Krypton in his element?
Will Hayler takes over in the Value Bet chair this weekend and he's convinced Krypton Factor's price is too big.
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Familiarity breeds contempt in so many walks of life, but not in racing. Most punters love nothing more than to tap into a stable or a jockey to follow, especially a name that they believe others are yet to cotton on to.
It's perhaps for that reason that 9/4 is available about KRYPTON FACTOR in the Hackwood Stakes at Newbury, because on the formbook there's no fathomable justification for him being that price.
Third in the Diamond Jubilee Stakes at Ascot last month, it's hard to imagine how that form could have been franked any more firmly than by the performances of the winner and runner-up, who ran almost to the ounce as they filled exactly the same placings in Newmarket's July Cup last Saturday.
Maybe the bookmakers imagine that the identity of the trainer, Fawzi Abdullah Nass, might put off their customers - let's face it he's hardly a household name.
But as well as running a successful engineering and construction business, Nass trains 60 horses in Bahrain and has shown in his handling of this horse in the last couple of seasons that he knows how to get the best from his team.
Krypton Factor is a bit of a quirky customer, who doesn't always travel well in his races, but you can't crab his achievements on the track which include a win and a place from three Group One starts on the Tapeta at Meydan, as well as two perfectly-decent efforts at the highest level in Britain.
Luke Morris, on board at Ascot last month for the first time, retains the ride and his aggressive style in the saddle suits a horse with the tendency to race lazily that this chap has.
Hamza is likely to fare better here than when unable to live with Lethal Force last Saturday, but he could struggle to get his own way in front with Heeraat also in the line-up and both half a stone to find with the winner on ratings in any case.
Like his namesake, Krypton Factor is a bit of a challenge. But he also knows how to win prizes.
Cathy Gannon continues to be overlooked for the rides she deserves, but a winner for Sir Michael Stoute last weekend won't have done her any harm and I can see her booting home ALUTIQ to win the Weatherbys Super Sprint.
Despite the fact that it looks a nightmare on paper, it's not a bad contest in which to follow the market principals and Alutiq thoroughly deserves that status on the basis of a very good run in the Queen Mary Stakes in which her very high draw proved a disadvantage.
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton has her two-year-olds in fantastic form at present and thinks the world of this little filly. With the race conditions - particularly the very useful fillies' allowance - in her favour, she will surely go close and the 13/2 on offer looks perfectly fair.
Value Bet Aim: The Value Bet is designed to generate long-term profit by searching for overpriced horses in the feature weekend races and at the big Festivals in the UK. Running total: +260.31pts to advised stakes/prices (from inception of Value Bet column in January 2010 to current). The column is +128pts to recommended stakes in 2013.