Racing tip of the day

  • By: Matt Brocklebank
  • Last Updated: April 17 2014, 19:35 BST

Matt Brocklebank is spoilt for choice but eventually settles on a confident tip of the day at Newmarket.

True Story: Impressed our man last year
True Story: Impressed our man last year

16.40 Newmarket - True Story

If you have a look through all today's racecards and leave the page thinking there's nothing that particularly floats your boat from a punting perspective, then you are an extraordinarily disciplined operator.

We are set for a brilliant day of racing on this sunny Wednesday, from the opening Beverley seller, through Newmarket, Cheltenham, Southwell, Sedgefield and finishing with a couple of decent maidens at Dundalk.

There are tempting betting opportunities at just about every turn. I'm drawn to the returning Blue Atlantic in the 4.15 at Beverley, won't be able to resist a few shillings on Garde La Victoire getting weight from the top two in Cheltenham's opener, and will probably double the latter with Catching On (7.05 Southwell), who bolted up at Wetherby and is only 4lb worse off if you factor in Maurice Linehan's claim.

I digress. The pick of the action is clearly at Newmarket and the standout bet is True Story in the ebm-papst Feilden Stakes (16.40).

Saeed bin Suroor's Manduro colt raced twice over seven furlongs on the July Course last summer, finishing second to stablemate and subsequent Breeders' Cup Turf winner Outstrip on debut before winning his maiden in ready fashion by the best part of four lengths.

The runner-up that day was Expert (now officially rated 99) while also in behind were Voice Of A Leader (97) and Postponed (96), so there's a pretty solid form case to suggest True Story is worthy of a good deal more than his mark of 100.

A quick look at the closing stages of the video replay shows Silvestre de Sousa's mount was never stronger than when passing the winning post in opening his account and, being out of a Darshaan mare, I'd expect him to improve again now faced with a sterner test of stamina.

The opposition is not to be underestimated, but Somewhat is pretty well exposed and will do extremely well to concede 3lb all round.

The most obvious threat is the once-raced Irish challenger Obliterator, who looked very smart when storming away with a Curragh maiden in September, though the second and third have both been beaten in Dundalk maidens since.

It will be interesting to see just how forward the Godolphin runners are at this meeting, but I expect this Guineas/Dante/Derby entrant to be ready to roll on his first start back and the 50/1 on offer for Epsom may even look a bit juicy by the time this fantastic day of sport comes to an end.