Racing tip of the day
Our sportinglife racing team gets in a muddle as they resort to conjecture and basic arithmetic in the search for a tip of the day.
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Trickaway - 17.30 Warwick
When looking through today's cards yesterday in order to find a poor unfortunate to nominate for this copy, I rather thought that Bincombe would be the beast in question.
A winner of two of his five starts over fences, a 9lb rise for his 19 length victory (exaggerated by his rivals failing to handle the testing ground) didn't seem overly harsh and that rise was likely to be compensated for, in part, by the quicker ground which his connections expect him to appreciate.
The form of his two previous defeats looked to be working out well enough and the Philip Hobbs' team is enjoying a decent spell but then I saw that Tom O'Brien was riding him.
O'Brien is a perfectly good jockey but Richard Johnson is the stable number one and has got off both Bincombe and Cloud Creeper - having ridden both to victory on their latest starts - to ride three horses at Warwick which got me thinking.
That's a dangerous enough pastime in itself ('not someone who can fart and chew gum at the same time' one of my teachers used to say) but sometimes it's impossible to help yourself, even when you're staring directly into the abyss.
First up (for Hobbs), is Dreams And Songs in the mares' hurdle which is an intriguingly competitive contest in itself.
Dreams And Songs has disappointed twice since making an encouraging hurdling debut but moves into handicap company from a realistic mark as a result and this daughter of the smart Karello Bay is well worth considering at a big price.
Half an hour later, Roll The Dice, a hurdles winner at the track, takes his chance in the handicap chase and he should relish the return to racing left-handed on a better surface.
Last, but by no means least, is Trickaway in the bumper which looks to be a decent race of its kind with some well bred individuals from top yards in the field and it will be particularly interesting to see how Mazurati, a half-brother to the brilliant Asian Maze and the distinctly useful Quantitativeeasing, gets on both in the market and on the track.
Trickaway has a penalty to concede to his rivals but there was a lot to like about his victory at Exeter (having shown promise on debut in a Listed bumper at Cheltenham) and that form has already been franked, to a degree, by the second who finished a respectful third behind an impressive winner at Kempton on Saturday.
Trainers being creatures of habit, or so we believe; it intrigued me that Hobbs had won that bumper in 2011 with a useful horse called Fingal Bay.
It may be expecting a bit much for Trickaway to prove as good as last week's Pertemps winner but the fixed odds firms are just pricing up the finale and have gone in at 5/2 and 11/4 which seems reasonable to me and, hopefully, he can serve up a treat for his backers.
The only question that remains is whether I stick the three Warwick runners in a trixie or throw Bincombe in as well?