Value Bet: Bourne again
Ben Linfoot seeks out the value from Ascot and Haydock on Saturday and he's going in again on Bourne at the Berkshire track.
- Related Content
It's a great card at Ascot on Saturday with the likes of Un Temps Pour Tout, Cole Harden, Many Clouds, Gevrey Chambertin, Captain Chris and the welcome return of Medermit set to light up the afternoon.
I'd expect Many Clouds to enhance his RSA claims, unless Gevrey Chambertin pulls off an impressive victory on his chasing debut, while Captain Chris should prove good enough to land the Betfair Ascot Chase.
- 1pt win Bourne in 3.15 Ascot at 9/1 (Ladbrokes) - ran well here last time behind two in-form rivals, well handicapped on old form, loves the course and heavy ground
- 1pt win Red Rocco in 2.55 Haydock at 25/1 (Boylesports) - return to Haydock, slight drop in weights and first-time visor can reinvigorate him after two below-par efforts
However, they aren't bets for this column, with the 16-runner Great British Drama Handicap Hurdle at 3.15 more my type of race.
There are a few familiar names in here, some regular mud-plodders who have been turning up in this type of race throughout the winter and it seems like I've backed half the field before.
The key thing in this contest, though, is the potential for a really strong pace. Bygones Sovereign, Heath Hunter, Stopped Out and, to an extent, Kuilsriver, all like to force or be up with the pace and they should ensure a good test.
This is absolutely key for BOURNE, who needs a really strong gallop over this trip in heavy ground to run to his best.
After advising him last time over the course and distance in similar ground, he ran a strange race. At one stage he looked like he might be tailed off, but to his credit he regathered himself and finished strongly, taking third in the end.
It would've been second but for a mistake at the last and the two horses that finished in front of him that day, Irish Saint (Betfair Hurdle) and Imperial Leader (Pertemps Qualifier behind Fingal Bay at Exeter) have run well in defeat since.
He goes well in the testing ground, is well handicapped on his old form and at 9/1 he's worth backing again considering the race should be run to suit.
Up at Haydock there are plenty that hold chances in the Betfred Grand National Trial, with Hawkes Point, Well Refreshed and Merry King reopposing from the Welsh National.
RED ROCCO was pulled up in that race and suffered the same fate at Wincanton last time, but the handicapper has dropped him a couple of pounds following those efforts and he's interesting back at Haydock in a first-time visor.
Three starts ago he ran an excellent race at the Lancashire track when second to Nuts N Bolts, a rival with whom he gets a 9lb pull at the weights on Saturday for a six-length defeat.
Prices as big as 25/1 remain fair about Nigel Twiston-Davies' charge in an extremely tricky race to assess.
Ben Linfoot's Value Bet Aim: The Value Bet is designed to generate long-term profit by searching for overpriced horses in the feature weekend races and at the big Festivals in the UK. Running total: +251.81pts to advised stakes/prices (from inception of Value Bet column in January 2010 to current).