Value Bet: King Charles

  • By: Ben Linfoot
  • Last Updated: April 12 2014, 15:48 BST

Ben Linfoot seeks out the value from Saturday's racing at Ayr and Newbury including the Spring Cup and Scottish National.

Charles Camoin: Big price at 22s to land the Spring Cup
Charles Camoin: Big price at 22s to land the Spring Cup

We have the best of both worlds from Ayr and Newbury on Saturday with a quality jumps card up in Scotland complimented by some fine Flat action down in Berkshire.

Some top-quality jumpers have been attracted to the Scottish National card including Valdez and particularly My Tent Or Yours, who has been set a fascinating task in the Scottish Champion Hurdle where he will have to give plenty of weight to some talented handicappers.

Down at Newbury all eyes are on the Classic trials with Al Thakhira and Kingman likely favourites to build on the promise they showed as juveniles in the Dubai Duty Free and Greenham respectively.

It all makes for a compelling afternoon of sport and what better way to enjoy it than trying to crack the two toughest puzzles of the day - the 30-runner Scottish National and 25-runner Spring Cup.

We'll tackle the Newbury contest first, with CHARLES CAMOIN the headline selection at 22/1.

This talented but fragile horse has been plagued with niggling injuries throughout his career, but when he's good he's very good and he's back down to his last winning handicap mark of 90 now.

That win came at Ascot over 10 furlongs last July when he was keen and short of room at one stage, before he showed great battling qualities to see off Haylaman off a big weight (watch the video here.)

On that evidence he's well worth a crack over a mile, a distance he only tried in the very beginning of his career.

Campaigned mainly over 10 and 12 furlongs, he'll need to track a fast pace over a mile but that looks assured in a big-field handicap like this and it could well bring out the best in him.

The Sylvester Kirk-trained horse also goes really well fresh, having won on his seasonal reappearance last season and his Ascot win came after a break too.

His high draw is fine and at 25s I'm keen to get him onside each-way.

In the Coral Scottish Grand National I only want to be with YES TOM who sneaks into the handicap proper after causing a shock in a conditions race at Down Royal last time.

He had subsequent Grade 2 winner Bog Warrior behind that day as well as Grand National eighth Raz De Maree, and it was his first start for Stuart Crawford, who seems to have reinvigorated him after his form tailed off a bit at the end of his stint with Roy Wilson.

Wilson used to bring him over to Ayr on a regular basis and he loved it, finishing first (twice), second (twice) and third (twice) from six appearances.

It's interesting Crawford, who has successfully completed many a raid on the UK from his Northern Irish base this season, brings him over to Scotland for this big prize when he had options closer to home in the coming weeks.

Even more interesting is the booking of Paul Carberry, who will be right at home on this hold-up merchant.

There are several dangers, headed by Green Flag and Trustan Times, while more experienced rivals like McMurrough and Alpha Victor should go well too.

However, considering how easy he won last time, it has to be Yes Tom for me.

Ben Linfoot's Value Bet Aim: The Value Bet is designed to generate long-term profit by searching for overpriced horses in the feature weekend races and at the big Festivals in the UK. Running total: +226.81pts to advised stakes/prices (from inception of Value Bet column in January 2010 to current).

  • Posted at 1740 GMT on 11/04/2014.