Aetna likely type at York
Ben Linfoot, who has tipped 14/1, 9/1 and 25/1 winners in the past week, has two Value Bets for the opening day of the York Dante Meeting.
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The Duke Of York and Musidora Stakes take centre stage on day one of York's Dante meeting, but the best betting race for my money is the Infinity Tyres Handicap at 1415 BST - when 20 sprinters go hell-for-leather up the Knavesmire.
There doesn't look to be a particular early speed bias on one particular side of the track here, though if Jamaican Bolt is alert coming out of the stalls he is a possible pace angle up the middle.
With the soft ground in his favour, he makes most appeal out of the market leaders if he stays the six furlongs - but a bigger question mark is whether he can reverse Newcastle form with Mick Easterby's AETNA.
Geoff Oldroyd's sprinter is 3lb better off with the Indesatchel filly here, but that's not going to be enough on the evidence of her Newcastle win in April.
She cruised through the contest on the soft ground that day and found plenty for Graham Gibbons, who didn't have to work hard in the saddle for a comfortable one-and-three-quarter length success.
Aetna was below-par at Beverley next time, but the combination of good ground and that particular track might not have played to her strengths and she is fancied to continue her progression with underfoot conditions in her favour.
On soft or heavy ground her form figures are 1-3-3-1 and she's progressing up the ratings nicely when there is plenty of give.
Her full-sister Boundaries (trained by Tim Easterby) stayed six furlongs, while her half-brothers Dubai Crest and Hot Spark got even further and this, allayed with her running style, give great hope the step back up to six (she actually won her maiden over seven) will spark further improvement.
At 14/1 she's a bet, and so is SUMMERINTHECITY at the slightly bigger price of 16/1.
The Indian Ridge gelding has slipped back down to a competitive handicap mark of 90 - he's won off 85 and 86 in the past and has been second in good handicaps a couple of times off 88, including when a short-head runner-up at York in last July's Sky Bet Dash.
He hasn't had much chance to show what he can do on soft ground throughout his career, but he did win at Haydock in such conditions and was a good fourth at Goodwood on the same ground too.
This is his first run of the season but he goes well fresh as a second in a similar race at Doncaster in the May of 2012 proves, while the switch to Richard Fahey's is another likely reason for improvement.
Jockey Ian Brennan takes another vital 3lb off to help further from a handicapping point of view and this looks the perfect time to catch him with so much in his favour.
Ben Linfoot's Value Bet Aim: The Value Bet is designed to generate long-term profit by searching for overpriced horses in the feature weekend races and at the big Festivals in the UK. Running total: +258.81pts to advised stakes/prices (from inception of Value Bet column in January 2010 to current).