Racing tip of the day

  • By: Ian Ogg
  • Last Updated: May 23 2013, 16:01 BST

Ian Ogg sides with a (hopefully) fast-improving filly at Goodwood for the sportinglife team's racing tip of the day.

Contradict has all-important course form at Goodwood

Contradict 3.45 Goodwood & Duke Of Perth 8.50 Salisbury

I feel rather like a child in a sweet shop with my newly acquired pocket money weighing heavily in my pocket for there are treats everywhere you look today.

Cards full of rich promise featuring youngsters like Kiyoshi, Wind Fire and Nathr who ran races full of encouragement on debut; of course, they don't always go on from that and there are some regally bred runners in opposition.

There's a 0-100 handicap at Goodwood while the promising Basseterre heads to Haydock, the scene of one of his three successes, to be re-united with Kieren Fallon who is two out of two on the horse with other jockeys one from seven.

It's tempting to put Charlie Hills' runner-up but the general 7/2 (7s bar) doesn't really excite so, instead, I'll head south to the Sussex Downs and the Height Of Fashion Stakes.

It's rather disappointing that not one of the 11 fillies holds an entry in the Investec Oaks but it's an interesting and competitive race nonetheless.

In a previous Tip Of The Day I suggested backing Trapeze against Ribbons and she finished a slightly unlucky second so it's tempting to give her another chance but she was an 8/1 shot in a handicap last time and is just 5s this morning in a Listed race with more depth.

Sir Michael Stoute's Elik, a maiden after four starts, is favourite but it's a former inmate of Freemason Lodge who is worth chancing at the prices.

There's still a little 9/1 available about Contradict who was a double figure price last night and that is still worth taking and has scope for an each-way play if you so desire.

She showed ability for the Newmarket handler on her first two starts before being put away after flopping at Kempton but she has clearly trained on and was most impressive when beating a Stoute odds-on shot at Salisbury last time.

That was by far and away a career best effort but we all know that fillies can improve in leaps and bounds once they get the bit between their teeth and she's bred to be smart.

This is not a strong race for the grade, she has course form to her name and could be on a steep upward curve - get her onside.

On her seasonal reappearance she was third behind Jan De Heem who goes in the last at Salisbury.

This looks a fairly open race but the key horse for me is Duke Of Perth with Mr Fallon making the not inconsiderable journey from Merseyside to Salisbury to take this ride among others.

With a mark of just 70 after three starts in maidens, it would be no surprise to see a vastly improved performance from this three year old half-brother to a host of decent performers including Forte Dei Marmi, Wallis, Savarain and Franciscan.

The yard is ticking along nicely and Duke Of Perth looks more than capable of adding to Luca Cumani's decent course record.