Racing tip of the day
Cheveton can make the most of an advantageous draw and suitable conditions and bounce back to winning form at Nottingham according to Ben Coley.
- Related Content
Cheveton - 1610 Nottingham
Nottingham's card could unearth a horse or two of real quality today, of that there's little doubt.
Ralph Beckett, who often sends a talented animal to the midlands track, saddles the impeccably-bred Sea Here in the opener and among the opposition there's another Derby-winner's son set to take to the track for Roger Varian.
But without the guide of the gallops nor the pre-race betting it's fair to say that the prudent course of action is to turn to those hardened sprinters who take centre stage later on, and about whom we already know plenty.
There's been morning money for CHEVETON in division two of the sprint handicap but, even at 4/1 or thereabouts, he's well worth chancing.
Yes, he'll need luck with 16 rivals in opposition. He'll need stall 17 to prove, as it should, a favourable draw. He'll need to avoid a better-treated rival turning up and, of course, he'll need to run his race.
But at the price, it's only really the latter I'm asking for and I see no reason Cheveton can't do exactly that.
For starters, he's dropped to a favourable mark. Only four times has this admirable veteran ran from a perch of less than 80, and his form figures under such conditions read 1-1-2-2.
He's dropped to this mark because, as is typical of a horse who just loves the mud, his summer form - oh, what a summer it's been - doesn't read particularly well.
However, there have been signs of a post-sunshine revival recently and that's a story we've seen played out before, with each of his last five wins having come in September or October and only one of his 11 overall in the first half of the year.
Last time out he made the running at Haydock on the wrong side of the track so we can ignore that, and focus instead on a sound eighth of 27 in a competitive Ayr Bronze Cup. A horse two-places in front of him has since landed a decent handicap at Goodwood, while the one just behind was a narrow runner-up on his next start.
This is also significant drop in grade and it's encouraging that he's back down to five furlongs. His optimum conditions appear to be five furlongs on soft ground with enough rivals to ensure a decent clip, and among today's the regular front-runner Gowanharry is drawn close by.
The last time Cheveton ran in this grade on genuinely testing ground over five furlongs he won, and if we isolate his record in such contests over the years it reads an impressive 1-6-2-4-1-3-1.
Three wins in seven starts under these conditions, a favourable handicap mark, a good-looking draw and a lack of feasible improvers make Cheveton look a knocking bet even if first glance dictates that such races are meant to be impossible to solve.