Achievable Conquest for Tony
Our Simon Crawford thinks Essex cruiserweight Tony Conquest can land the vacant Commonwealth title this weekend.
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Just over a year ago it seemed that the fledgling career of Tony Conquest had hit the buffers when he was stopped in less than two minutes for the WBO international cruiserweight title by Rotherham's Neil Dawson.
The 29-year-old got caught by a gem of a punch which was a massive setback to his plans.
But it was only his 11th fight in the paid ranks after 10 straight wins and still only in his late 20s, there was still time to go back to the drawing board and rebuild for the Romford fighter (12-1 5KOs).
So far it has gone to plan - just about - with a first-round success against Czech journeyman David Vicena followed by a gritty points win over Prizefighter champion Wadi Camacho last October.
In an eliminator for the British title currently held by Jon Lewis Dickinson, Conquest was floored in the opening two rounds but with his career hanging by a thread he found the spirit to get up, hit back and win.
"I've been flying high emotionally and confidence wise and feeling terrific about myself (since the Camacho fight)," said Conquest.
"I'm a different person in the gym again as well. I've got all my confidence back. I'm in a good place physically and mentally which is nice."
Conquest will have a partisan crowd behind him at Bethnal Green's world famous York Hall when he faces Australian Daniel Ammann (29-5-1 6KOs).
The 31-year-old will bring far more experience to the ring - but on the two occasions when he has stepped up in class he was stopped in two rounds by fellow Aussie Brad Pitt and Russian Alexander Alekseev respectively.
Certainly from a British perspective, Ammann is perhaps best known as the man who was due to fight Nathan Cleverly in the Welshman's debut as a cruiserweight last November, only for the Brit to pull out with a back injury.
Southpaw Ammann is full of confidence for what will be only the third bout in his career outside of his homeland.
"I feel fit and strong and ready to have a great fight against Conquest," he said. "He's a very tough kid with plenty of balls for a fight and I'm impressed with what I've seen of his fights.
"He got up from his knockdowns against Wadi Camacho in the first two rounds of their fight and took it to him. I'm similar to him, you have to nail me to the floor to beat me, it's going to be a fantastic fight between us."
Conquest is a solid, technical fighter with decent power who is happiest at close range and I think he can outwork Ammann, who is tough but at best workmanlike and should bring no surprises to the table.
Like all southpaws, he can make it awkward but I believe Conquest is a far superior boxer with good stamina so I think he will take a points decision.
The layers don't agree, however, and have Ammann favourite with the 4/6 the best on offer with Stan James and bwin, while Conquest is a stand out 13/8 with Betfred in what is a trappy market.
But I'm looking to the round betting for value and taking the 9/4 bwin have on offer for Conquest to win on points.