Pinch a winner at Southwell

  • By: Chris Wilson
  • Last Updated: March 17 2014, 17:16 GMT

Our Chris Wilson is keen on Carpincho winning at Southwell on Monday. He has a tip for every UK and Irish race.

Carpincho: Handicap rating has come down
Carpincho: Handicap rating has come down

DOWN ROYAL: 1.45 Tulsa Jack, 2.15 Solidago, 2.45 Another Challenge, 3.15 Bog Warrior, 3.45 Never Complain, 4.15 Send For Paddy, 4.45 John Mor.

KEMPTON: 2.20 Secret Millionaire, 2.50 Wonder Weapon, 3.20 Super Duplex, 3.50 Manomine, 4.20 Baddilini, 4.50 Arashi, 5.20 New Rich.

SOUTHWELL: 2.05 Shadrack, 2.35 CARPINCHO (NAP), 3.10 Super Lunar, 3.40 Captain Cardington, 4.10 Lord Landen, 4.40 Good Of Luck, 5.10 Mighty Minnie.

WEXFORD: 2.30 Ashjar, 3.05 Ontopoftheworld, 3.35 Snowell, 4.05 Captainofthefleet, 4.35 Duers, 5.05 Boxer Beat, 5.35 Carrigmoorna Rock.

WOLVERHAMPTON: 3.00 Crazee Diamond, 3.30 Canon Law, 4.00 Kasbhom, 4.30 Fair Breeze, 5.00 India's Song, 5.30 Royal Alcor, 6.00 Alborz.

DOUBLE: Carpincho and India's Song.

Carpincho has enough about him to go well in the totepool.com Home of Pool Betting Handicap Chase at Southwell on Monday.

Sarah Humphrey's chaser is a good horse on his day, and has been given yet more respite from the assessor for this race.

Despite having finished a solid second in an extended two-and-a-half-mile handicap chase at Leicester last month, he has been relieved of another 2lb.

Carpincho won a novice chase at Fontwell in January 2010 rated 130, so a 28lb lower mark looks pretty appealing.

Humphrey's 10-year-old has been in good nick this winter, without ever really looking like he was going to win a race.

That said, his Leicester run was probably another step up as he chased home the useful Lord Landen into second place, beaten 12 lengths.

His cause at the Nottinghamshire circuit will also be aided by the likelihood of decent ground.

Carpincho must admittedly address a long losing streak, but he might never get a better chance of doing so off his current mark.

India's Song can come good for the David Simcock team in the coral.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed On Racing Handicap at Wolverhampton.

The four-year-old filly was only fourth at Lingfield earlier this month, but that in no way tells the full story.

Simcock's inmate was well backed in a mile-and-a-quarter handicap and, for a long way, looked set to deliver.

However, it all unravelled inside the final furlong as her path was blocked several times when she was poised to make a winning run.

India's Song flew at the death and was only beaten a length and a half, which rates as a pretty good effort given that trouble in running.

The daughter of Zamindar had previously finished second in a better race than this over course and distance, when she succumbed by a neck to the likeable Dubai Celebration.

India's Song has only gone up a 1lb for this, but George Buckell's continuing presence in the saddle at least takes off a handy 7lb.

Granted better fortune, she should take some beating.

Super Duplex holds every chance in the George Battle Celebratory Handicap at Kempton.

Roger Teal's seven-year-old has not wavered this year, finishing second in fair races at Wolverhampton and at Lingfield.

His most recent effort at the latter venue was especially encouraging as he got to within a head of Cataria Girl in a mile-and-a-quarter handicap.

Super Duplex perhaps lacked the finishing kick of the winner that day, which might explain why the capable Teal has stepped him up to a mile and a half at the Sunbury circuit.

The gelded son of Footstepsinthesand was a winner over that trip at Windsor a few years ago, which bodes well, while he has also struck at this track off a 1lb higher mark in January 2012.

That connections have gone out of their way to book champion jockey Richard Hughes can be seen as a firm statement of intent.

  • Posted at 1500 GMT on 16/03/2014.