will be an achievement.

Overall, a good season is in store. In the league it's very easy to see them finishing fifth or sixth, while their best chance of any sort of success will be in the cups.

As for a bet, they look capable of getting off to a flying start. With Suarez guaranteed to miss the early games whether he stays or not, Liverpool will want to prove a point without him and their first two fixtures against Stoke and Aston Villa look winnable.

It gets a lot harder in their third game, against Manchester United, but the home support will want to win that match more than any other all season considering the man in the opposition dugout and they don't look the worst bet to be top on September 3 at 7/1.

Best bet: Liverpool to be top of the league on September 3 at 7/1 (888sport).


Manager: Manuel Pellegrini

Last season: Second

Major ins: Fernandinho (Shakhtar Donetsk, undisclosed), Stevan Jovetic (Fiorentina, undisclosed), Jesus Navas (Sevilla, undisclosed), Alvaro Negredo (Sevilla, undisclosed).

Major outs: Wayne Bridge (Reading, free), Jeremy Helan (Sheffield Wednesday, undisclosed), Maicon (Roma, undisclosed), Filippo Mancini (released), Ryan McGivern (Hibernian, free), Karim Rekik (PSV, loan), Roque Santa Cruz (Malaga, free), Carlos Tevez (Juventus, undisclosed), Kolo Toure (Liverpool, free), Reece Wabara (Doncaster, loan).

Ben Coley's verdict

I didn't expect to say this, but Manchester City look just about the most stable of the big clubs at the moment. While Manchester United and Chelsea squabble over Wayne Rooney, Liverpool and Arsenal do likewise over Luis Suarez and Spurs try desperately to hang on to Gareth Bale, City have gone about their business quietly and efficiently.

The acquisition of Fernandinho looks a superb bit of business, and with Jesus Navas adding much-needed width plus reinforcements having arrived up front courtesy of Alvaro Negredo and Stevan Jovetic, City look to have the best squad in the Premier League.

They've also got rid of Roberto Mancini who, with all due respect, I feel did a terrible job for most of last season. He was a man who looked defeated long ago and while Manuel Pellegrini comes with risks attached to a certain extent, fresh impetus is what City needed.

And Pellegrini says they're not done yet. Rumours linking Pepe with a move to Manchester persist and with no significant outgoings, they currently look like being the team to beat. Indeed, I'd be very surprised if they're outside the top two come May.

What I really like is that Pellegrini has directly targeted the areas which needed strengthening and he's done his business nice and early. Last year, City offered little when Yaya Toure was absent or David Silva wasn't at his best, primarily because they were too narrow and their best strikers were both dragged away from the middle too often.

That shouldn't be a problem now that Navas has arrived and his pace and trickery should allow Sergio Aguero to concentrate on scoring goals, while allowing for the more physical threat of Negredo and Edin Dzeko to remain central to City attacks.

At the back, there was no issue. City had the league's best defensive record and in Matija Nastasic they have a player capable of becoming the best of his kind in the division. With Joe Hart behind and these creative additions in front, expect City to find the 1-0 wins which eluded them last term when they're not at their best.

City also have the luxury of a kind start, which Pellegrini can build confidence and momentum. They host Newcastle and Hull along with trips to Cardiff and Stoke before United visit the Etihad, and they could have 12 points from 12 when that day comes.

Conversely, United's first four games include Chelsea and Liverpool and with City hosting Arsenal, Tottenham and United before Christmas, they have a real opportunity to establish a gap on the rest and rate a great bet to be top on Christmas Day at 9/4.

They're 2/1 to keep the most clean sheets which also looks good on known form but you can be sure Chelsea will improve defensively and the best way to get with City is to back them to top the table when you're tucking into your turkey.

Best bet: Manchester City to be top on Christmas Day at 9/4 (Betway).


Manager: David Moyes

Last season: Champions

Major ins: Guillermo Varela (Penarol, undisclosed).

Major outs: Reece Brown (Watford, free), John Cofie (Barnsley, free), Paul Scholes (retired), Ryan Tunnicliffe (Ipswich, loan).

Ben Linfoot's verdict

Champions last season by 11 points after easing up once the title was in the bag, Manchester United are a similar price to win the league this time around as they were at the same time last year at 11/5.

Of course, the reason being is the change of manager. How do you replace a man like Sir Alex Ferguson? The simple answer is you cannot, and David Moyes has a near-impossible task.

It's just so hard to envisage Moyes accumulating anywhere near the same number of points from a similar bunch of players that Fergie did, and, given improvement is expected from Manchester City and Chelsea, it's very difficult to think the Red Devils can retain their title.

The genius of Sir Alex Ferguson, with a little help from Paul Scholes and Ryan Giggs, papered over some cracks in the Old Trafford squad and the lack of a dominant midfielder is likely to be in evidence this term.

I'm a big fan of Michael Carrick and he had a very good season last campaign, but he needs help in midfield and you can see United getting dominated in central areas in the big games.

They should still batter their inferiors. Robin van Persie has only just turned 30 and he looks capable of being the best striker in the division once again, which will of course help United's cause.

And you sense Moyes wants to make a statement in the transfer market with at least one big signing. If he pulls off something spectacular, who knows, United might just hold off the charge from City and Chelsea.

But at the time of writing, with Wayne Rooney's future up in the air, Moyes' men look likely to drop more points and, this season at least, they may have to settle for third.

Best bet: Robin van Persie to win the Golden Boot at 4/1 (Paddy Power).


Manager: Alan Pardew

Last season: 16th

Major ins: Olivier Kemen (Metz, undisclosed), Loic Remy (QPR, loan).

Major outs: Mehdi Abeid (Panathinaikos, loan), Shane Ferguson (Birmingham, loan), Steve Harper (Hull, free), James Perch (Wigan, undisclosed), Danny Simpson (QPR, free).

Andy Schooler's verdict

In a summer of transfer sagas, Joe Kinnear's arrival at Newcastle as director of football and his subsequent 'Yohan Kebab' interview was one of the off-season's most bizarre stories.

And while the Armageddon predicted by some has so far failed to materialise, it is notable that Alan Pardew remains favourite in the 'next boss to go' market.

More tales of internal strife in the North East may not be that far away with the only player Kinnear has brought in so far being Loic Remy, undoubtedly a talented player but also one due to answer police bail about a rape allegation just a few weeks into the season.

There appears to have been something of an assumption among the bookies that the Magpies will be fine and it would appear that is based largely upon the fact that Newcastle don't have Europa League football to worry about this season. A run to the quarter-finals certainly added to their workload but it should be remembered their problems, which resulted in a 16th-place finish, added up to more than that.

Goals were in short supply with Papiss Cisse leading the way with eight in the league from 35 starts, while keeping them out was a major issue too. Fabricio Coloccini wanted out at one stage - is he really fully committed now? January additions Yoan Gouffran and Moussa Sissoko showed glimpses of adding real quality to the squad, they also came amid talk of cliques in the squad.

It all adds up to a situation that's hardly conducive to success and I want to oppose Newcastle, particularly when I see some of the quotes offered. It's just a case of which market to turn to.

All things considered, I like the look of the odds-against quote about them failing to secure a top-12 finish.

Best bet: Newcastle not to finish in the top 12 at 21/20 (Stan James).


Manager: Chris Hughton

Last season: 11th

Major ins: Leroy Fer (FC Twente, undisclosed), Javier Garrido (Lazio, undisclosed), Gary Hooper (Norwich, undisclosed), Carlo Nash (Stoke, free), Martin Olsson (Blackburn, undisclosed), Nathan Redmond (Birmingham, undisclosed), Ricky van Wolfswinkel (Sporting Lisbon, undisclosed).

Major outs: Tom Adeyemi (Birmingham, free), Leon Barnett (Wigan, undisclosed), Lee Camp (released), George Francomb (AFC Wimbledon, free), Simeon Jackson (Eintracht Braunschweig, free), Chris Martin (Derby, free), Declan Rudd (Preston, loan), Korey Smith (Oldham, free), Jed Steer (Aston Villa, undisclosed), Andrew Surman (AFC Bouremouth, loan), Marc Tierney (Bolton, free), Elliott Ward (AFC Bournemouth, free), James Vaughan (Huddersfield, undisclosed).

Chris Hammer's verdict

There's an understandable feeling of optimism among the Norwich faithful heading into what should be an enjoyable stress-free season for the Canaries.

Chris Hughton's men never really found themselves in real danger of the drop during the previous campaign despite a slow start and a mid-season wobble but nevertheless a run of three victories in their last five games was needed to end any lingering fears and lift them up to a highly-creditable 11th-place finish.

This was an improvement of one place on their first season back in the top flight under previous boss Paul Lambert and although they actually accrued three fewer points it can be regarded as another big step towards becoming a well-established Premier League club.

Of course it's crucial to set greater targets and show some ambition rather than be content to stand still in mid-table and I feel that's exactly what Hughton has in mind based on his summer transfer dealings.

Dutch striker Ricky van Wolfswinkel, who joined from Sporting Lisbon, has previously been linked with bigger clubs and looks set to become an instant hit with the Norwich fans, while Gary Hooper will be eager to prove he can be just as prolific in the Premier League as he was up in Scotland at Celtic.

Holland international midfielder Leroy Fer is also tipped to make a positive impact having earned rave reviews from his time in the Eredivisie with Feyenoord and more recently Twente, while Swedish star Martin Olsson and England Under-21 winger Nathan Redmond are also impressive signings.

With all this in mind I can only see another season of steady development for Norwich which is why Coral's 6/4 about them picking up 44 points or more seems like a cracking bet.

While that's a banker bet in my eyes, if you're looking for a bigger price then I'd also recommend a look at the 7/2 about them managing a top-10 finish because they've certainly shown signs of aspiring to that level.

Best bet: Norwich to pick up 44 points or more at 6/4 (Coral).


Manager: Mauricio Pochettino

Last season: 14th

Major ins: Dejan Lovren (Lyon, undisclosed), Victor Wanyama (Celtic, undisclosed).

Major outs: Danny Butterfield (released), Richard Chaplow (Millwall, free), Steve de Ridder (FC Utrecht, free), Ryan Dickson (Colchester, free), Vegard Forren (Molde, undisclosed), Frazer Richardson (Middlesbrough, free), Daniel Seaborne (Yeovil, free).

David John's verdict

Plenty of observers were left scratching their heads last season after the Saints' decided to dispense with the services of Nigel Adkins and replace him with the untested Mauricio Pochettino.

But the gamble paid off as they comfortably survived their first season in the top-flight playing an attractive brand of high intensity, pressing football and at times showed some real potential for the future with eye-catching wins over Chelsea, Manchester City and Liverpool at St Mary's.

The major issue now will be to avoid a sophomore slump and the bookmakers tend to think they will remain safe as they are a best price of 10/1 to go down.

Pochettino has bolstered his squad with the addition of Croatia international defender Dejan Lovren and the exciting Victor Wanyama from Celtic - the latter was a new club transfer record of £12.5million to beat the money spent last year on Gaston Ramirez.

The Uruguayan has been a potential target for Inter Milan so Southampton will likely be keen to try to boost their attacking options with last season's goalscorer Rickie Lambert having turned 31.

However, there could be a chance though for Jay Rodriguez to play a more prominent role. He started to thrive in the second half of last season under Pochettino and is fancied improve on his tally of nine goals from 37 appearances.

Lambert is odds-on to be the leading goalscorer again but the gifted Rodriguez can provide a stern challenge for that mantle.

A skilful player who has shown a real eye for a goal both here and at Burnley, Rodriguez can only improve at the age of 24 under the watchful eye of his promising manager.

Best bet: Jay Rodriguez to be Southampton's top goalscorer at 7/2 (Ladbrokes).


Manager: Mark Hughes

Last season: 13th

Major ins: Marc Muniesa (Barcelona, free), Erik Pieters (PSV, undisclosed).

Major outs: Rory Delap (Burton, free), Matthew Lund (Rochdale, free), Carlo Nash (Norwich, free), Michael Owen (retired), Mamady Sidibe (released), Matthew Upson (Brighton, free), Dean Whitehead (Middlesbrough, free).

Ben Coley's verdict

How strong is the bridge between seasons in football? Is momentum from 2012/13 at all relevant ahead of the bright new dawn that August brings?

These are the pertinent questions which need answering in order to assess what lies in store for Stoke, for so long the Premier League's immovable ship, firmly docked in mid-table.

For so far in 2013 they've won just three Premier League games and two of the sides they beat are now trying to find their way back to the Promised Land via the Championship. As far as form goes, Stoke's is awful.

The problems lie in both defence and attack, too. Stoke haven't scored three goals in a game so far in 2013 - bar an FA Cup tie with Crystal Palace - but that never used to matter as one tended to be enough.

However, they managed just three clean sheets in the second half of the season compared to nine in the first, and it's all of these downturns which eventually led to Tony Pulis' tenure coming to an end.

In comes Mark Hughes, a manager whose record is perhaps stronger than public perception would have you believe. He worked wonders on a limited budget at Blackburn and will have to do the same here, although he has splashed out on defender Erik Pieters for £3million.

Pieters has Champions League experience and should help drag that clean sheet record back to what we'd expect, and while not what all fans wanted, my feeling is that Hughes represents close to a perfect successor to Pulis even if attacking reinforcements may well be necessary.

This isn't to say I'm expecting Stoke to flourish - Pulis did such an incredible job that following his success will be close to impossible. But I reckon they'll be fine - partly due to the lack of strength at the bottom of the division this year - and with fresh impetus I think they can prove Stan James' 10/11 about a top-15 finish to be a slight underestimation of their quality.

Paddy Power go 11/2 about Stoke registering the most yellow cards which also makes a good deal of sense, especially given Hughes' record at Blackburn, but it's a win-only market which tempers enthusiasm slightly.

Best bet: Stoke to finish in the top 15 at 10/11 (Stan James). Stoke to have the most yellow cards at 11/2 (Paddy Power) is also worth considering


Manager: Paolo Di Canio

Last season: 17th

Major ins: Jozy Altidore (AZ Alkmaar, undisclosed), El-Hadji Ba (Le Havre, free), Cabral (Basel, free), Ondrej Celustka (Trabzonspor, loan), Modibo Diakite (Lazio, free), Emanuele Giaccherini (Juventus, £6.5million), David Moberg Karlsson (Gothenburg, undisclosed), Vito Mannone (Arsenal, undisclosed), Valentin Roberge (Maritimo, free),Duncan Watmore (Altrincham, undisclosed).

Major outs: Titus Bramble (released), Ahmed Elmohamady (Hull, undisclosed), Danny Graham (Hull, loan), Matt Kilgallon (Blackburn, free), James McClean (Wigan, undisclosed), Simon Mignolet (Liverpool, undisclosed), Alfred N'Diaye (Eskisehirspor, loan).

Ben Linfoot's verdict

Sunderland stayed up by the skin of their teeth last season and how much credit you give Paolo Di Canio for keeping them in the division goes some way to determining how you think they'll go this campaign.

I have to say, I thought Di Canio's appointment was bizarre at the time and looking at how things transpired at the bottom I do think Martin O'Neill would have also achieved the goal that was safety.

We'll never know, but we do know Sunderland will have to improve this season if they are to stay up and, looking at their signings, whether they can do such a thing is debatable.

At least Steven Fletcher leads their attack and Sunderland's final position in the table will largely depend on the form of the talented forward.

Injured for the final two months of last season after picking up an injury when on international duty, you would think he's capable of scoring around 15 goals and such a tally would go a long way to seeing Sunderland to safety.

However, their squad looks brittle, In Simon Mignolet they have lost an excellent goalkeeper and if the likes of Fletcher and Stephane Sessegnon do get injured you would have to fear for the Black Cats.

One thing I would say is they won't go down without a fight. When the going got tough at the business end of last season, Di Canio fired up his team and the result was three red cards in their last seven games.

To make up for some inefficiencies within their squad, a powerful approach is likely all season long and it wouldn't be a surprise to see their discipline suffer.

A season of struggle is a real worry for the Black Cats.

Best bet: Sunderland to get the most red cards at 10/1 (Paddy Power).


Manager: Michael Laudrup

Last season: Ninth

Major ins: Jordi Amat (Espanyol, £2.5million), Wilfried Bony (Vitesse Arnhem, £12million), Jose Canas (Real Betis, free), Jonathan de Guzman (Villareal, loan), Jernade Meade (Arsenal, free), Alejandro Pozuelo (Real Betis, undisclosed), Jonjo Shelvey (Liverpool, £5million).

Major outs: Kemy Agustien (Brighton, free), Kyle Bartley (Birmingham, loan), David Cornell (St Mirren, loan), Mark Gower (Charlton, free), Alan Tate (Yeovil, loan).

Nick Hext's verdict

This will be a fantastic season to be a Swansea fan but that doesn't necessarily mean they will improve on last season's finish of ninth.

The extra burden - and a welcome one at that - of the Europa League is sure to take its toll domestically as the months tick by and we've seen from Newcastle's example last term that Premier League form can suffer when a squad is stretched.

That is one thing Michael Laudrup has been acutely aware of and a busy summer so far has seen the Swans chief perform wonders in the transfer market to acquire the likes of Wilfried Bony, Jonjo Shelvey and, once again, Jonathan de Guzman on a season-long loan.

Bony in particular is a very exciting addition and his superb display in the first leg of the Europa League qualifier against Malmo gives a glimpse of what to expect over the new campaign.

I reckon Swansea can surprise quite a few sides in Europe and it would be a massive surprise to me if they aren't still competing on the continent after Christmas.

That means they might have to accept a slight slide in the mid-table ranks as priorities have to be juggled, especially if another run in a domestic cup is forthcoming.

Swansea fans shouldn't be worried by that prediction in any way. A season ticket at the Liberty Stadium is something to be treasured and that has been the case for a number of seasons now.

The best way I've found to back the Swans is by placing them in a match bet with West Brom.

Steve Clarke's Baggies look set for a fall down the standings and backing Swansea at 11/10 with Betfred and totesport to finish above the men from The Hawthorns is worth doing.

Best bet: Swansea to finish above West Brom at 11/10 (Betfred, totesport).


Manager: Andre Villas-Boas

Last season: Fifth

Major ins: Nacer Chadli (FC Twente, £7million), Paulinho (Corinthians, undisclosed), Roberto Soldado (Valencia, undisclosed).

Major outs: David Bentley (released), John Bostock (Royal Antwerp, free), Nathan Byrne (Swindon, undisclosed), Steven Caulker (Cardiff, undisclosed), Clint Dempsey (Seattle Sounders, undisclosed), William Gallas (released), Grant Hall (Swindon, loan), Bongani Khumalo (Doncaster, loan), Massimo Luongo (Swindon, loan), Ryan Mason (Swindon, loan), Alex Pritchard (Swindon, loan), Adam Smith (Derby, loan).

Chris Hammer's verdict

It certainly doesn't take a rocket scientist - or more accurately a seasoned football pundit - to tell you that much of Spurs' hopes this season rest on the future of Gareth Bale.

At the time of writing the Welsh wizard, who scooped both the PFA Players' Player of the Year and Young Player of the Year as well as the Football Writers' gong thanks to his consistent world-class displays during the last campaign, is still at White Hart Lane despite Real Madrid's strong interest in bringing him to the Bernabeu.

Every Spurs supporter will doubtless be keeping everything crossed that it stays that way.

If Tottenham do end up selling - for a fee which could reach £100million - it would be easy to flippantly assume that their quest of finishing in the top four this season is over before it's even begun.

However, while losing Bale is obviously a massive loss, Andre Villas-Boas will at least have the cash to splash (if the deal is done quickly enough) on a handful of top quality reinforcements which would potentially put them right back in the hunt for a Champions League spot.

Already they've brought in Roberto Soldado, who scored 30 goals in 46 games for Valencia last season, for around £26million, Brazilian midfielder Paulinho for a reported fee of £17million and £7million Belgium international Nacer Chadli - so they've certainly showed signs of preparing for Bale's potential exit.

There are surely more targets in mind, such as Toulouse's £10million-rated midfielder Etienne Capoue, but if they stopped buying now and actually managed to keep their star man then missing out on the top four again would have to go down as a huge - and extremely costly - failure.

This Bale saga might run until the very end of the transfer window, so it would make perfect sense to wait until September 3 before wading into any season-long specials about Tottenham but one bet worth considering now is Soldado to be the club's top scorer at 5/4 with Coral.

At 28, the Spain international is at his peak and on the back of another prolific season in La Liga and the Champions League, he should be confident of hitting the ground running in new surroundings. If Bale leaves then his price will inevitably shorten and in any case, the Welshman will find it tough to score quite as many as last season's astounding tally of 21.

Best bet: Roberto Soldado to be Tottenham's top goalscorer at 5/4 (Coral).


Manager: Steve Clarke

Last season: Eighth

Major ins: Nicolas Anelka (Shanghai Shenhua, free), Diego Lugano (PSG, free), Goran Popov (Dynamo Kiev, loan), Matej Vydra (Udinese, loan).

Major outs: Scott Allan (Birmingham, loan), Marc-Antoine Fortune (Wigan, free), Gonzalo Jara Reyes (Nottingham Forest, free), Jerome Thomas (Crystal Palace, free).

Andy Schooler's verdict

At the end of last season I suggested in our Long Game feature that the Baggies were a big price at 10/1 to be relegated and I stand by that assessment.

Steve Clarke's men started last season well but it was that start, not to mention the general lack of quality in the Premier League, that was responsible for their eighth-placed finish because in the second half of the campaign they picked up just 16 points, losing 11 of their 19 matches.

The Peter Odemwingie affair hardly helped matters but it should be remembered that his goals helped West Brom into their strong position in November and if, as expected, he moves on then those goals will be missed, particularly given last season's top scorer, Romelu Lukaku, is also now gone.

The pair bagged 22 league goals between them and that's a lot to replace. It would appear Steve Clarke is looking to Nicola Anelka to fill much of that void. However, it should be remembered this is a 34-year-old who left Chelsea for Shanghai Shenhua not so long ago, one who played just three games for Juventus after signing for them in January. OK, he's scored a few in pre-season but I need more convincing than any hat-trick against Cork City can do.

At the other end, experienced Uruguayan defender Diego Lugano looks a decent addition but I still think that the 9/1 that's left about West Brom going down is not the worst price in the world when you consider that there is rarely a great deal between the sides in mid-table and the one that occupies 18th place at the end of the season. Indeed the gap between West Brom and Wigan last term may have been 10 places but in points terms it was just 13.

While there are definitely more likely relegation candidates, if you aren't already on at 10s, the 9/1 is worthy of consideration.

In terms of a more likely winning bet, the Baggies collecting 45 points or fewer looks fair enough at 9/10 with Stan James.

However, it is another market with the same firm that makes most appeal at a considerably bigger price - namely Steve Clarke not to be in charge at the end of the season.

That's priced up at 4/1 which seems too big. The last time the Baggies flew a little too close to the drop line, Roberto Di Matteo got the boot pretty sharpish. With Clarke having almost six months of poor form already behind him, another few will have to put him under some kind of pressure so, given my thoughts outlined above about West Brom's season, this looks the way to go.

Best bet: Steve Clarke not to be at West Brom on the final day at 4/1 (Stan James).


Manager: Sam Allardyce

Last season: 10th

Major ins: Adrian (Real Betis, free), Andy Carroll (Liverpool, undisclosed), Razvan Rat (Shakhtar Donetsk, free), Danny Whitehead (Stockport, undisclosed).

Major outs: Carlton Cole (released), Rob Hall (Bolton, undisclosed), Gary O'Neil (released).

Nick Hext's verdict

Sam Allardyce knows what he's doing.

West Ham fans should remember that as taking a side that won the Championship play-offs to a finish of 10th in their first season back in the Premier League is not a bad effort at all.

It will be more of the same for the Hammers this term with Upton Park continuing to prove tough for anyone to visit and even a slight improvement in away form will see an improved placing.

Only QPR and Reading picked up less on the road last season and just four more points would have seen Allardyce's men end the campaign up in eighth.

That position, putting pressure on the Merseyside duo of Liverpool and Everton, is well within sight and is a realistic target for the Hammers.

The absolutely crucial news from the summer is the retention of Andy Carroll on a six-year deal from Liverpool.

Carroll definitely has his critics but his presence at the centre of the attack fits perfectly with Big Sam's style of play and that is far from a bad thing if more goals come his way.

Getting with William Hill's 5/2 for West Ham to finish in the top 10 has to be done and the 5/1 for them to end up in the top eight is also far from the worst bet you will see ahead of the big kick-off.

Best bet: West Ham to finish in the top 10 at 5/2 (William Hill).

  • Posted at 0750 BST on 12/08/2013.