Racing tip of the day

  • By: Ian Ogg
  • Last Updated: October 17 2013, 20:42 BST

Marco Botti has his string in terrific form and Duchess Of Seville can provide the Newmarket handler with another winner.

Martin Harley: Rides Duchess Of Seville

Duchess Of Seville - 19.50 Kempton

The majority of the day's fare is more bread and butter than a la carte but the exception, arguably, is the Follow Us On Twitter At BetVictor Handicap at Kempton this evening.

A 0-90 handicap that is part of the London Middle Distance Series, it has attracted horses from the top stables and the leading jockeys and is nothing if not competitive.

The morning line favourite is Theodore Gericault which is perhaps no surprise given that Sir Michael Stoute has saddled 10 winners from just 33 runners at the Sunbury-on-Thames track this year. He hasn't, however, progressed as looked likely at the start of the season and the runner-up from his latest run at Warwick was a disappointing favourite earlier this week (albeit under different conditions) casting a shadow on the form.

Autun is drawn wider than when winning over C&D last time and looks worth opposing on that basis and, although it's harder to crab the claims of Soryah and Sweet Deal, there were two horses I was interested in siding with against the field.

David Simcock has his team in terrific form but I would want to see a little encouragement in the market before putting up Majeed who has looked capable of better than he was able to show when last seen in early summer.

That leaves Duchess Of Seville who has improved in each of her three starts at Wolverhampton, winning impressively last time. While trainers will always have an eye on pattern races for well-bred fillies, it was still encouraging to see Marco Botti say "we've always liked her. She's well-bred and the long-term plan is to get her some black type," following that victory.

The handicapper hasn't taken any chances and the form is not out of the ordinary (the Sir Michael Stoute trained fifth won off 68 on Monday) but, like Majeed, her yard is flying with Botti scoring with seven of his last 14 runners.

She's up in trip in a competitive heat for her handicap bow but the distance should hold no fears for this well bred improving filly who may just prove herself to be a good bit better than a handicapper in time.