Mal Boyle's Placepot picks

  • By: Mal Boyle
  • Last Updated: February 1 2015, 21:43 GMT

Our Placepot expert Mal Boyle reveals his selections for Monday afternoon's meeting at Lingfield.

Each day Malcolm Boyle, the author of How To Win at the Tote Placepot and a former odds compiler, will give his unique analysis of racing's most popular pool bet.

He'll post his overnight Placepot analysis here around 1700 GMT each day with final selections published at approximately 1000 GMT on race day.

LINGFIELD – FEBRUARY 2

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2014: £59.70 (6 favourites: 2 winners--3 placed--1 unplaced)

1.45 The 12 represented trainers 'boast' stats of just 4/69 during the last fortnight whereby confidence is not at an all time high going into the opening event. My tentative short list consists of three of the four course and distance winners, namely APACHE GLORY, FEARLESS LAD and HECTORS CHANCE, with the overnight reserve nomination being awarded to the other C/D winner LADY LUNCHALOT.

Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to open proceedings.

2.15 Gary Moore is back among the winners and his recent course winner WHILE YOU WAIT could take the beating 10 days on. That said, last year's winner KING'S REQUEST defends his crown with Liam Jones once again in the saddled for Laura Mongan. With nine winners ridden for the trainer, Liam has partnered 45% of the A/W winners that Laura has led in during the last five years. HI NOTE is also of interest, given that Charles Bishop has ridden his only horse for trainer Sheena West to winning effect thus far.

Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 2/1 favourite scraped into the toteplacepot frame when securing a bronze medal behind horses returned at 11/4 & 6/1.

2.50 Charlie Appleby (SPERRIN & LEONCAVELLO) has saddled five of his last 10 runners to winning effect whilst his strike rate at LIngfield this season stands at 39%, stats which have produced level stake profits of the thick end of 10 points. Richard Hannon saddles WAJEEH who was beaten less than two and a half lengths on his debut by two Godolphin horses and the trainer looks like he has placed his Reven's Pass representative to good effect.

Favourite factor: The first 7/4 market leader beat a 100/1 chance by a length in the inaugural contest twelve months ago.

3.20 SEMARAL is the only course and distance winner in the line up, with Chris Wall boasting level stake profits of 13 points at Lingfield during the last five years. It's worth noting that Chris has accrued over 50 points of level stake profits at A/A venues during the study period. KIND INVITATION and STARLIGHT SYMPHONY might offer most resistance to the selection this time around.

Favourite factor: This is another new race on the Lingfield programme.

3.50 Ed Walker has his team in half decent nick whereby DRAWNFROMTHEPAST is the first name on the team sheet, the course and distance winner being joined by last year's inaugural winner ROY'S LEGACY and fellow C/D gold medallist NOVABRIDGE. ROY'S LEGACY is asked to carry an additional five pounds running of a two spot higher mark on this occasion.

Favourite factor: Last year's 11/4 market leader went down by a length and three parts to a 10/1 winner, securing a toteplacepot position in the process.

4.20 I mentioned the other John Butler horse on the card (Novabridge) in the last race and with the yard in form, FINAL DRIVE is fancied to run well under Adam Kirby who (like Luke Morris) can barely put a foot wrong these days on the all weather circuits. Others to consider include ROCKIE ROAD, FOCAIL MEAR and LEXINGTON BLUE.

Favourite factor: The toteplacepot finale is another new race on the card.

** = joint favourite; *** = co-favourite (where applicable).

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Lingfield card on Monday

3--Charlie Appleby
2--Michael Attwater
2--Milton Bradley
2--John Butler
2--Lee Carter
2--Chris Gordon
2--Richard Hannon
2--Grace Harris
2--Daniel Mark Loughnane
2--Laura Mongan
2--Gary Moore
2--Seamus Mullins
2--John Ryan
2--Chris Wall
1--Michael Attwater
1--Alan Bailey
1--John Best
1--James Bethell
1--Michael Blanshard
1--John Bridger
1--Jo Crowley
1--Simon Dow
1--Chris Dwyer
1--Ed De Giles
1--Richard Fahey
1--William Haggas
1--Shaun Harris
1--Mark Hoad
1--Eve Johnson Houghton
1--Roger Ingram
1--Mark Johnston
1--Alan King
1--Sylvester Kirk
1--Heather Main
1--Pat Phelan
1--Mick Quinn
1--Kevin Ryan
1--David Simcock
1--Ralph J Smith
1--Ed Walker
1--Sheena West

56 declared runners

2014 average toteplacepot returns thus far (100 meetings):
1 race with at least one favourite in the frame: £602.93 (5)
2 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £365.37 (6)
3 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £326.82 (23)
4 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £176.18 (37)
5 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £76.67 (25)
6 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £27.17 (4)

All references to placed horses on these pages are based on an exact science regarding general place terms offered by bookmakers and totepool.com

All-weather venues:
Total A/W meetings (£253.50--42 meetings)
Chelmsford (£447.07--3 meetings)

Kempton (£199.50--5 meetings)

Lingfield (£216.19--12 meetings)
Southwell (£231.74--10 meetings)
Wolverhampton (£283.07--12 meetings)

National Hunt venues:
Total NH meetings (£153.50--58 meetings)
Ascot (£34.60--1 meeting)
Ayr (£205.07--3 meetings)
Bangor (£9.40--1 meeting)
Catterick (£89.97--3 meetings)
Cheltenham (£76.15--2 meetings)
Chepstow (£119.20--1 meeting)
Doncaster (£149.27--3 meetings)
Exeter (£60.95--2 meetings)
Fakenham (£88.07--3 meetings)
Ffos Las (£246.20--2 meetings)
Haydock (£1,163.90--1 meeting)
Huntingdon (£278.10--1 meeting)
Kelso (£23.80--1 meeting)
Kempton (£187.80--1 meeting)
Leicester (£81.55--2 meetings)
Lingfield (£146.90--1 meeting)
Ludlow (£263.50--3 meetings)
Market Rasen (£58.80--1 meeting)
Musselburgh (£166.37--3 meetings)
Newbury (£66.20--1 meeting)
Newcastle (£58.10--2 meetings)
Plumpton (£516.87--3 meetings)
Sandown (£403.10--2 meetings)
Sedgefield (£26.10--2 meetings)
Taunton (£216.10--3 meetings)
Towceste (£6.20--1 meeting)
Uttoxeter (£65.30--1 meeting)
Warwick (£388.15--2 meetings)
Wetherby (£83.87--3 meetings)
Wincanton (£148.97--3 meetings)

The average toteplacepot dividend in 2014 stands at £212.05 (100 meetings) up to and including Saturday January 31