Caucus up for the Cup
Ben Linfoot seeks out the value on day three of Glorious Goodwood and he's backing Caucus in the feature.
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There was always going to be a Mark Johnston-trained horse that caught my eye at some point this week and it's BROUGHTON in the opener on Thursday.
The way he quickened from off the pace to win at Chester earlier in the season marked him out as a smart, progressive handicapper, though he has admittedly struggled off his new mark in two subsequent starts.
However, those races were on fast ground and I don't think it was of any coincidence his career best came on the good to soft conditions he encountered at Chester.
The rain we've seen this week at Goodwood might be making its way north now, but it has already eased the ground sufficiently for Broughton to show his best and at 14/1 he makes most appeal in the Gordon's Handicap.
Later on the Artemis Goodwood Cup takes centre stage and I'm keen to take on Mount Athos who looks a vulnerable favourite.
I like the horse and think he has a lot of class but his ultimate goal is the Melbourne Cup and Goodwood is very much a stepping stone for him.
With that in mind the 7/1 available about CAUCUS is perfectly fair considering this race has been the target for him for some time.
He first looked a stayer to be reckoned with when winning a Listed race at Newmarket last backend and he's continued that improvement this season, running subsequent Ascot Gold Cup winner Estimate close in the Sagaro Stakes before winning at Sandown.
I was very impressed with the way he went about things in Esher, beating a good horse in Biographer - the pair well clear of the rest.
Altano is a threat but he'll need a very strong pace over this trip and then you'll need Eduardo Pedroza to judge it perfectly, something he failed to do at the Royal meeting.
Plenty of others in the field have several things to prove, but Caucus looks a solid stayer with good form in the book and at 7/1 he's worth backing to announce his arrival on the Cup scene.
Ben Linfoot's Value Bet Aim: The Value Bet is designed to generate long-term profit by searching for overpriced horses in the feature weekend races and at the big Festivals in the UK. Running total: +263.56pts to advised stakes/prices (from inception of Value Bet column in January 2010 to current). The column is +131.25pts to recommended stakes in 2013.