Racing tip of the day

  • By: Ian Ogg
  • Last Updated: August 30 2014, 11:14 BST

Ian Ogg takes an optimistic approach to the tip of the day as he looks to land a forecast at Sandown

What about Carlo goes into the combination forecast
What about Carlo goes into the combination forecast

Ajmany, Busatto, Spa's Dancer What About Carlo - combination forecast (12 lines), 3.50 Sandown

On a day that appears to be too much for my weary, depleted grey cells it was tempting to mull over a few options before coming back to tip Future Empire just so that I could go with the headline Back to the Future.

There are some old friends running today - Yenhaab, Russian Realm, Orion's Bow, Blue Aegean, Eccleston - to name but five and some new - Maymyo - whose names always jump off the paper and come under consideration.

There's no doubt that the race that intrigues me most, however, is the St James Theatre Handicap where Ben 'Value Bet' Linfoot has selected Forgotten Hero and where I have put up What About Carlo in the stats guide.

What I'd like to do is crack the forecast in this race and so this daily copy becomes more whim of the day rather than tip of the day.

Mark Johnston's record ensures that Busatto goes in.

You need to forgive his recent form, a poor run at this track in July and other things besides but his soft ground, 10 furlong second to Llanarmon Lad off a 3lb higher mark at the end of June is a decent enough run in the context of this race.

What About Carlo needs to go in - if simply to avoid embarassment should he finish in the top two having been left out but I do genuinely like his claims at the prices. He's one of only a handful of runners in the field that could have the scope for further improvement.

Mount Shamsan is top of that list and a horse that I like but I'm just not convinced that this test will suit either him or Forgotten Hero.

I'm tempted by Tinghir but he has flattered to deceive on more than one occasion and the blinkers will need to buck his ideas up. Spa's Dancer, in contrast, is an admirable fellow with a good course record and Ryan Moore in the saddle.

The problems there are that he's done all of his winning over shorter and is 8lb higher than his last winning mark.

It's that sort of race. 

I can still see him finishing there or thereabouts again though and I'll complete my quartet with Ajmany whose trainer has a decent record in the race and who has plenty to recommend him bar his strike rate.

Posted 11.14 BST on 30/08/2014