Ninjago a Jersey bet
Ben Linfoot seeks out the value on day two of Royal Ascot and he's backing Ninjago in the Jersey Stakes.
- Related Content
It'll be tough for day two of Royal Ascot to beat day one in terms of quality but expect the same thrills and spills with the Royal Hunt Cup the highlight, if 30-runner handicaps over a straight mile are your sort of thing.
I must be mad as I love nothing more than trying to crack such a puzzle, though if you're betting each way make sure you go to a bookmaker that's paying five places (Sky Bet, Betfred, bet365, Paddy Power, BetVictor and Boylesports all are).
- 1pt e.w. Ninjago in 2.30 Ascot at 25/1 (bet365 1,2,3,4) - very impressive at Ascot on return and last run best ignored
- 1pt e.w. Directorship in 4.25 Ascot at 33/1 (General 1,2,3,4,5) - in the form of his life, goes well here and race should be run to suit
- 1pt win Hint Of A Tint in 5.35 Ascot at 10/1 (General) - latest form franked in a Classic and a strong pace will suit her here
If there is a right side to be on it could be the stands' side, with Moran Gra, Spa's Dancer and Navajo Chief all prominent racers and with that in mind DIRECTORSHIP looks overpriced at 33/1.
Patrick Chamings' seven-year-old is in fine fettle after notching two wins on the bounce including when eased down at Newmarket last time.
He benefitted from a strong pace set by the runaway Crius that day but it clearly suited him as he travelled into the race smoothly and bounded clear for a comfortable success.
The handicapper has put him up 7lb to a mark of 99, a career high, which explains his big price but he's in such good form I think he's worth chancing at 33s, especially given the race will be run to suit.
He loves nothing more than running on from a strong gallop and if you watch his race in the Buckingham Palace Stakes at last year's Royal Ascot, he finished his race well to finish sixth.
It wasn't the first time he'd performed well at Ascot so the course clearly suits and for me he's the most interesting outsider. Back him with bet365 who offer 33/1 and will pay out on five places.
Though the dangers are far and wide I only want to have one bet in the Hunt Cup given the nature of the contest and all the other opportunities on a great punting card.
Earlier, I want to be with NINJAGO in the Jersey Stakes.
He showed a smart turn of foot to win here at Ascot on his reappearance in a Listed race that has worked out really well.
The bookies have priced him up at 25/1 here because he failed to fire at Newbury last time, but the race wasn't run to suit, William Buick riding a canny race on the winner Zanetto (previously beaten by Ninjago at Ascot) while Richard Hannon's charge met trouble in running.
He's a classy performer who can accelerate well off a strong pace and I'd expect him to travel kindly in this before we see what he's made of.
I also think he's a big price because he's Hannon's second-string but that shouldn't put you off at Royal Ascot as events on Tuesday taught us.
Finally, in the Sandringham Handicap, I think any double-figure prices available about HINT OF A TINT are more than fair.
Her trainer David Wachman won this race last year with Duntle and this filly holds strong claims on her Irish form.
Last time she was a neck behind Just Pretending who went on to finish two lengths off Just The Judge when third in the Irish 1000 Guineas.
The better ground, strong gallop and straight mile could well bring out the very best in her and even though she's in the upper echelons of the handicap here she could still be well treated as she might be very smart.
Ben Linfoot's Value Bet Aim: The Value Bet is designed to generate long-term profit by searching for overpriced horses in the feature weekend races and at the big Festivals in the UK. Running total: +242.06pts to advised stakes/prices (from inception of Value Bet column in January 2010 to current). The column is +109.75pts to recommended stakes in 2013.