Wes a wonderful price
Carl Longhawn previews 'Judgement Night' in Premier League Darts with Wes Newton backed at a decent price to claim a win.
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Cardiff plays host to 'Judgement Night' in Premier League Darts on Thursday, after which the bottom two in the league standings will eliminated from the competition.
One of those elimination slots is already filled by Simon Whitlock, who had his fate sealed with a draw over Wes Newton last week and will now need to focus on finding his form for the remainder of 2014.
- 2.5pts Wes Newton to beat Dave Chisnall at 9/5 (Boylesports, Betfair Sportsbook) - Newton has a good head-to-head record v Chizzy and can draw on that this week
- 1.5pts over 11.5 legs in Gary Anderson v Peter Wright at 5/4 (Sky Bet) - little between the two players and a case could be made for all three results; looks likely to go the distance
That process will start this week with the unenviable task of facing Michael van Gerwen, who tops the table after his victory over Peter Wright in Dublin. It's likely MVG will add two points to his total but hopefully Whitlock, with the pressure off, will put up an improved performance.
The final elimination spot will be filled by one of Newton, Dave Chisnall or Robert Thornton. 'The Thorn' will close the night against Phil Taylor who maintained his unbeaten run in TV contests against Raymond van Barneveld with a draw last week. It was a nervy-looking performance at times and suggests that there is still work to do on his game.
Thornton had a week off in Dublin after playing twice in week five, so should be fresher for the break. He will go into the match knowing exactly what he needs to achieve to ensure his progression as this will be dictated by the outcome of the previous match between Newton and Chisnall.
Victory for either man in the Newton-Chisnall clash will clinch their place in the competition for the remaining seven weeks. It will also likely seal the elimination of their opponent so expect this to be a nervy and tense affair. For me that favours Newton who boasts a superior head-to-head record over Chisnall of 10-4 and 1-0 in TV meetings. Additionally, Chisnall has shown to be fallible against more methodical players in pressure matches, defeats to Ted Hankey in a Grand Slam decider and John Henderson at Ally Pally are two recent examples. Newton looks good value for victory at 9/5.
The week's other two contests feature four players all with genuine aspirations of a top-four finish, Adrian Lewis and Van Barneveld face off in a contest between the league's third and fourth. That should be a cracking match but from a betting angle I am drawn to Peter Wright's clash with Gary Anderson.
Both players are closely matched on recent form and their head-to-head record and, as such, I don't think either player will run away with this match. While the draw is worth of consideration, a more sensible play is to back the match going long with over 11.5 legs at 5/4 the way to go.