Go for goals at the Lane
Dave Tickner previews Wednesday's Premier League action, and expects plenty of goals when Spurs host Man City.
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Four more Premier League clashes complete the midweek programme, with derby action in London and the Midlands as well as what looks an enticing clash at White Hart Lane where Tim Sherwood's revitalised Spurs host red-hot Manchester City.
Elsewhere there's a key game in the scrap at the foot of the table as Sunderland host fellow strugglers Stoke.
Here's our match-by-match preview of the action.
- 1pt Over 4.5 goals in Tottenham v Man City at 19/5 (BetVictor) - City won 6-0 in reverse fixture, Spurs finding their scoring form under Sherwood.
- 1pt Chelsea to beat West Ham from behind at 17/2 (BetVictor, Ladbrokes) - Chelsea have best record in division after falling behind; Hammers the worst after taking the lead.
Aston Villa v West Bromwich Albion
Two teams sat in mid-table but looking nervously over their shoulders clash here at Villa Park. Both are in terrible form; Villa have won one of their last eight and West Brom just one of their last 12. Villa have won only two of their 11 home games, West Brom have been successful only once on the road. The reverse fixture ended all square, 2-2 at the Hawthorns. The draw here is 23/10.
Verdict: Aston Villa 1 West Brom 1
55% of the goals Aston Villa have conceded this season have been shipped in the first half; the highest proportion in the league this season.
Villa have scored just eight goals at Villa Park this season, fewer than any other team on home soil in the top flight.
Fifteen different players have been given 6+ yellow cards in the Premier League this season - three play for Aston Villa (Agbonlahor, Delph, Clark) and two for WBA (Mulumbu & Olsson).
Chelsea v West Ham United
A textbook home banker. Chelsea have won 10 and drawn one of their 11 home games in the Premier League this season, while West Ham have lost eight of their last 12 league games and were hammered home and away by Manchester City in the Capital One Cup semi-finals. An interesting stat to consider here if you want to turn 1/5 quotes about a home win into something more tempting is that Chelsea have won four games from losing positions this season, and West Ham have lost four after taking the lead. Chelsea are 17/2 to win from behind. Another statistical quirk is that West Ham - who have scored in all of their last six PL games yet lost four and won only once - have lost 3-1 five times this season. Chelsea have won by that scoreline three times, and it's 23/2 with 888sport.
Verdict: Chelsea 3 West Ham 1
Chelsea have recovered more points from losing positions than any other side in the Premier League this season (14); West Ham have dropped more points from winning positions than any other side in the Premier League this season (14).
Frank Lampard has scored five goals in his last five Premier League games against West Ham.
Chelsea have won 12 and lost just one of the last 15 Premier League meetings with the Hammers.
Sunderland v Stoke City
A match the sees the second-worst home record in the Premier League go up against the worst away record. It's hard to get excited about this one. Sunderland have lost only twice in their last 12 games and are off to Wembley for the League Cup final and through to the last 16 of the FA Cup. They at least should have some confidence from those games. Stoke, on the other hand, have drawn one and lost five of their last six games against Premier League opponents. Sunderland have scored only 12 goals at home this season; Stoke have managed only eight away. A 1-0 home win is only 6/1 but looks fair. Two of Sunderland's four league wins this season have been by the only goal, as have four of Stoke's 10 defeats. Under 1.5 goals isn't the worst 2/1 shot.
Verdict: Sunderland 1 Stoke 0
Stoke have the worst away record in the Barclays Premier League this season with just five points from 11 games and a goal difference of -16.
There have been red cards in three of the last four Barclays Premier League meetings between Sunderland and Stoke.
There have been just five goals scored in the last four Premier League games between Stoke and Sunderland.
Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester City
A mouthwatering match that pits together two of the division's in-form sides. City have won their last seven in the Premier League, while Spurs have taken 16 points from 18 since Tim Sherwood replaced Andre Villas-Boas. Spurs were hammered 6-0 at the Etihad in the reverse fixture, but have generally performed better away from home this season, picking up 25 of their 43 points on the road. For City, the reverse is true. The Etihad has been a fortress, but they sit only seventh in the table. So a surprisingly poor home record takes on a surprisingly poor away record in this one. What's the result? For us, it's goals. Sherwood appears to have solved Spurs' problems in front of goal - they've scored 10 in their last four Premier League games - while City have been scoring for fun all season long. Over 4.5 goals is 19/5 and that looks tempting. It would have landed in three of City's last five away games and four of their last six overall. They've put six past this opposition already this season and Spurs are no longer gun-shy themselves having scored at least twice in five of Sherwood's six league matches in charge.
Verdict: Tottenham 2 Manchester City 3
Sergio Aguero has scored 13 goals in his last 12 Barclays Premier League apps and has four in four against Spurs.
In the reverse fixture back in November, Spurs fired in 13 shots to Man City's 15, but lost 0-6 at the Etihad Stadium.
With five goals, Emmanuel Adebayor has matched his Premier League goals total from last season (in seven games this season compared to 25 in 2012-13).
- Tottenham v Man City is being televised live in the UK on BT Sport.