Value Bet: Happy Valley
Ben Linfoot bids to continue his good run with his Value Bet column as two Scoop6 races come under the microscope.
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There's some top-class action on Saturday, including the Irish 2000 Guineas and the Temple Stakes, but for many of us it's all about cracking the handicaps as the Scoop6 pot bubbles up to record levels.
It all kicks off in the Betfred Scoop6 15 Million Today Handicap at Haydock at 1405, with up to 16 sprinters set to do battle and thousands of tickets set to fall at the first hurdle.
The stands' side could be the place to be here with well-fancied trio Barkston Ash, Out Do and Discussiontofollow all drawn towards the rail with the latter the most appealing of the three.
- 1pt win Trader Jack in 2.05 Haydock at 10/1 (Ladbrokes) - Ascot form boosted on Friday and worth another go in big 6f handicap with Moore on top.
- 1pt win Lyn Valley in 3.45 Haydock at 20/1 (888, Ladbrokes) - This race should be run to suit and has been in good form.
- 1pt win Mawfoor in 3.45 Haydock at 25/1 (General) - Good reappearance run at Ascot and should be suited by the step up in trip; course winner.
However, though it's taken TRADER JACK a bit of time to get used to life as a sprinter he's certainly getting the hang of things and he's worth backing now Ryan Moore takes the reins.
Utilised as a mile to a mile-and-a-half horse when with Roger Charlton, David Flood has run him five times over six furlongs without success but he thrived in a big-field handicap at the trip at Ascot just two starts ago.
That race was won by Robert Cowell's Intrinsic who completed a hat-trick from a 9lb-higher mark at Goodwood on Friday and on that form Trader Jack has a good chance at the weights here.
Sixth over seven furlongs behind Chil The Kite at Newbury last weekend, that wasn't a bad effort from out of the handicap and shows he remains in good heart.
Back over what is sure to be a strongly-contested six, Trader Jack won't be inconvenienced by any rain and is sure to benefit from Moore's strength in the saddle.
At 10/1 he's worth a bet.
Later on the Scoop6 concludes with the Betfred Mobile Casino Silver Bowl Stakes and Sheikh Hamdan Al Maktoum has the likely favourite in Zarwaan.
However, don't be put off by the black cap of second-string MAWFOOR as he made eye-catching progress when sixth at Ascot on his reappearance following nine months off the track earlier in the month.
He was a little outpaced in that race and hung slightly to his right, but he stayed on nicely once straightened up and was doing all his best work at the finish.
Last June he looked a really nice prospect when winning a maiden at Haydock and the long straight really suits his galloping style, while the step up in trip to a mile look sure to spark improvement.
His dam was a 10-furlong winner and his full sister Let Your Love Flow was a nine-furlong horse too, so it's reasonable to expect another furlong will be up his street.
As far as the ground goes he looks versatile and at 25/1 he looks overpriced.
LYN VALLEY also appeals in the same race at 20/1.
Mark Johnston's horse led one of two small groups at Newmarket last time and ended up being a bit of a sitting duck for Hors De Combat and Born In Bombay, both horses reopposing here.
Lyn Valley comes out best at the weights on that run this time around, but is considered the outsider of the trio by the layers.
They may be right, but a strongly-run mile on a galloping track looks sure to suit Lyn Valley and his deeper reserves of stamina (stays ten furlongs) will come in handy late in the piece.
At 20s, he's certainly worth a small wager.
*Ben has tipped 14/1, 9/1, 25/1 and 14/1 winners in the last four races he has previewed in the Value Bet column.
Ben Linfoot's Value Bet Aim: The Value Bet is designed to generate long-term profit by searching for overpriced horses in the feature weekend races and at the big Festivals in the UK. Running total: +262.81pts to advised stakes/prices (from inception of Value Bet column in January 2010 to current).