Racing tip of the day

  • By: Ian Ogg
  • Last Updated: August 19 2014, 17:04 BST

Ian Ogg dreams wistfully of Deauville but ends up at Brighton as he searches for the tip of the day.

Avenir Certain lines up at Deauville today
Avenir Certain lines up at Deauville today

Perfect Mission - 5.15 Brighton

Faced with some fairly trappy cards the mind tends to wander (an old failing as various teachers will attest) and so it did to the rarefied surrounds of Deauville.

There will surely be worse doubles than odds-on pair Decathlete and Avenir Certain

The latter needs little introduction having won both the French Guineas and the Oaks and is just 16/1 for the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe, a price which could be shorter if she impresses this afternoon.

The former represents Andre Fabre and has won two of his three races with the defeat coming by three quarters of a length at the hands of French Guineas winner Karakontie who is trained by Jonathan Pease and finished second to Bunker in the Prix Francois Boutin.

Pease went one better in this year's renewal with Nucifera who produced a pretty impressive turn of foot to score by two lengths. It may mean something, it may mean nothing - just saying.

Back to Decathlete and he has been off since April and drops back from a mile to six furlong so there are questions but it will be fascinating to see if he has the answers.

There is a decent 0-85 at Leicester tonight where I would have liked to have made a case for Henry The Aviator but he has been abject this season while I'm not brave enough to tip the fairly treated Day Of The Eagle in the finale.

Instead, I'll head to the last at Brighton and a race which is chock full of in-form course specialists.

Perfect Mission's last two wins have come at Salisbury over seven furlongs from marks of 63 and 70 with three of his four wins achieved off the latter mark, it offers hope that he can be competitive from 65 at a track that he's run well in the past.

Kieren Shoemark has caught the eye more than once this season and looks decent value for his 7lb claim and he may be able to steal a march on his rivals in this contest.

There are one or two contenders for making the running but there appears to be a chance that Perfect Mission could be allowed his own way up front and the six-year-old may be able to steal this race if Shoemark can set the right fractions.