Racing tip of the day
Ian Brindle takes the plunge in the Betfred Cesarewitch and believes he has found some value against the favourite.
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Clowance Estate (each-way) 3.50 Newmarket
A busy Saturday ahead with high quality racing at Newmarket and York and the first knockings of the "jumps season" proper as Chepstow stage a decent card.
The bookmakers appear keen to secure business on the Cesarewitch with the majority paying out for a fifth place, and while 8/1 the field probably doesn't do justice to how competitive the race is; a perusal away from the obvious could give us chance of drawing something each-way at a decent price.
Beckhampton Stables have had a good record in this race having saddled a couple of winners of this prize when Jeremy Tree was the maestro of the yard and Roger Charlton looks to have entered a fascinating participant in this year's renewal.
Clowance Estate is one of the least exposed runners in the field having had just six previous starts but the gelding has certainly caught my eye on a couple of occasions over shorter distances.
Connections clearly have had a high opinion of their horse as he was taking on the likes of Harris Tweed on only his fourth start.
Whether he stays the trip is the big imponderable today though there's plenty to suggest in his pedigree that he has a sporting chance of doing so and though Newmarket's going has appreciably softened over the course of a week - they are not anticipating any further rain today.
There are many obvious dangers including Pallasator, who bids to plug a rare gap in the CV of trainer, Sir Mark Prescott but I wonder just how realistic his odds are given that my selection finished ahead of him at Haydock Park last month yet he's trading at around a third of the odds.
It will be interesting to see whether any money arrives for any of the National Hunt horses and for Lieutenant Miller in particular.
This correspondent has to plead guilty as charged when it comes to following the seven-year-old in similar races and the current champion National Hunt trainer is no stranger to victory in this race having won it previously with Landing Light (2003) and Caracciola (2008).
Tiger Cliff is set to head to Alan King for a crack at the winter game and it would be no mean achievement for Lady Cecil's gelding to secure two of the biggest handicaps in the calendar. Given that Aaim To Prosper managed to cart around topweight to victory last season, there will be plenty prepared to take that chance.
With our selection readily available at around 20/1 - I'm happy to take an each-way interest in what is one of the best spectacles of the Flat season.