Racing tip of the day
Matt Brocklebank feels red-hot trainer Charlie Longsdon is set for another successful afternoon.
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Long Wave - 13.30 Southwell
After saddling five winners from just 16 runners during last month, Charlie Longsdon is well on course to comfortably surpass that 31% strike-rate in October and this is no day to be deserting the man.
Longsdon sends Pendra on a 500-mile round trip for his much-anticipated chasing debut at Carlisle and big things are clearly expected following a quick glance at the betting this morning.
I was rapidly falling head over heels for Pendra prior to his disappointing run in the Coral Cup at Cheltenham when last seen and, while the more locally-trained duo of Eduard and Tour D'Argent should provide good resistance in Cumbria, it would be no surprise if he was back in my good books at the close of play.
However, there looks to be a touch more value in siding with another of Longsdon's chasing debutants across the card at Southwell.
Long Wave has a considerably less flashy profile than JP McManus' big-money purchase Pendra, but is nevertheless strongly fancied to defy a lenient mark of 107 on his introduction to the larger obstacles in the 32Red Novices' Handicap Chase.
The option of sending horses straight down the novice handicap route has been reintroduced this season and isn't to everyone's taste, but the rule could hardly be more suitable for horses like Long Wave.
Bought for £34,000 after winning a point-to-point in Ireland, the son of Milan understandably took a little while to get to grips with hurdling but made it seventh time lucky when stepped up to three miles at Uttoxeter in July, reportedly benefiting from a minor wind operation.
The six-year-old is said to be a hard horse to get fit so last month's third back at Uttoxeter was not only another commendable effort but will also have served as a perfect pipe-opener ahead of his fencing bow.
He was a non-runner at Wetherby last Wednesday, presumably on account of the heavy rain, but there don't appear to be too many concerns in that regard today and it's good to know he's been ready to go for a while.
Odds of 5/2 shouldn't put anyone off given the lack of strength in this field and I'd much rather be siding with him than Pendra, who is a giant of a horse and may well come on for the run.